IDR Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc

Basic Materials • Gold

DVR Score

7.8

out of 10

Solid Pick

What You Need to Know About IDR Stock

We analyzed Idaho Strategic Resources Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran IDR through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Aggressive. Here's what we found.

Updated Mar 23, 2026•Run Fresh Analysis →

IDR Risk Analysis & Red Flags

Risk Matrix

Overall

Aggressive

Financial

Medium

Market

High

Competitive

Medium

Execution

Medium

Regulatory

Medium

Upcoming Risk Events

📅
Delays or cost overruns in REE project development
📅
Significant downturn in gold prices impacting profitability
📅
Failure to secure non-dilutive funding for Almaden REE capital needs

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What Does Idaho Strategic Resources Inc (IDR) Do?

Market Cap

$473.58M

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Gold

Employees

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company's portfolio of mineral properties includes the Golden Chest Mine, a producing gold mine located in the Murray Gold Belt (MGB) of North Idaho; approximately 1,500 acres of patented mineral property and approximately 5,800 acres of nearby and adjacent un-patented mineral property located within the MGB; rare earth element projects located in the Idaho REE-Th Belt near Salmon, Idaho; and early-stage exploration properties in Central Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. in December 2021. Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho.

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Investment Thesis

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc. is a high-growth, high-risk investment positioned to become a critical domestic supplier of heavy rare earth elements, bolstered by robust and growing cash flows from its gold mining operations. The company's strong financial health and strategic asset base provide a solid foundation to execute on its vision for domestic REE leadership, aligning with significant geopolitical demand for critical mineral independence, promising substantial long-term value creation.

Is IDR Stock Undervalued?

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc. (IDR) continues to present a compelling, high-risk, high-reward opportunity, with increased confidence in its financial capacity. The recently released FY 2025 results (March 23, 2026) are a material positive, showcasing 64.6% YoY revenue growth and 70.1% YoY EPS growth, along with robust margins and an exceptionally strong balance sheet. This significantly de-risks the company's ability to fund its strategically vital Almaden monazite (HREE) project, which remains key to its 10x growth potential within the US critical minerals landscape. While the financial foundation has strengthened considerably, concerns regarding significant insider and institutional selling at higher prices, coupled with the early-stage nature of the REE project's commercialization, temper the overall score.

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IDR Price Targets & Strategy

12-Month Target

$35.00

Bull Case

$45.00

Bear Case

$25.00

Valuation Basis

Based on a 25.64x P/E multiple (derived from current price $29.23 / FY25 EPS $1.14) applied to a projected FY26 EPS of $1.37 (modest 20% growth over FY25 EPS).

Entry Strategy

Dollar-cost average between $25-$28, targeting dips near recent support levels, given potential volatility from insider selling and commodity price fluctuations.

Exit Strategy

Consider taking partial profits at $35.00 (aligning with current analyst target) and $45.00 (bullish scenario), while maintaining a stop-loss order below key support, e.g., $24.00.

Portfolio Allocation

7-15% for aggressive risk tolerance, reflecting the high-growth, small-cap, and commodity-driven nature of the investment.

Price Targets & Strategy

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Is IDR Financially Healthy?

Valuation

P/E Ratio

40.60

Forward P/E

37.51

EV/EBITDA

42.47

PEG Ratio

2.51

Price/Book

8.24

Price/Sales

16.21

Profitability

Gross Margin

61.80%

Operating Margin

36.80%

Net Margin

39.40%

Return on Equity

15.40%

Revenue Growth

64.60%

EPS

$1.14

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity

0.04

Cash & Equivalents

$73.30M

Other

Beta (Volatility)

0.75

Does IDR Have a Competitive Moat?

Moat Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Moat Trend

Expanding

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Intangible Assets/IP (unique resource base for HREEs)Cost Advantages (stated vision for low-cost REE production)Efficient Scale (potential for domestic leadership and supply chain integration)

The scarcity and strategic importance of heavy rare earth elements for national security, coupled with IDR's potential for low-cost, environmentally responsible domestic production, could establish a durable moat once the Almaden project achieves commercial scale and secures market position. Regulatory tailwinds for critical mineral independence further strengthen this.

Moat Erosion Risks

•Prolonged permitting processes or regulatory hurdles for REE development
•Higher-than-anticipated production costs diminishing cost advantage
•Emergence of new, more efficient international REE suppliers or substitute technologies

IDR Competitive Moat Analysis

IDR Market Intelligence

Sentiment & Insider Activity

Social Sentiment

Neutral discussion as no specific data points to strong sentiment shifts.

Institutional Sentiment

Negative, evidenced by Cantor Fitzgerald selling over 50% of its stake (~March 16, 2026).

Insider Activity (Form 4)

CEO John Swallow sold 30,000 shares at $43.44 avg for $1.303 million on December 22, 2025, reducing his ownership by 4.31%. Total insiders sold 64,243 shares over the past three months (no buys detailed).

Options Flow

Normal options activity.

Earnings Intelligence

Next Earnings

Q1 2026 (Estimated May 2026)

Surprise Probability

Medium

Historical Earnings Pattern

Recent strong FY 2025 results suggest a positive reaction, but specific historical patterns for IDR are not detailed.

Key Metrics to Watch

Gold production and cash costsProgress updates on Almaden REE projectCash balance and capital expendituresForward guidance for gold and REE initiatives

Competitive Position

Top Competitor

MP Materials (MP) or similar critical mineral developers for REE, larger gold miners for gold production.

Market Share Trend

Gaining in gold production (FY25 64.6% YoY growth); nascent but strategically positioned for REE market share.

Valuation vs Peers

Trading at a significant premium on P/S (9.9x-10.9x vs sector 1.3x-1.7x) and P/E (25.64x) compared to traditional gold miners, reflecting the high growth expectations from its REE potential.

Competitive Advantages

•Strategic positioning as a potential domestic HREE supplier (Almaden monazite project)
•Cash-generative gold mining operations funding strategic initiatives
•Strong balance sheet with low debt
•Diversified portfolio with new copper-silver project

Market Intelligence

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What Could Drive IDR Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

•Q1 2026 Earnings (Expected May 2026)
•Updates on Niagara Copper-Silver Project exploration/development
•Further details or studies on Almaden REE project progress

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

•Almaden REE Project Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) completion
•Key permitting milestones for Almaden REE project
•Off-take agreements or strategic partnerships for REEs

Long-Term (18+ months)

•Commercial production at Almaden REE project
•Establishment as a leading domestic HREE supplier
•Full-scale diversification across gold, REE, and copper-silver assets

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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What's the Bull Case for IDR?

✓
Updates on Almaden REE project's permitting, financing, and off-take agreements
✓
Sustained or accelerating revenue and EPS growth from gold operations
✓
Changes in insider and institutional ownership/sentiment

Bull Case Analysis

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Competing with IDR

See how Idaho Strategic Resources Inc compares to related companies

Company	Market Cap	DVR Score	P/E	Revenue	Profit Margin	Rev Growth
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc IDR	$473.6M	7.8	40.6	$42.4M	39.4%	64.6%
Air Products and Chemicals Inc APD	$65.8B	1.2	-197.5	$12.0B	-2.7%	1.4%	Compare →
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX	$88.0B	0.9	39.9	$26.4B	7.8%	-28.0%	Compare →
Newmont Corporation NEM	$130.0B	1.0	17.4	$22.7B	31.7%	21.0%	Compare →

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Idaho Strategic Resources Inc (IDR)?

As of March 23, 2026, Idaho Strategic Resources Inc has a DVR Score of 7.8 out of 10, placing it in the "Solid Pick" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Idaho Strategic Resources Inc?

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc's market capitalization is approximately $473.6M. The company operates in the Basic Materials sector within the Gold industry.

What ticker symbol does Idaho Strategic Resources Inc use?

IDR is the ticker symbol for Idaho Strategic Resources Inc. The company trades on the ASE.

What is the risk level for IDR stock?

Our analysis rates Idaho Strategic Resources Inc's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of IDR?

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 40.6. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Is Idaho Strategic Resources Inc's revenue growing?

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc has reported revenue growth of 64.6%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.

Is IDR stock profitable?

Idaho Strategic Resources Inc has a profit margin of 39.4%. This indicates strong profitability.

How often is the IDR DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Idaho Strategic Resources Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 23, 2026.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.