SPY Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
SPY
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on SPY
We analyzed SPY using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran SPY through our deep value framework โ analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
๐SPY Performance Overview3yr weekly
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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history
SPY Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
High
SPY Deep Value Analysis
SPY Red Flags & Warning Signs
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Unexpected hawkish shift from Federal Reserve
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Persistent or escalating geopolitical conflicts
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Economic recession or significant slowdown in S&P 500 earnings
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Major negative surprises from key S&P 500 constituents
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SPY Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$624.63B
P/E Ratio
27.45
SPY Competitive Moat Analysis
PremiumMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
SPY's moat stems from its deep liquidity, historical position as the first S&P 500 ETF, and widespread adoption by institutional and retail investors for core U.S. large-cap equity exposure. Its status as a highly liquid trading vehicle is durable, though its market share in AUM has been challenged by lower-cost alternatives.
SPY Competitive Moat Analysis
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SPY Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- โขQ1 2026 S&P 500 aggregate earnings season (April-May)
- โขFederal Reserve FOMC meetings (interest rate decisions)
- โขKey economic data releases (inflation, jobs, GDP)
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- โขCorporate earnings growth trends across S&P 500 constituents
- โขEvolving macroeconomic conditions (e.g., global economic recovery, inflation trajectory)
- โขGeopolitical stability or instability
Long-Term (18+ months)
- โขLong-term structural economic growth trends in the U.S.
- โขTechnological innovation and productivity growth among S&P 500 companies
- โขDemographic shifts impacting consumption and labor
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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SPY Bull Case: What Could Go Right
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Acceleration or deceleration in aggregate S&P 500 earnings growth
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Changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy stance (interest rates, quantitative easing/tightening)
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Key macroeconomic indicators (CPI, employment data, GDP growth)
Bull Case Analysis
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for SPY (SPY)?
As of March 20, 2026, SPY has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of SPY?
SPY's market capitalization is approximately $624.6B..
What ticker symbol does SPY use?
SPY is the ticker symbol for SPY. The company trades on the PCX.
What is the risk level for SPY stock?
Our analysis rates SPY's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of SPY?
SPY currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.5. This is in line with broader market averages.
Does SPY pay a dividend?
Yes, SPY pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 106.00%.
How often is the SPY DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of SPY is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 20, 2026.
Important Disclaimer โ Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.