BEPC Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Brookfield Renewable Corp
Utilities • Utilities - Renewable
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About BEPC Stock
We analyzed Brookfield Renewable Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran BEPC through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Aggressive. Here's what we found.
BEPC Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
The company's critically low current ratio of 0.26, negative free cash flow of -$636M, and -$2.34B TTM net loss indicate significant liquidity and profitability challenges. If these trends persist or worsen, the company may face difficulties funding operations and growth, potentially necessitating further dilutive equity raises or increased debt, leading to significant shareholder value erosion.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Aggressive
Financial
High
Market
Low
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Low
Red Flags
- ⚠
Current ratio of 0.26 indicates severe short-term liquidity issues.
- ⚠
TTM Net Margin of -62.88% and net loss of -$2.34B highlight significant unprofitability.
- ⚠
Negative TTM Free Cash Flow of -$636M signifies ongoing cash burn.
- ⚠
Analyst consensus is 'Hold' with a median price target below the current price.
- ⚠
Institutional selling (SG Americas reduced position by 35.1%) signals declining confidence.
Upcoming Risk Events
- 📅
Further institutional selling reducing share price support
- 📅
Prolonged high interest rates impacting capital-intensive projects and debt service
- 📅
Negative surprises in unreported Q4 2025/Q1 2026 earnings regarding profitability and cash flow
When to Reconsider
- 🚪
Exit if current ratio falls below 0.20 for two consecutive quarters.
- 🚪
Sell if free cash flow remains negative for four consecutive quarters without a clear path to positive FCF.
- 🚪
Reduce position if debt-to-equity ratio significantly increases from 165% without corresponding asset growth.
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What Does Brookfield Renewable Corp (BEPC) Do?
Market Cap
$2.92B
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Renewable
Employees
2,416
Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,948 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, solar, and storage and ancillary capacity located in Brazil, Colombia, North America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation is a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.
Visit Brookfield Renewable Corp WebsiteInvestment Thesis
Brookfield Renewable Corp is a stable, dividend-paying leader in the renewable energy sector, benefiting from long-term secular growth trends. However, its capital-intensive business model, significant TTM losses, negative free cash flow, and poor liquidity metrics make it unsuitable for investors seeking 10x growth within 3-5 years. It is better suited for income-focused investors willing to tolerate higher financial risk.
Is BEPC Stock Undervalued?
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BEPC Price Targets & Strategy
12-Month Target
$38.50
Bull Case
$45.00
Bear Case
$32.00
Valuation Basis
Based on analyst median price target ($38.50), reflecting a stable dividend-yielding asset with current financial headwinds.
Entry Strategy
Consider dollar-cost averaging on significant dips towards $35-$36 (Barclays' target zone) if liquidity and profitability show signs of sustained improvement.
Exit Strategy
Take profit on rallies above $45; consider stop loss if current ratio drops below 0.20 or FCF remains negative for multiple consecutive quarters without clear path to recovery.
Portfolio Allocation
1-3% for moderate risk tolerance as a stable income component with minimal growth expectation.
Price Targets & Strategy
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Is BEPC Financially Healthy?
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.10
Forward P/E
41.40
EV/EBITDA
7.04
PEG Ratio
0.17
Price/Book
3.50
Price/Sales
2.10
Profitability
Gross Margin
63.60%
Operating Margin
2.90%
Net Margin
2.90%
Return on Equity
2.90%
Revenue Growth
2.00%
EPS
$0.17
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
1.30
Quick Ratio
1.30
Debt/Equity
1.31
Total Debt
$2.92B
Cash & Equivalents
$2.92B
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
$2.92B
Free Cash Flow
$2.92B
EBITDA
$2.92B
Other
Beta (Volatility)
1.31
Dividend Yield
15.60%
Does BEPC Have a Competitive Moat?
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🛡️ Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
The moat is durable due to the high capital investment required to build and operate renewable energy infrastructure, long-term contracts, and regulatory hurdles for new entrants. Its extensive asset base and operational experience provide a significant competitive advantage.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •Sensitivity to rising interest rates impacting cost of capital and project financing.
- •Policy changes or regulatory shifts that could negatively affect renewable energy incentives.
- •Technological advancements that could make existing assets less competitive over time.
BEPC Competitive Moat Analysis
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BEPC Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Neutral (due to its utility-like, capital-intensive nature, it typically does not generate significant social media buzz beyond income investors).
Institutional Sentiment
Negative, reflected by a 'Hold' analyst consensus, institutional selling (SG Americas), and analyst price targets below current price.
Insider Activity (Form 4)
No Form 4 filings for buys/sells by executives in the last 90 days. Director Jeffrey M. Blidner holds 56,100 units as an initial ownership statement, no transactions reported.
Options Flow
Normal options activity (no specific data provided to indicate unusual activity).
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
Not identified
Surprise Probability
Medium (while TTM is negative, the forecasted 90.1% earnings growth could lead to positive surprises if a turnaround is underway, but estimates are unavailable to gauge against).
Historical Earnings Pattern
Not specified; given its stable nature, likely less volatile post-earnings unless major financial shifts are announced.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
NextEra Energy Partners (NEP)
Market Share Trend
Stable (maintaining its large asset base and contracted revenues, not aggressively gaining market share in a disruptive way).
Valuation vs Peers
Difficult to compare directly due to negative P/E; P/S of ~1.58 is generally reasonable for the sector, but severe profitability and liquidity issues make it less attractive than profitable peers.
Competitive Advantages
- •Large-scale, globally diversified renewable asset portfolio
- •Long-term contracted cash flows providing revenue stability
- •Efficient scale due to capital-intensive project development and operations
Market Intelligence
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What Could Drive BEPC Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 distribution record date (Feb 27, 2026) - already occurred, for Q1 distribution
- •Brookfield Asset Management (parent) shareholder meeting (May 7, 2026)
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Completion of significant projects contributing to revenue
- •Parent company's continued capital raising for broader Brookfield portfolio
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Global transition to renewable energy driving long-term demand for assets
- •Expansion into new renewable technologies or geographies
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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What's the Bull Case for BEPC?
- ✓
Sustained improvement in current ratio above 1.0 and consistent positive free cash flow generation.
- ✓
Clear articulation of a strategy to return to net profitability and reduce TTM losses.
Bull Case Analysis
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Competing with BEPC
See how Brookfield Renewable Corp compares to related companies
| Company | Market Cap | DVR Score | P/E | Revenue | Profit Margin | Rev Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brookfield Renewable Corp BEPC | $2.9B | 1.0 | 7.1 | $2.9B | 2.9% | 2.0% | |
American Electric Power Company Inc AEP | $63.2B | 0.5 | 17.3 | — | — | — | Compare → |
Duke Energy Corp DUK | $99.6B | 1.0 | 20.1 | $7.9B | 15.4% | 6.2% | Compare → |
Nextera Energy Inc NEE | $203.3B | 1.5 | 24.8 | $24.4B | 29.4% | 10.3% | Compare → |
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for Brookfield Renewable Corp (BEPC)?
As of April 3, 2026, Brookfield Renewable Corp has a DVR Score of 1.0 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Brookfield Renewable Corp?
Brookfield Renewable Corp's market capitalization is approximately $2.9B. The company operates in the Utilities sector within the Utilities - Renewable industry.
What ticker symbol does Brookfield Renewable Corp use?
BEPC is the ticker symbol for Brookfield Renewable Corp. The company trades on the NYQ.
What is the risk level for BEPC stock?
Our analysis rates Brookfield Renewable Corp's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of BEPC?
Brookfield Renewable Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.1. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.
Does Brookfield Renewable Corp pay a dividend?
Yes, Brookfield Renewable Corp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 15.60%.
Is Brookfield Renewable Corp's revenue growing?
Brookfield Renewable Corp has reported revenue growth of 2.0%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.
Is BEPC stock profitable?
Brookfield Renewable Corp has a profit margin of 2.9%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.
How often is the BEPC DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Brookfield Renewable Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 3, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for BEPC (Brookfield Renewable Corp) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.