ERO Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Ero Copper Corp
Basic Materials • Copper
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on ERO
We analyzed Ero Copper Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran ERO through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
📈ERO Performance Overview3yr weekly
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Weekly adjusted close · Quarterly revenue & EPS · DVR score history
ERO Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
Medium
About Ero Copper Corp (ERO)
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Copper
Market Cap Category
mid
Market Cap
$2.31B
ERO Deep Value Analysis
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ERO Red Flags & Warning Signs
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Significant downturn in global copper prices (Ongoing risk)
- ⚠
Material delays or cost overruns at Boa Esperança project (H2 2026)
- ⚠
Adverse changes to mining regulations or social license in Brazil (Ongoing risk)
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ERO Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$2.31B
P/E Ratio
16.75
ERO Competitive Moat Analysis
PremiumMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Expanding
Moat Sources
3 Identified
Ero Copper's moat is rooted in the inherent quality and low operating costs of its Caraíba assets and the future Boa Esperança mine. As these projects scale up and benefit from favorable geology, the cost advantage becomes more entrenched. Its exploration success further expands the resource base, securing long-term supply at competitive costs.
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ERO Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q4 2025 Earnings Release & 2026 Guidance (Estimated early March 2026)
- •Updated exploration results from high-priority targets (Q1/Q2 2026)
- •Progress on Boa Esperança construction milestones & permitting updates (Ongoing Q1/Q2 2026)
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Boa Esperança project construction completion & initial commissioning (Late 2026 / Early 2027)
- •Ramp-up of Boa Esperança production, significant increase in copper output (Mid-Late 2027)
- •Further optimization and expansion studies for Caraíba operations (H2 2026)
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Ero Copper established as a multi-asset, Tier-1 low-cost copper producer (2028-2030)
- •Benefiting from sustained structural deficit in global copper markets (Post-2028)
- •Potential for further organic growth through existing exploration pipeline or M&A
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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ERO Bull Case: What Could Go Right
- ✓
Acceleration in copper production volumes and consistent C1 cost performance.
- ✓
Timely execution and budget adherence for Boa Esperança development.
- ✓
Sustained positive exploration results and reserve upgrades.
Bull Case Analysis
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for Ero Copper Corp (ERO)?
As of February 3, 2026, Ero Copper Corp has a DVR Score of 8.9 out of 10, placing it in the "Hidden Gem" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Ero Copper Corp?
Ero Copper Corp's market capitalization is approximately $2.3B. The company operates in the Basic Materials sector within the Copper industry.
What ticker symbol does Ero Copper Corp use?
ERO is the ticker symbol for Ero Copper Corp. The company trades on the NYQ.
What is the risk level for ERO stock?
Our analysis rates Ero Copper Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of ERO?
Ero Copper Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.8. This is in line with broader market averages.
How often is the ERO DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Ero Copper Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 3, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.