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CL Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Colgate-Palmolive Co

Consumer Defensive • Household & Personal Products

DVR Score

0.9

out of 10

Distressed

What You Need to Know About CL Stock

We analyzed Colgate-Palmolive Co using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran CL through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 27, 2026Run Fresh Analysis →

CL Risk Analysis & Red Flags

What Could Go Wrong

Colgate's highly leveraged balance sheet, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 18.82 and liquidity concerns with a current ratio of 0.83, makes it vulnerable to rising interest rates or a significant economic downturn. A sustained period of high input costs could further erode its already pressured core profitability, severely impacting its ability to maintain dividends or invest in growth initiatives without taking on more debt.

Risk Matrix

Overall

Moderate

Financial

High

Market

Low

Competitive

Medium

Execution

Low

Regulatory

Low

Red Flags

  • Current ratio of 0.83, indicating potential short-term liquidity issues.

  • Quick ratio of 0.54, signaling even greater near-term liquidity stress.

  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 18.82, highlighting extreme reliance on debt financing.

  • 2025 10-K noted core profitability erosion, despite recent net margin figures.

  • Analyst concerns over input cost inflation and EPS growth cut to 3-4% for 2026.

Upcoming Risk Events

  • 📅

    Persistent input cost inflation (oil, tallow)

  • 📅

    Increased competitive pressure from private labels or D2C brands

  • 📅

    Economic downturn impacting consumer discretionary spending on premium products

When to Reconsider

  • 🚪

    Exit if core operating margins show a sustained decline (e.g., three consecutive quarters of YoY contraction).

  • 🚪

    Sell if the debt-to-equity ratio increases significantly from current high levels without a clear deleveraging plan.

  • 🚪

    Exit if dividend growth stagnates or is cut, signaling fundamental business distress.

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What Does Colgate-Palmolive Co (CL) Do?

Market Cap

$67.91B

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Household & Personal Products

Employees

34,000

Colgate-Palmolive Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Oral, Personal and Home Care; and Pet Nutrition. The Oral, Personal and Home Care segment offers toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash, bar and liquid hand soaps, shower gels, shampoos, conditioners, deodorants and antiperspirants, skin health products, dishwashing detergents, fabric conditioners, household cleaners, and other related items. This segment markets and sells its products under the Colgate, Palmolive, Darlie, elmex, hello, meridol, Sorriso, Tom's of Maine, EltaMD, Filorga, Irish Spring, Protex, Sanex, Softsoap, Lady Speed Stick, Speed Stick, PCA SKIN, Ajax, Axion, Fabuloso, Murphy, Suavitel, and Soupline brands to a range of traditional and eCommerce retailers, wholesalers, and distributors, as well as dentists and skin health professionals. It also offers pharmaceutical products for dentists and other oral health professionals. The Pet Nutrition segment offers pet nutrition products for everyday nutritional needs under the Hill's Science Diet brand; and a range of therapeutic pet products to help nutritionally support dogs and cats in different stages of health under the Hill's Prescription Diet brand. This segment markets and sells its products through pet supply retailers, veterinarians, and eCommerce retailers. Colgate-Palmolive Company was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Visit Colgate-Palmolive Co Website

Investment Thesis

Colgate-Palmolive serves as a defensive, dividend-paying staple in a diversified portfolio, offering stability and modest, predictable growth. Its strong brand portfolio, global reach, and the consistent performance of its Hill's Pet Nutrition segment provide resilience against economic volatility, making it suitable for long-term, income-focused investors rather than those seeking exponential returns.

Is CL Stock Undervalued?

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) maintains its position as a stable consumer staples giant, with Q4 2025 earnings beating estimates and a modest 5.8% YoY revenue growth. The dividend increase further solidifies its appeal as an income investment. However, its core operations in mature markets, coupled with an analyst-projected EPS growth cut to 3-4% for 2026 and competition from private labels, severely limit its potential for 10x growth within 3-5 years. While it exhibits strong brand loyalty, its financial health presents some red flags, including a current ratio below 1.0 (0.83), quick ratio of 0.54, and very high debt-to-equity (18.82), which suggests an aggressive capital structure. These factors, alongside notes of core profitability erosion, underscore its unsuitability for high-growth, high-reward portfolios focused on exponential returns.

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CL Price Targets & Strategy

12-Month Target

$92.00

Bull Case

$100.00

Bear Case

$80.00

Valuation Basis

Based on 23.5x forward P/E applied to an estimated FY26 EPS of $3.90 (mid-point of analyst growth projections) = $91.65.

Entry Strategy

Consider dollar-cost averaging in the range of $83-$85. This area has historically shown support for CL amidst its typical trading range for a defensive stock.

Exit Strategy

Take profit on significant rallies towards analyst high targets ($98-$100). Implement a stop-loss order if the price consistently breaks below the $80 support level, indicating a shift in investor sentiment or deteriorating fundamentals.

Portfolio Allocation

2-4% for moderate risk tolerance, primarily as a defensive, income-generating component rather than a growth driver.

Price Targets & Strategy

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Is CL Financially Healthy?

Valuation

P/E Ratio

31.87

Forward P/E

22.00

EV/EBITDA

15.10

PEG Ratio

5.33

Price/Sales

3.85

Profitability

Gross Margin

60.11%

Operating Margin

16.06%

Net Margin

10.46%

Return on Equity

431.59%

Revenue Growth

1.40%

EPS

$2.62

Balance Sheet

Current Ratio

0.83

Quick Ratio

0.45

Debt/Equity

147.93

Total Debt

$8.50B

Cash & Equivalents

$2.10B

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow

$4.19B

Free Cash Flow

$3.63B

EBITDA

$5.50B

Other

Beta (Volatility)

0.31

Dividend Yield

2.50%

Does CL Have a Competitive Moat?

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Moat Rating

🏰 Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Brand PowerCost AdvantagesIntangible Assets/IP (product formulations)

Colgate-Palmolive's moat is highly durable, rooted in generations of consumer trust and habit for its essential personal and home care products. The company's brand power is exceptionally strong, making it difficult for new entrants to compete effectively on scale or perceived quality, especially in oral care and pet nutrition.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • Erosion of brand loyalty due to increasing private label competition and proliferation of niche D2C brands.
  • Rapid shifts in consumer preferences towards highly specialized or 'clean' products that CL may be slow to adapt to at scale.

CL Competitive Moat Analysis

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CL Market Intelligence

Sentiment & Insider Activity

Social Sentiment

Neutral. As a mature consumer staples company, CL typically does not generate significant social media buzz or meme stock-like interest.

Institutional Sentiment

Mixed to Positive. Recent analyst actions include upgrades from 'Neutral' to 'Buy' (Rothschild & Co Redburn, Deutsche Bank) alongside a 'Buy' to 'Hold' downgrade (TD Cowen). Target prices generally sit above the current market price, indicating cautious optimism.

Insider Activity (Form 4)

No specific Form 4 filings reporting buys/sells by named executives (CEO/CFO not flagged) within the last 90 days were provided in the research brief.

Options Flow

Normal options activity. No significant unusual put or call activity was reported in the provided real-time intelligence.

Earnings Intelligence

Next Earnings

Q1 2026 results released April 24, 2026. Earnings call scheduled for May 1, 2026.

Surprise Probability

Medium. While Q4 2025 beat estimates, analyst concerns over input costs and EPS growth cuts introduce uncertainty for Q1 2026, despite consensus estimates being in line with prior quarter actuals.

Historical Earnings Pattern

Colgate-Palmolive generally exhibits stable, modest stock price reactions to earnings reports, typically moving within a narrow band unless there's a significant surprise in guidance or core segment performance.

Key Metrics to Watch

Organic sales growth (volume and price components)Gross margin trends, especially impact of input costsPerformance of Hill's Pet Nutrition segmentAny update to 2026 EPS growth guidance

Competitive Position

Top Competitor

Procter & Gamble (PG)

Market Share Trend

Stable. While facing competitive pressures, especially from private labels, CL has demonstrated resilient market share in its core categories, though no recent shifts were detailed.

Valuation vs Peers

CL typically trades at a P/E multiple largely in line with its consumer staples peers, reflecting its stable growth profile. Given the missing specific valuation metrics in the brief, it's difficult to provide an exact comparison but usually, such companies are priced similarly based on their earnings and dividend yield.

Competitive Advantages

  • Globally recognized brand portfolio (Colgate, Palmolive, Hill's)
  • Extensive global distribution network and supply chain efficiency
  • Significant scale providing cost advantages in procurement and manufacturing

Market Intelligence

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What Could Drive CL Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • Q1 2026 Earnings Call (May 1, 2026)
  • Dividend payment (ex-date Apr 20, 2026)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • Continued growth and expansion of Hill's Pet Nutrition
  • Strategic premiumization efforts in oral and personal care segments
  • Expansion in emerging markets, driving incremental volume and pricing

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • Further consolidation in the consumer staples sector
  • Innovation in sustainable and health-focused product lines
  • Leveraging AI for supply chain optimization and personalized marketing

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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What's the Bull Case for CL?

  • Sustained acceleration in organic sales growth, particularly in premium segments.

  • Evidence of successful cost management offsetting input cost inflation to protect margins.

Bull Case Analysis

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Competing with CL

See how Colgate-Palmolive Co compares to related companies

CompanyMarket CapDVR ScoreP/ERevenueProfit MarginRev Growth

Colgate-Palmolive Co

CL

$67.9B0.931.9$20.4B10.5%1.4%

Costco Wholesale Corp

COST

0.7Compare →

Coca-Cola Co

KO

$324.9T0.43.1$47.9B27.3%1.9%Compare →

PepsiCo Inc

PEP

0.1Compare →

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

0.2Compare →

Walmart Inc

WMT

$1.0T0.747.4$713.2B3.1%4.7%Compare →

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How Colgate-Palmolive Co Makes Money

Colgate-Palmolive is a global consumer products company that manufactures and markets a wide array of household, healthcare, personal care, and pet nutrition products. It makes money by selling these everyday essential goods, such as toothpastes, toothbrushes, soaps, detergents, and specialized pet food, to consumers worldwide through various retail channels, including supermarkets, hypermarkets, e-commerce, and specialized pet stores. The business model relies on strong brand recognition, extensive distribution networks, and continuous product innovation to maintain market leadership and consumer loyalty.

Read Full Business Model Breakdown

FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Colgate-Palmolive Co (CL)?

As of April 27, 2026, Colgate-Palmolive Co has a DVR Score of 0.9 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Colgate-Palmolive Co?

Colgate-Palmolive Co's market capitalization is approximately $67.9B. The company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector within the Household & Personal Products industry.

What ticker symbol does Colgate-Palmolive Co use?

CL is the ticker symbol for Colgate-Palmolive Co. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for CL stock?

Our analysis rates Colgate-Palmolive Co's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of CL?

Colgate-Palmolive Co currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.9. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Does Colgate-Palmolive Co pay a dividend?

Yes, Colgate-Palmolive Co pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 2.50%.

Is Colgate-Palmolive Co's revenue growing?

Colgate-Palmolive Co has reported revenue growth of 1.4%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is CL stock profitable?

Colgate-Palmolive Co has a profit margin of 10.5%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the CL DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Colgate-Palmolive Co is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 27, 2026.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for CL (Colgate-Palmolive Co) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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