SRAD Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Sportradar Group AG
Technology • Software - Application
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About SRAD Stock
We analyzed Sportradar Group AG using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran SRAD through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.
SRAD Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
The company operates in a highly regulated and evolving sports betting market. A sudden shift in regulatory landscape in major markets (e.g., US states, Europe) or increased taxation could significantly impact revenue and profitability, challenging its growth projections and valuation multiples.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Moderate
Financial
Medium
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
High
Red Flags
- ⚠
Q4 2025 earnings reported by Zacks as missing estimates, conflicting with other reports of alignment/beats.
- ⚠
Lack of detailed Free Cash Flow and comprehensive balance sheet ratios (current ratio, debt-to-equity) in recent earnings reports, limiting full financial health assessment.
- ⚠
High P/E multiples (TTM 66.53, Forward 44.96) demand sustained high revenue and EPS growth, which Q4's 1.5% constant currency growth does not immediately demonstrate for revenue.
Upcoming Risk Events
- 📅
Regulatory changes in key betting markets impacting revenue
- 📅
Increased competitive intensity from new entrants or existing rivals
- 📅
Slower-than-expected growth in US market adoption or legalization
When to Reconsider
- 🚪
Exit if forward revenue guidance for next 12 months falls below mid-single digits.
- 🚪
Sell if Adjusted EBITDA margin consistently drops below 20% for two consecutive quarters.
- 🚪
Exit if a significant legal or regulatory setback occurs in a major operating market.
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What Does Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) Do?
Market Cap
$5.71B
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Employees
4,582
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries in Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers betting technology and solutions, including betting and gaming content; real-time sports data points; pre-match and live odds services; streaming and betting engagement services; iGaming, which includes virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket; managed betting and trading services; and sports betting and gaming platform. It also provides sports content, technology, and services that include marketing services; sports media services comprising data, content and solutions for broadcasters, publishers, rights-holders, and technology companies; integrity services, including monitoring, intelligence, education, consultancy, rights protection, and regulatory solutions; and sports performance solutions for competition management, official data generation, automated content distribution and performance analysis, which include video and analytics, and coaching and scouting products. Sportradar Group AG was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sankt Gallen, Switzerland.
Visit Sportradar Group AG WebsiteInvestment Thesis
Sportradar is an indispensable infrastructure provider for the rapidly growing global sports betting industry, uniquely positioned with official data rights and a scalable platform. Its strategic focus on US market expansion, AI innovation, and new iGaming ventures (Playradar) provides multiple avenues for significant revenue and market share growth, justifying its premium valuation and offering substantial 10x potential over 3-5 years.
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SRAD Price Targets & Strategy
12-Month Target
$29.00
Bull Case
$35.00
Bear Case
$12.00
Valuation Basis
Based on 55x forward P/E applied to estimated FY26 EPS of $0.52 (reflecting current growth & market expectations for leadership in high-growth sector).
Entry Strategy
Consider dollar-cost averaging near current levels ($16.00-$17.00) and on dips towards prior support at ~$15.00.
Exit Strategy
Take 50% profit at the 12-month target of $29.00, reassess for further upside. Stop loss at $14.50 (breakdown of recent support).
Portfolio Allocation
7-10% for aggressive risk tolerance, 3-5% for moderate risk tolerance.
Price Targets & Strategy
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Is SRAD Financially Healthy?
Valuation
P/E Ratio
54.30
Forward P/E
8.16
EV/EBITDA
10.72
PEG Ratio
0.94
Price/Book
6.50
Price/Sales
5.50
Profitability
Operating Margin
15.60%
Net Margin
7.80%
Return on Equity
10.50%
Revenue Growth
20.10%
EPS
$0.32
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
1.20
Debt/Equity
0.06
Cash & Equivalents
$365.00M
Other
Beta (Volatility)
1.98
Does SRAD Have a Competitive Moat?
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🛡️ Narrow
Moat Trend
Expanding
Moat Sources
3 Identified
Sportradar's moat is durable due to its exclusive, long-term official data rights, which are difficult and expensive for competitors to replicate. Its integrated platform also creates switching costs for betting operators.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •Expiration or non-renewal of key official data rights contracts
- •Emergence of a disruptive technology or competitor that can offer comparable data at a significantly lower cost
- •Regulatory intervention that mandates data sharing or alters licensing frameworks
SRAD Competitive Moat Analysis
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SRAD Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Neutral (no specific data provided, assuming general market sentiment)
Institutional Sentiment
Positive, indicated by 'Strong Buy' consensus and Goldman Sachs resuming Buy rating ($25 target). Median price target of $30.33 suggests significant upside.
Insider Activity (Form 4)
Chief Legal Officer Michael Connolly Miller had tax withholding of 1,813 Class A shares ($30,000 value) and was granted 17,889 RSUs on April 2, 2026. This is compensation-related, not open-market buy/sell activity.
Options Flow
Normal options activity (no specific unusual activity provided).
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
Estimated early-May 2026 (for Q1 2026, based on prior Q3 reporting in November and Q4 in March)
Surprise Probability
Medium (Q4 adjusted EBITDA beat, but revenue aligned and Zacks reported a miss; indicates mixed historical performance relative to expectations)
Historical Earnings Pattern
No specific historical pattern is detailed in the provided intelligence; however, the stock dipped -4.72% after the 20-F filing related to FY25 earnings, suggesting market sensitivity to reporting.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
No specific key competitors mentioned in research.
Market Share Trend
Gaining (implied by strategic partnerships, US market penetration efforts, and new iGaming brand launch, although no explicit market share data is provided).
Valuation vs Peers
Trading at a premium on P/E multiples, indicative of market expectations for high growth and strong competitive positioning in its niche.
Competitive Advantages
- •Unparalleled official data rights for major sports leagues
- •Comprehensive and scalable platform covering the entire sports betting ecosystem
- •Strategic partnerships with key industry operators like Hard Rock Bet
Market Intelligence
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What Could Drive SRAD Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 Earnings Report (estimated May 2026)
- •Continued expansion of US sports betting market
- •Successful integration and growth of Playradar iGaming brand
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Further strategic partnerships in key global markets
- •Advancements and adoption of AI-driven solutions for sports betting intelligence
- •Increased market share in the rapidly expanding US legal betting ecosystem
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Dominant global infrastructure provider for sports data and betting
- •Diversification into new sports-related data analytics and fan engagement solutions
- •Leveraging data assets for broader entertainment and media applications
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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What's the Bull Case for SRAD?
- ✓
Acceleration in US market revenue growth and new state legalizations.
- ✓
Successful product launches and increased adoption rates for Playradar.
- ✓
Consistent Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion.
Bull Case Analysis
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Competing with SRAD
See how Sportradar Group AG compares to related companies
| Company | Market Cap | DVR Score | P/E | Revenue | Profit Margin | Rev Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportradar Group AG SRAD | $5.7B | 9.1 | 54.3 | $1.5B | 7.8% | 20.1% | |
Apple Inc AAPL | $3.9T | 1.5 | 33.2 | $391.0B | 27.0% | 10.1% | Compare → |
Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $4.2T | 1.0 | 31.5 | $402.8B | 32.8% | 15.1% | Compare → |
Meta Platforms Inc META | — | 5.1 | 15.7 | — | 30.1% | 22.2% | Compare → |
Microsoft Corp MSFT | — | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | Compare → |
NVIDIA Corp NVDA | $4.4T | 5.3 | 38.5 | $215.9B | 55.6% | 65.0% | Compare → |
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How Sportradar Group AG Makes Money
Sportradar Group AG is a leading global technology company that provides sports data and content solutions to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Essentially, they collect, process, and distribute real-time sports data (scores, statistics, player performance) to power everything from sports betting platforms to fantasy sports and media coverage. They make money by licensing this data and technology, acting as a crucial B2B backbone for the sports and betting industries.
Read Full Business Model BreakdownFAQ
What is the DVR Score for Sportradar Group AG (SRAD)?
As of April 8, 2026, Sportradar Group AG has a DVR Score of 9.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Hidden Gem" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Sportradar Group AG?
Sportradar Group AG's market capitalization is approximately $5.7B. The company operates in the Technology sector within the Software - Application industry.
What ticker symbol does Sportradar Group AG use?
SRAD is the ticker symbol for Sportradar Group AG. The company trades on the NMS.
What is the risk level for SRAD stock?
Our analysis rates Sportradar Group AG's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of SRAD?
Sportradar Group AG currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 54.3. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.
Is Sportradar Group AG's revenue growing?
Sportradar Group AG has reported revenue growth of 20.1%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.
Is SRAD stock profitable?
Sportradar Group AG has a profit margin of 7.8%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.
How often is the SRAD DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Sportradar Group AG is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 8, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for SRAD (Sportradar Group AG) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.