GHM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Graham Corp

Industrials โ€ข Specialty Industrial Machinery

DVR Score

4.1

out of 10

Proceed with Caution

The Bottom Line on GHM

We analyzed Graham Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran GHM through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 14, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

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GHM Quality Rating

4.1
3.0
Growth
5.0
Profitability
7.0
Health
5.0
Capital allocation
2.0
Momentum

GHM Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About Graham Corp (GHM)

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Specialty Industrial Machinery

Market Cap Category

small

Market Cap

$1.00B

GHM Deep Value Analysis

Graham Corp. maintains its strategic focus on the defense and nuclear sectors, leveraging robust engineering expertise for stable, high-barrier-to-entry markets. While this pivot enhances long-term stability and competitive advantages through high switching costs and specialized IP, the inherent project-based nature, long cycles, and capital intensity of these industries fundamentally limit the company's ability to achieve exponential, 10x growth within a 3-5 year timeframe. No material changes, such as accelerated growth drivers or new market disruptions, have been identified since the last analysis to justify a significant score adjustment. The company is a solid, predictable performer, but not a multi-bagger candidate on this aggressive timeline. Recent insider activity is neutral (RSU vesting), and the Vanguard 13G/A, while an ownership change, was attributed to internal realignment rather than a fundamental negative on GHM's prospects.

GHM Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

GHM Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Delay or cancellation of a major defense contract

  • โš 

    Supply chain disruptions impacting project timelines or costs

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GHM Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$1.00B

P/E Ratio

67.11

Profit Margin

6.28%

Debt-to-Equity

0.00

Beta (Volatility)

1.03

Earnings Per Share

$1.34

GHM Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable to Expanding

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Switching CostsIntangible Assets/IPEfficient Scale

Graham's moat is durable due to the specialized nature of its products, the stringent qualification processes required for defense and nuclear applications, and the long-term relationships built with critical customers. The cost and risk of switching suppliers in these mission-critical areas are extremely high.

GHM Competitive Moat Analysis

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GHM Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ4 FY26 Earnings Report (estimated early May 2026)
  • โ€ขNew small-to-mid-size defense contract announcements

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขExpansion of existing naval nuclear propulsion contracts
  • โ€ขSynergies realization from Barber-Nichols acquisition

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขIncreased U.S. defense spending on naval programs
  • โ€ขDiversification into new specialized applications within defense/nuclear

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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GHM Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Acceleration in defense segment revenue growth and backlog

  • โœ“

    Further expansion of profit margins due to favorable project mix

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Graham Corp (GHM)?

As of April 14, 2026, Graham Corp has a DVR Score of 4.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Proceed with Caution" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Graham Corp?

Graham Corp's market capitalization is approximately $1.0B. The company operates in the Industrials sector within the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry.

What ticker symbol does Graham Corp use?

GHM is the ticker symbol for Graham Corp. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for GHM stock?

Our analysis rates Graham Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of GHM?

Graham Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 67.1. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Is Graham Corp's revenue growing?

Graham Corp has reported revenue growth of 19.0%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.

Is GHM stock profitable?

Graham Corp has a profit margin of 6.3%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the GHM DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Graham Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 14, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.