🔔Stock Alerts via Telegram — Free for All Users

SNDX Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc

Healthcare • Biotechnology

DVR Score

6.7

out of 10

Solid Pick

What You Need to Know About SNDX Stock

We analyzed Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran SNDX through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Aggressive. Here's what we found.

Updated May 4, 2026Run Fresh Analysis →

SNDX Risk Analysis & Red Flags

What Could Go Wrong

The company continues to burn cash at a significant rate, and while its cash balance is $352.1M, continued negative gross margins or clinical trial failures for pipeline assets could necessitate further dilutive financing before sustainable profitability is achieved, substantially impacting shareholder value.

Risk Matrix

Overall

Aggressive

Financial

Medium

Market

Medium

Competitive

Medium

Execution

Medium

Regulatory

High

Red Flags

  • Increased royalty interest expense impacting operating leverage

  • Potential future dilution from the proposed 2026 Equity Incentive Plan (7.2M shares)

  • Q1 2026 revenue miss vs. analyst estimates.

Upcoming Risk Events

  • 📅

    Clinical trial failures or significant delays for axatilimab or other pipeline assets

  • 📅

    Regulatory setbacks for existing or pipeline products

  • 📅

    Increased competitive pressure in oncology markets

When to Reconsider

  • 🚪

    Failure of axatilimab Phase 2 trial or other key pipeline milestones

  • 🚪

    Sustained quarter-over-quarter decline in Revuforj/Niktimvo sales growth below guidance

  • 🚪

    Gross margin (when reported) failing to show significant improvement or deteriorating further

Unlock SNDX Risk Analysis & Red Flags

Create a free account to see the full analysis

What Does Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc (SNDX) Do?

Market Cap

$1.69B

Sector

Healthcare

Industry

Biotechnology

Employees

270

Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies for the treatment of cancer. Its lead product candidate includes Revuforj (revumenib), a menin inhibitor for the treatment of relapsed or refractory (R/R) acute leukemia; and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), a colony stimulating factor-1 receptor blocking antibody to treat chronic graft-versus-host disease. The company is also developing revumenib for the treatment of R/R acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with a nucleophosmin 1 mutation (mNPM1) and in combination with standard-of-care agents in mNPM1 AML or KMT2Ar acute leukemia, as well as for metastatic colorectal cancer; axatilimab to treat idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; and Entinostat, a Class 1 HDAC inhibitor. It has an agreement with Eddingpharm International Company Limited for licensing, development, and commercialization of Entinostat. Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Visit Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc Website

Investment Thesis

Syndax is an emerging oncology player with strong early commercial success for Revuforj and Niktimvo, demonstrating robust revenue growth. Its improving profitability trajectory and promising pipeline, particularly axatilimab, position it for significant market share gains in unmet oncology needs, offering substantial upside despite inherent biotech risks. Continued execution on commercialization and positive pipeline data could unlock considerable value.

Is SNDX Stock Undervalued?

Syndax shows strong commercial momentum with Revuforj and Niktimvo sales annualizing near $200 million each, validating its market opportunity in oncology with 224% YoY revenue growth. The significant narrowing of net loss in Q1 2026, beating EPS estimates, addresses prior profitability concerns and indicates a better path towards sustainable operations, despite a minor revenue miss. The company maintains a robust cash position ($352.1M), supporting its R&D and commercialization efforts. While potential dilution from a new equity plan and an increased royalty burden present minor headwinds, the improving financial trajectory and pipeline catalysts underscore its high-risk, high-reward 10x potential. The absence of specific Q1 gross margin data (a prior red flag) is noted, but the overall net loss improvement is a more critical positive, contributing to a slight score increase.

Unlock the full AI analysis for SNDX

Get the complete DVR score, risk analysis, and more

📈

Unlock the full report

Create a free account to see the DVR score, risk flags, and AI analysis.

SNDX Price Targets & Strategy

12-Month Target

$45.00

Bull Case

$65.00

Bear Case

$15.00

Valuation Basis

Based on 9x forward P/S applied to estimated FY2027 revenue of $450M.

Entry Strategy

Dollar-cost average between $18-$22, utilizing any dips towards recent support levels around $18.

Exit Strategy

Consider taking initial profits at $40-$45; exit fully or re-evaluate at $65.00. Implement a stop loss if price falls below $15.00.

Portfolio Allocation

7-10% for aggressive risk tolerance due to high growth potential and inherent biotech volatility.

Price Targets & Strategy

Upgrade to Premium for price targets and entry/exit strategies

Is SNDX Financially Healthy?

Valuation

P/E Ratio

-6.04

PEG Ratio

0.14

Price/Book

3.90

Price/Sales

11.00

Profitability

Gross Margin

95.96%

Operating Margin

-158.22%

Net Margin

-165.37%

Return on Equity

-206.62%

Revenue Growth

628.88%

EPS

$-3.30

Balance Sheet

Current Ratio

4.40

Quick Ratio

4.04

Debt/Equity

5.32

Cash & Equivalents

$352.10M

Other

Beta (Volatility)

0.43

Does SNDX Have a Competitive Moat?

Sign in to unlock

Moat Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Moat Trend

Expanding

Moat Sources

2 Identified

Intangible Assets/IP (patents protecting Revuforj, axatilimab, and other pipeline candidates)Switching Costs (for patients who respond well to existing therapies, though less applicable for new indications)

The moat is primarily driven by intellectual property and the significant investment required for clinical development and regulatory approval. This offers protection for the patent life of successful drugs. Continued pipeline success and market penetration can solidify this moat, but it's inherently vulnerable to clinical failures or superior competing treatments.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • Expiration of key patents or legal challenges to IP
  • Emergence of more effective or safer competitor therapies
  • Failure of clinical trials to demonstrate significant advantage over existing treatments

SNDX Competitive Moat Analysis

Sign up to see competitive advantages

SNDX Market Intelligence

Sentiment & Insider Activity

Social Sentiment

Neutral (Biotech sector often sees mixed retail sentiment, focused on clinical news)

Institutional Sentiment

Mixed (Vanguard increased holdings by 27.4% in Q4 2025; Millennium Management decreased by 95.0% in Q4 2025). No recent analyst upgrades/downgrades provided.

Insider Activity (Form 4)

No specific Form 4 filings with transaction details from company insiders (officers/directors) are provided in the current research context.

Options Flow

Normal options activity (no specific unusual options activity data provided in research).

Earnings Intelligence

Next Earnings

Estimated late July/early August 2026 (for Q2 2026)

Surprise Probability

Medium

Historical Earnings Pattern

Q1 2026 results saw an EPS beat but a revenue miss, indicating the market may react positively to bottom-line improvements but remains sensitive to sales targets.

Key Metrics to Watch

Revuforj net revenue growth (QoQ and YoY)Overall gross margin (if reported) and operating margin trendsCash burn rate and updated cash runway projections

Competitive Position

Top Competitor

Diverse oncology players (e.g., BMS, Merck, Roche)

Market Share Trend

Gaining market share in its specific indications, driven by strong early commercialization of Revuforj and Niktimvo.

Valuation vs Peers

Likely trading at a premium to broader pharmaceutical peers due to higher growth potential, but competitive within high-growth, early-commercial biotech.

Competitive Advantages

  • Differentiated pipeline assets with novel mechanisms of action (e.g., Revuforj, axatilimab)
  • Strategic collaboration with Menarini Group for Niktimvo
  • Strong initial commercial traction validating market acceptance

Market Intelligence

Get sentiment, earnings intel, and peer analysis with Premium

What Could Drive SNDX Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • Q2 2026 data readouts (multiple programs, per guidance)
  • 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026 (vote on equity plan)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • Topline axatilimab Phase 2 data in Q4 2026
  • Continued ramp-up of Revuforj and Niktimvo commercial sales
  • Potential for new strategic partnerships or expanded indications

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • Advancement of pipeline candidates into later-stage clinical trials
  • Establishment as a market leader in specific oncology niches
  • Achieving sustainable profitability and positive free cash flow

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Upgrade to Premium to see catalysts

What's the Bull Case for SNDX?

  • Acceleration in Revuforj and Niktimvo quarter-over-quarter sales growth

  • Positive clinical trial data readouts for axatilimab and other pipeline assets

  • Clear and consistent improvement in gross and operating margins

Bull Case Analysis

See what could go right with Premium

Competing with SNDX

See how Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc compares to related companies

CompanyMarket CapDVR ScoreP/ERevenueProfit MarginRev Growth

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc

SNDX

$1.7B6.7-6.0$172.3M-165.4%628.9%

AbbVie Inc

ABBV

$403.8B0.1171.8Compare →

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

1.0Compare →

Eli Lilly and Co

LLY

$965.0B0.552.6Compare →

Pfizer Inc

PFE

$150.6B0.219.4$62.6B12.4%-1.6%Compare →

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

$276.2B0.322.9$113.7B2.7%1181.0%Compare →

📊 Explore More Stock Analysis

Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential with our AI-powered analysis.

How Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc Makes Money

Syndax Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage oncology company that discovers, develops, and commercializes innovative therapies for difficult-to-treat cancers. It generates revenue primarily through the direct net sales of its approved product, Revuforj, which targets specific blood cancers. Additionally, Syndax earns collaboration revenue from partners, like Menarini Group, who market its other therapies, such as Niktimvo, globally. The company heavily invests in research and development to expand its pipeline of novel cancer treatments, aiming to address unmet medical needs and capture significant market share in specialized oncology indications.

Read Full Business Model Breakdown

FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc (SNDX)?

As of May 4, 2026, Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc has a DVR Score of 6.7 out of 10, placing it in the "Solid Pick" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc's market capitalization is approximately $1.7B. The company operates in the Healthcare sector within the Biotechnology industry.

What ticker symbol does Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc use?

SNDX is the ticker symbol for Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc. The company trades on the NMS.

What is the risk level for SNDX stock?

Our analysis rates Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of SNDX?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -6.0. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Is Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc's revenue growing?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc has reported revenue growth of 628.9%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.

Is SNDX stock profitable?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc has a profit margin of -165.4%. The company is currently unprofitable.

How often is the SNDX DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on May 4, 2026.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for SNDX (Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Navigated to SNDX Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis