YPF Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
YPF SA
Energy • Oil & Gas Integrated
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About YPF Stock
We analyzed YPF SA using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran YPF through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Aggressive. Here's what we found.
How Risky Is YPF Stock?
Overall Risk
Aggressive
Financial Risk
Medium
Market Risk
High
Competitive Risk
Low
Execution Risk
Medium
Regulatory Risk
High
What Are the Red Flags for YPF?
- ⚠
Reversal or slowdown of Argentina's market-friendly reforms
- ⚠
Significant decline in global oil and gas prices
- ⚠
Geopolitical instability in Latin America or global energy markets
- ⚠
Execution delays or cost overruns in Vaca Muerta projects
Unlock YPF Red Flags & Risk Warnings
Create a free account to see the full analysis
What Does YPF SA (YPF) Do?
Market Cap
$11.00B
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated
YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in Argentina. Its upstream operations include the exploration, exploitation, and production of crude oil, and natural gas. The company's downstream operations include petrochemical production and crude oil refining; transportation and distribution of refined and petrochemical products; commercialization of crude oil, petrochemical products, and specialties. Its gas and power operations include transportation, commercialization, and distribution of natural gas; commercial and technical operation of regasification terminals; transportation, conditioning, processing, and separation of natural gas; and power generation. The company had interests in oil and gas fields. It also had a retail distribution network and retail service stations. In addition, the company owns and operates refineries, as well as maintains terminal facilities Argentine ports. Further, it participates in power generation plants; offers diesel, fertilizers, lubricants, phytosanitary products, and ensiling bags; and supplies diesel, gasoline, fuel oil, coal, asphalts, paraffin, and sulfur, CO2, decanted oil, and aromatic extract. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Visit YPF SA WebsiteIs YPF Stock Undervalued?
Unlock the full AI analysis for YPF
Get the complete DVR score, risk analysis, and more
Is YPF Financially Healthy?
P/E Ratio
8.69
Does YPF Have a Competitive Moat?
Sign in to unlockMoat Rating
🛡️ Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
2 Identified
YPF's moat is largely underpinned by its control over Argentina's largest oil and gas reserves, particularly the Vaca Muerta shale formation, and its status as the national energy champion. This grants it significant domestic market power and strategic importance, making its assets difficult to replicate.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •High political intervention risk, including potential for policy shifts or renationalization
- •Significant commodity price volatility impacting profitability and investment capacity
- •Environmental opposition and regulatory hurdles slowing Vaca Muerta development
YPF Competitive Moat Analysis
Sign up to see competitive advantages
What Could Drive YPF Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q4 2025 Earnings Report (Estimated late Feb/early March 2026)
- •Further clarity/announcements on YPF privatization plans by the Argentine government
- •Operational updates on Vaca Muerta production growth and infrastructure development
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Major new strategic partnerships for Vaca Muerta development
- •Significant milestones in Vaca Muerta's full production ramp-up
- •Improvement in Argentina's macroeconomic stability and credit rating
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Argentina establishing itself as a significant global energy exporter (LNG/oil)
- •YPF's role in a potential regional energy hub
- •Gradual transition towards lower-carbon energy technologies
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Upgrade to Premium to see catalysts
What's the Bull Case for YPF?
- ✓
Concrete progress on YPF's privatization, including timelines and terms
- ✓
Consistent growth in Vaca Muerta production metrics and export volumes
- ✓
Improvements in Argentina's sovereign risk indicators and currency stability
- ✓
Sustained favorable global oil and gas price environment
Bull Case Analysis
See what could go right with Premium
📊 Explore More Stock Analysis
Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential with our AI-powered analysis.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for YPF (YPF SA) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
