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WM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Waste Management Inc

Industrials โ€ข Waste Management

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on WM

We analyzed Waste Management Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran WM through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 2, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆWM Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

WM Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Conservative

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Low

About Waste Management Inc (WM)

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Waste Management

Market Cap Category

large

Market Cap

$86.11B

WM Deep Value Analysis

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) remains a highly established, large-cap leader in the essential waste management and environmental services industry. The company exhibits a robust business model, strong competitive moats (extensive infrastructure, regulatory hurdles, efficient scale), and consistent profitability, all indicative of a high-quality, stable enterprise. However, these characteristics are diametrically opposed to the criteria for a high-risk, high-reward investment with 10x growth potential within 3-5 years. WM operates in a mature sector with slow, predictable growth, primarily driven by population and economic expansion, not exponential market capture or disruptive innovation. Its sheer size ($92.35B market cap) makes a 10x increase (to $923.5B) in such a short timeframe virtually impossible, regardless of strategic pivots into recycling or renewable natural gas, which are incremental improvements to an existing, stable business. WM is fundamentally a defensive, dividend-paying stock, valued for stability and consistent returns rather than hyper-growth. No material changes have occurred since the last analysis to alter this fundamental assessment.

WM Red Flags & Warning Signs

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    Significant downturn in economic activity impacting waste volumes

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    Increased regulatory scrutiny or environmental compliance costs

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    Labor shortages or increased operational expenses

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WM Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$86.11B

P/E Ratio

31.72

WM Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Cost AdvantagesEfficient ScaleIntangible Assets/IP (Permits, Brand)Switching Costs

Waste Management's moat is highly durable due to the immense capital required to replicate its network of landfills, transfer stations, and collection routes, coupled with complex regulatory hurdles and long-term customer contracts. Its scale provides significant cost advantages.

WM Competitive Moat Analysis

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WM Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ4 2025 Earnings Report (Estimated mid-February 2026)
  • โ€ขProgress updates on renewable natural gas (RNG) facility expansions

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขStrategic acquisitions of smaller regional waste companies
  • โ€ขFurther penetration of recycling and value-added environmental services

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขIncreased focus on circular economy initiatives and resource recovery
  • โ€ขContinued growth in population and industrial waste generation

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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WM Bull Case: What Could Go Right

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    Consistent mid-single-digit revenue and EPS growth

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    Improvements in operating margins due to efficiency initiatives

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    Sustainable dividend growth and share repurchase programs

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    Stable or growing volumes in key waste streams

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Waste Management Inc (WM)?

As of February 2, 2026, Waste Management Inc has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Waste Management Inc?

Waste Management Inc's market capitalization is approximately $86.1B. The company operates in the Industrials sector within the Waste Management industry.

What ticker symbol does Waste Management Inc use?

WM is the ticker symbol for Waste Management Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for WM stock?

Our analysis rates Waste Management Inc's overall risk as Conservative. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of WM?

Waste Management Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.7. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Does Waste Management Inc pay a dividend?

Yes, Waste Management Inc pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 154.00%.

How often is the WM DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Waste Management Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 2, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.