SRFM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Surf Air Mobility Inc

Industrials • Airlines

DVR Score

6.2

out of 10

Solid Pick

The Bottom Line on SRFM

We analyzed Surf Air Mobility Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran SRFM through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 9, 2026•Run Fresh Analysis →•

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SRFM Quality Rating

8.0

Growth

2.0

Profitability

1.0

Health

2.0

Capital allocation

4.0

Momentum

SRFM Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Aggressive

Financial Risk

High

Market Risk

Medium

About Surf Air Mobility Inc (SRFM)

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Airlines

Market Cap Category

small

Market Cap

$81.22M

SRFM Deep Value Analysis

Surf Air Mobility presents a compelling long-term vision for sustainable regional air travel, now validated by achieving $106.6 million in FY2025 revenue and profitable airline operations on an adjusted EBITDA basis. This is a significant step forward from its previously perceived 'pre-revenue' status and supports its 10x growth potential. Strategic partnerships with Textron and BETA Technologies strengthen its competitive positioning in the nascent electric aviation market. However, the company faces extreme financial fragility with critically low cash reserves ($7.06 million), substantial debt ($74.97 million), and negative shareholders' equity, coupled with significant historical share dilution and likely further dilution via its recent S-3 shelf registration. While the core business shows signs of viability, the path to sustained profitability and financial stability is arduous, placing SRFM in a very high-risk, high-reward category.

SRFM Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

SRFM Red Flags & Warning Signs

⚠
Failure to secure sufficient capital, leading to severe liquidity issues
⚠
Significant delays or setbacks in regulatory approvals for electrification
⚠
Intensified competition from well-capitalized aerospace players

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SRFM Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$81.22M

P/E Ratio

-0.30

Profit Margin

-66.95%

Dividend Yield

0.00%

Beta (Volatility)

3.00

Earnings Per Share

$-3.00

SRFM Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

None

Moat Trend

Potentially Expanding

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Network Effects (potential, as platform grows)Intangible Assets/IP (through partnerships and developing electrification tech)Efficient Scale (potential, on specific regional routes)

Currently very low. The business is highly capital-intensive, with significant regulatory hurdles and competition from well-funded aerospace giants. Any nascent moat from network effects or IP is still developing and vulnerable.

SRFM Competitive Moat Analysis

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SRFM Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

•Q1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated mid-May 2026)
•Progress on BETA Technologies partnership milestones for electric aircraft service
•Successful and non-excessively dilutive capital raise utilizing S-3 shelf registration

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

•Further FAA STC (Supplemental Type Certificate) progress for hybrid-electric powertrains
•Expansion of regional routes and network capacity
•Additional strategic partnerships for fleet or charging infrastructure development

Long-Term (18+ months)

•Achieving significant market share in underserved regional electric air travel
•Full commercialization of hybrid-electric/electric fleet
•Widespread adoption of sustainable air mobility solutions

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

SRFM Bull Case: What Could Go Right

✓
Consistent acceleration in quarterly revenue growth rates
✓
Demonstrated improvement in free cash flow and reduction in overall adjusted EBITDA losses
✓
Announcements of significant FAA STC approvals for its electric powertrains

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Surf Air Mobility Inc (SRFM)?

As of April 9, 2026, Surf Air Mobility Inc has a DVR Score of 6.2 out of 10, placing it in the "Solid Pick" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Surf Air Mobility Inc?

Surf Air Mobility Inc's market capitalization is approximately $81.2M. The company operates in the Industrials sector within the Airlines industry.

What ticker symbol does Surf Air Mobility Inc use?

SRFM is the ticker symbol for Surf Air Mobility Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for SRFM stock?

Our analysis rates Surf Air Mobility Inc's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of SRFM?

Surf Air Mobility Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -0.3. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Is Surf Air Mobility Inc's revenue growing?

Surf Air Mobility Inc has reported revenue growth of 52.3%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.

Is SRFM stock profitable?

Surf Air Mobility Inc has a profit margin of -67.0%. The company is currently unprofitable.

How often is the SRFM DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Surf Air Mobility Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 9, 2026.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.