NTR Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Nutrien Ltd

Basic Materials โ€ข Agricultural Inputs

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on NTR

We analyzed Nutrien Ltd using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran NTR through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 8, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆNTR Performance Overview3yr weekly

๐Ÿ“Š

Unlock NTR Performance Chart

See 3 years of price history, quarterly revenue trends, and DVR score changes

Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

NTR Quality Rating

0.1
1.0
Growth
5.0
Profitability
7.0
Health
6.0
Capital allocation
3.0
Momentum

NTR Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About Nutrien Ltd (NTR)

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Agricultural Inputs

Market Cap Category

large

Market Cap

$24.00B

NTR Deep Value Analysis

Nutrien Ltd. remains a mature, large-cap leader in the essential agricultural inputs sector, boasting significant competitive advantages from its scale, diverse asset base, and integrated retail network. Recent Q4 2025 earnings missed estimates, and while the company expanded share buybacks and increased its dividend by 1%, these actions reflect a focus on shareholder returns and stability rather than hyper-growth. With a current market capitalization of $50.73B in a cyclical, established industry, there are no material changes or strategic pivots indicated by the latest market intelligence (Mar-Apr 2026 filings, earnings misses, analyst consensus) that suggest a realistic pathway to 10x growth within 3-5 years. The company's financial health is generally solid, but its growth trajectory, capital allocation strategy, and market opportunity do not align with high-risk, high-reward exponential upside. Therefore, its score for 10x potential remains consistently very low, reflecting its position as a stable, rather than a hyper-growth, investment.

NTR Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

NTR Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Unfavorable potash pricing trends impacting segment profitability

  • โš 

    Global economic slowdown affecting agricultural demand and commodity prices

Unlock NTR Red Flags & Risk Warnings

Premium members see every risk event we found.

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Unlock the full report

Create a free account to see the DVR score, risk flags, and AI analysis.

๐Ÿ”ฅ New Member Exclusive

Unlock everything for $47/yr

$79/yrSave 41%

  • โœ“ Catalysts, bull case, moat & red flags
  • โœ“ Unlimited stock analyses + alerts
  • โœ“ Full database, search & portfolio (50 stocks)
Get Premium โ€” $47/yr

7-day money back ยท Cancel anytime

NTR Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$24.00B

P/E Ratio

52.50

Profit Margin

6.00%

Debt-to-Equity

0.60

Dividend Yield

4.00%

Beta (Volatility)

0.90

Earnings Per Share

$2.00

NTR Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Cost AdvantagesEfficient ScaleIntangible Assets/IP (Brand Power and established customer relationships)

Nutrien's moat is durable due to the high capital intensity required for large-scale fertilizer production, particularly potash mines, and its integrated retail network which provides strong customer lock-in and distribution efficiencies that are costly and time-consuming for competitors to replicate.

NTR Competitive Moat Analysis

Premium unlocks moat rating, sources & durability.

NTR Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Report on May 6, 2026
  • โ€ขOngoing share buyback program (expanded to 5% of shares)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขContinued optimization of retail network for efficiency and market reach
  • โ€ขPotential stabilization or recovery in potash pricing environment

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขIncreased global food demand driving steady agricultural input consumption
  • โ€ขStrategic M&A facilitated by the $5B shelf prospectus

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Sign up free to see growth catalysts

NTR Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Consistent positive trends in retail segment sales and margins, indicating strong customer engagement.

  • โœ“

    Stabilization or upward movement in global potash and nitrogen prices.

  • โœ“

    Effective management of the increased short-term debt and overall debt load relative to cash flow.

Bull Case Analysis

Sign up free to see the bull case

Just analyzed NTR? Get notified when it moves (one click in-app)

No Telegram required. Alerts show in your bell feed when you return.

๐Ÿ“Š Explore More Stock Analysis

Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential.

FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Nutrien Ltd (NTR)?

As of April 8, 2026, Nutrien Ltd has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Nutrien Ltd?

Nutrien Ltd's market capitalization is approximately $24.0B. The company operates in the Basic Materials sector within the Agricultural Inputs industry.

What ticker symbol does Nutrien Ltd use?

NTR is the ticker symbol for Nutrien Ltd. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for NTR stock?

Our analysis rates Nutrien Ltd's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of NTR?

Nutrien Ltd currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 52.5. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Does Nutrien Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes, Nutrien Ltd pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 4.00%.

Is Nutrien Ltd's revenue growing?

Nutrien Ltd has reported revenue growth of 3.2%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is NTR stock profitable?

Nutrien Ltd has a profit margin of 6.0%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the NTR DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Nutrien Ltd is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 8, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.

New member exclusive offer

Sign up free โ€” members unlock an exclusive 44% off Premium deal