CSX Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
CSX Corp
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on CSX
We analyzed CSX Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran CSX through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
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Weekly adjusted close · Quarterly revenue & EPS · DVR score history
CSX Quality Rating
CSX Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
Medium
CSX Deep Value Analysis
CSX Research Sources
No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.
For educational context only. Not financial advice.
CSX Red Flags & Warning Signs
- ⚠
Q1 2026 earnings miss or weak guidance on April 22, 2026
- ⚠
Significant economic downturn reducing freight demand
- ⚠
Increased regulatory scrutiny or labor disputes
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CSX Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$78.63B
P/E Ratio
27.22
Profit Margin
20.50%
Debt-to-Equity
1.43
Dividend Yield
1.33%
Beta (Volatility)
1.25
Earnings Per Share
$1.54
CSX Competitive Moat Analysis
Moat Rating
Wide
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
CSX's moat is highly durable due to its vast, irreplaceable network of rail lines, land, and strategically located terminals. The regulatory environment and capital intensity of building new competing infrastructure ensure its long-term competitive advantage.
CSX Competitive Moat Analysis
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CSX Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 Earnings Release (April 22, 2026)
- •General economic recovery driving freight volumes
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Infrastructure spending initiatives (potential for increased material transport)
- •Continued efficiency gains through Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) optimization
- •Strategic partnerships for intermodal expansion
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Long-term shift towards lower carbon transportation methods (rail vs. truck)
- •Supply chain re-shoring trends benefiting domestic rail transport
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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CSX Bull Case: What Could Go Right
- ✓
Acceleration in intermodal or merchandise volume growth beyond GDP rates
- ✓
Sustained improvement in operating ratio (lower is better) indicating efficiency gains
- ✓
Significant new infrastructure projects or government initiatives benefiting rail
Bull Case Analysis
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for CSX Corp (CSX)?
As of April 14, 2026, CSX Corp has a DVR Score of 1.2 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of CSX Corp?
CSX Corp's market capitalization is approximately $78.6B..
What is the risk level for CSX stock?
Our analysis rates CSX Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of CSX?
CSX Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.2. This is in line with broader market averages.
Does CSX Corp pay a dividend?
Yes, CSX Corp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 1.33%.
Is CSX Corp's revenue growing?
CSX Corp has reported revenue growth of -3.1%. Revenue has been declining, which warrants closer examination.
Is CSX stock profitable?
CSX Corp has a profit margin of 20.5%. This indicates strong profitability.
How often is the CSX DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of CSX Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 14, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.