RTX Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

RTX Corp

Industrials โ€ข Aerospace & Defense

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on RTX

We analyzed RTX Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran RTX through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 11, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

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RTX Quality Rating

0.1
0.0
Growth
7.0
Profitability
6.0
Health
7.0
Capital allocation
5.0
Momentum

RTX Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Low

About RTX Corp (RTX)

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Market Cap Category

mega

0

RTX Deep Value Analysis

RTX Corporation, a mega-cap aerospace and defense conglomerate, operates in a mature industry fundamentally unsuitable for 10x growth within a 3-5 year horizon. While demonstrating solid financial health with improving sales, adjusted EPS, and positive free cash flow ($7.9B in 2025, projected $8.25-$8.75B for 2026), and boasting a substantial $268B backlog, its sheer size ($270.55B market cap aiming for $2.7T+) and incremental growth model preclude exponential returns. The company possesses robust competitive advantages and a clear vision within its stable sector, but these strengths are geared towards long-term stability and moderate appreciation, not hyper-growth. Ongoing challenges with Pratt & Whitney GTF engine issues continue to temper short-to-medium term growth prospects, and the stock is considered overvalued per GF Value. There are no material changes since the previous analysis to alter its hyper-growth potential.

RTX Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

RTX Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Q1 2026 earnings miss or weak forward guidance

  • โš 

    New or expanded issues with Pratt & Whitney GTF engines

  • โš 

    Significant cuts to global defense budgets

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RTX Financial Health Metrics

0

P/E Ratio

4.96

Profit Margin

7.59%

Debt-to-Equity

0.00

Dividend Yield

0.00%

Beta (Volatility)

0.00

Earnings Per Share

$4.96

RTX Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Intangible Assets/IP (Patents for advanced engine designs, radar, missile technology)Switching Costs (High cost and complexity of switching defense systems or aircraft engines)Cost Advantages (Economies of scale in R&D and manufacturing for complex systems)Efficient Scale (Dominant position in specific niche markets with high barriers to entry)

RTX's wide moat is highly durable due to the specialized, high-cost, and mission-critical nature of its products. Governments and major airlines are locked into long-term contracts and maintenance agreements, making transitions to competitors extremely difficult and expensive. The vast IP and engineering expertise are formidable barriers.

RTX Competitive Moat Analysis

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RTX Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Release (April 21, 2026)
  • โ€ขContinued progress in missile facility expansion and defense awards
  • โ€ขUpdates on Pratt & Whitney GTF Advantage engine backlog fulfillment

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขFurther recovery and growth in commercial aerospace traffic and new engine orders
  • โ€ขStrategic advancements in hybrid-electric powertrain testing
  • โ€ขConversion of significant backlog into revenue

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขLong-term global defense spending trends driven by geopolitical dynamics
  • โ€ขAdvancements in next-generation aerospace and defense technologies
  • โ€ขSustained aftermarket services growth for existing engine fleet

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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RTX Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Consistent growth in backlog and bookings across all segments

  • โœ“

    Continued resolution and containment of the GTF engine issues without significant new financial impacts

  • โœ“

    Achievement or beat of free cash flow guidance for 2026 and beyond

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for RTX Corp (RTX)?

As of April 11, 2026, RTX Corp has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What ticker symbol does RTX Corp use?

RTX is the ticker symbol for RTX Corp. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for RTX stock?

Our analysis rates RTX Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of RTX?

RTX Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.0. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Is RTX Corp's revenue growing?

RTX Corp has reported revenue growth of 0.0%. Revenue has been declining, which warrants closer examination.

Is RTX stock profitable?

RTX Corp has a profit margin of 7.6%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the RTX DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of RTX Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 11, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.