JBL Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Jabil Inc
Technology • Electronic Components
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About JBL Stock
We analyzed Jabil Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran JBL through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.
JBL Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
Jabil's high debt-to-equity ratio (2.50) and low liquidity (current ratio 1.01, quick ratio 0.68) make it susceptible to financial strain if interest rates rise significantly or if a prolonged economic downturn impacts customer demand and payment cycles. Operating on thin margins, any unexpected operational disruption or inability to pass on costs could severely affect profitability and debt servicing capacity.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Moderate
Financial
High
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Low
Red Flags
- ⚠
High Debt-to-Equity ratio of 2.50
- ⚠
Low Current Ratio (1.01) and Quick Ratio (0.68) indicating tight liquidity
- ⚠
Insider selling by affiliates and COO in recent months
- ⚠
Flat operating margins (4.5%) despite strong revenue and EPS growth
Upcoming Risk Events
- 📅
Global economic slowdown impacting customer capital expenditures
- 📅
Intensified competition leading to margin compression
- 📅
Geopolitical tensions affecting global supply chain stability
When to Reconsider
- 🚪
Exit if quarterly operating margins consistently drop below 4%
- 🚪
Sell if debt-to-equity ratio exceeds 3.0 without a clear plan for deleveraging
- 🚪
Exit if significant customer concentration risks emerge or key contracts are lost
Unlock JBL Risk Analysis & Red Flags
Create a free account to see the full analysis
What Does Jabil Inc (JBL) Do?
Market Cap
$33.94B
Sector
Technology
Industry
Electronic Components
Employees
135,000
Jabil Inc. provides engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce. The company offers electronic hardware, and embedded software design services for analog, digital, radio frequency, power, sensor, and optical component applications; creates, develops, and connects concepts and specifications that optimize the function, value, and appearance of products for both consumers and manufacturing partners; design of plastic and metal components, enclosures, sub-assemblies, and systems, with advanced modeling and analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies; detail design, environmental applications, thermal and tooling management; develop solutions for virtual and/or augmented reality, light detection and ranging, 3D sensing, projection, and imaging; delivering PCBA design with CAD tools; and electrical and mechanical assemblies. The company also offers cloud data center server platforms; medical and consumer health devices; automotive assemblies; a digital commerce ecosystem; and smart controls and security for digital building and utilities. In addition, the company offers systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is based in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
Visit Jabil Inc WebsiteInvestment Thesis
Jabil is a well-managed global manufacturing services leader, strategically positioned to benefit from secular growth trends in AI infrastructure, EV, and advanced healthcare. Its strong execution, consistent earnings beats, and raised guidance demonstrate its ability to capture demand in these critical sectors, driving robust, albeit linear, growth and making it a solid large-cap compounder rather than a 10x high-risk, high-reward opportunity.
Is JBL Stock Undervalued?
Unlock the full AI analysis for JBL
Get the complete DVR score, risk analysis, and more
Unlock the full report
Create a free account to see the DVR score, risk flags, and AI analysis.
JBL Price Targets & Strategy
12-Month Target
$379.75
Bull Case
$428.75
Bear Case
$306.25
Valuation Basis
Based on 31x forward P/E applied to $12.25 est. FY2026 EPS.
Entry Strategy
Consider dollar-cost averaging on pullbacks towards the $300-$310 support zone, which corresponds to recent all-time highs and offers a better risk/reward entry point.
Exit Strategy
Consider taking partial profits if the stock approaches $420-$430, representing significant multiple expansion. Set a stop-loss if the price consistently breaks below $280 on weak fundamentals or guidance.
Portfolio Allocation
3-5% for moderate risk tolerance, reflecting its large-cap stability with exposure to growth trends.
Price Targets & Strategy
Upgrade to Premium for price targets and entry/exit strategies
Is JBL Financially Healthy?
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.95
Forward P/E
26.42
EV/EBITDA
9.27
PEG Ratio
1.58
Price/Book
14.98
Price/Sales
0.76
Profitability
Gross Margin
9.04%
Operating Margin
4.28%
Net Margin
2.48%
Return on Equity
58.99%
Revenue Growth
19.00%
EPS
$7.46
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
1.00
Quick Ratio
0.51
Debt/Equity
2.15
Total Debt
$3.88B
Cash & Equivalents
$1.74B
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
$1.72B
Free Cash Flow
$1.32B
EBITDA
$581.00M
Other
Beta (Volatility)
1.22
Dividend Yield
0.10%
Does JBL Have a Competitive Moat?
Sign in to unlockMoat Rating
🛡️ Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
Jabil's global scale, sophisticated manufacturing capabilities, and deep integration into its customers' supply chains create significant switching costs. Its intellectual property and certifications in specialized manufacturing processes are difficult and expensive for competitors to replicate, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •Rapid technological shifts that render existing manufacturing processes obsolete
- •Customers choosing to insource production or diversify their manufacturing partners
- •Increased geopolitical fragmentation impacting global supply chains and cost efficiencies
JBL Competitive Moat Analysis
Sign up to see competitive advantages
JBL Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Neutral to Bullish, given the recent stock performance and exposure to popular tech themes like AI.
Institutional Sentiment
Positive, with recent analyst upgrades from Bank of America and Robert W. Baird, and a 'Moderate Buy' consensus.
Insider Activity (Form 4)
Affiliates sold 20,000 shares on 2026-02-02, 20,000 on 2026-03-02, 30,000 on 2026-04-08, and proposed 30,000 additional. Steven Borges (insider) filed Form 144 for 7,000 shares each on 2026-04-08 and 2026-04-09 (14,000 total proposed). COO sold 4,000 shares on 2026-04-13. All reported activities are sales.
Options Flow
Normal options activity (no specific unusual options activity data provided).
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
2026-06-16
Surprise Probability
High
Historical Earnings Pattern
Jabil tends to see significant stock rallies following strong earnings beats and upward revisions to guidance, as observed after its Q1 CY2026 report.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
FLEX
Market Share Trend
Stable to gaining market share in critical advanced manufacturing segments like AI infrastructure, EV, and healthcare.
Valuation vs Peers
Trading at a premium to sector peers on a P/E basis, reflecting its strong recent growth and strategic positioning.
Competitive Advantages
- •Extensive global manufacturing footprint and supply chain network
- •Deep engineering expertise in complex electronics and product design
- •Strong, long-standing relationships with leading global brands
- •Diversified end-market exposure reduces reliance on any single sector
Market Intelligence
Get sentiment, earnings intel, and peer analysis with Premium
What Could Drive JBL Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q2 CY2026 (Q3 FY2026) Earnings on 2026-06-16
- •Continued strong demand for AI infrastructure and telecom equipment
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Expansion of key customer relationships and new contract wins in EV/Healthcare
- •Strategic investments or tuck-in acquisitions to bolster specialized manufacturing capabilities
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Deepening integration into global supply chains for advanced technologies
- •Leveraging AI and automation within Jabil's own manufacturing processes for efficiency gains
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Upgrade to Premium to see catalysts
What's the Bull Case for JBL?
- ✓
Consistent operating margin expansion or improved net profit margins
- ✓
Meaningful deleveraging (reduction in debt-to-equity ratio)
- ✓
Continued strong organic revenue growth in high-value, strategic segments
Bull Case Analysis
See what could go right with Premium
Competing with JBL
See how Jabil Inc compares to related companies
| Company | Market Cap | DVR Score | P/E | Revenue | Profit Margin | Rev Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jabil Inc JBL | $33.9B | 0.2 | 42.0 | $29.8B | 2.5% | 19.0% | |
NVIDIA Corp NVDA | $4.4T | 5.3 | 38.5 | $215.9B | 55.6% | 65.0% | Compare → |
Super Micro Computer Inc SMCI | $16.2B | 2.7 | 18.6 | $12.7B | 3.1% | 34.8% | Compare → |
XLK XLK | $39.2B | 0.1 | 38.7 | — | — | — | Compare → |
📊 Explore More Stock Analysis
Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential with our AI-powered analysis.
How Jabil Inc Makes Money
Jabil Inc. is a global manufacturing services company that partners with many of the world's leading brands to design, build, and deliver a wide range of electronic and industrial products. They provide comprehensive solutions, from initial product design and engineering to component sourcing, high-volume production, and supply chain management. Essentially, Jabil helps companies bring complex products to market faster and more efficiently by leveraging its vast global manufacturing infrastructure and expertise, enabling their customers to focus on their core competencies like brand and innovation.
Read Full Business Model BreakdownFAQ
What is the DVR Score for Jabil Inc (JBL)?
As of April 18, 2026, Jabil Inc has a DVR Score of 0.2 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Jabil Inc?
Jabil Inc's market capitalization is approximately $33.9B. The company operates in the Technology sector within the Electronic Components industry.
What ticker symbol does Jabil Inc use?
JBL is the ticker symbol for Jabil Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.
What is the risk level for JBL stock?
Our analysis rates Jabil Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of JBL?
Jabil Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42.0. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.
Does Jabil Inc pay a dividend?
Yes, Jabil Inc pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 0.10%.
Is Jabil Inc's revenue growing?
Jabil Inc has reported revenue growth of 19.0%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.
Is JBL stock profitable?
Jabil Inc has a profit margin of 2.5%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.
How often is the JBL DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Jabil Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 18, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for JBL (Jabil Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.