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VLY Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Valley National Bancorp

Financial Services โ€ข Banks - Regional

DVR Score

0.5

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on VLY

We analyzed Valley National Bancorp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran VLY through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 24, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆVLY Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

VLY Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Medium

Market Risk

Medium

About Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Banks - Regional

Market Cap Category

mid

Market Cap

$5.84B

VLY Deep Value Analysis

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) operates within the regional banking sector, a mature and highly regulated industry that fundamentally lacks the disruptive innovation or exponential scalability required for 10x growth within a 3-5 year timeframe. Its business model relies on incremental expansion, stable but not rapidly expanding competitive advantages, and a vision focused on traditional banking operations rather than capturing entirely new, high-growth market segments. While financially stable for a regional bank, its capital allocation and leadership are geared towards sustained operations and moderate growth, not high-risk, high-reward ventures. No material changes have occurred since the last analysis on 2026-01-29 that would suggest a pivot towards transformative growth, thus reaffirming its very low potential for this specific investment thesis.

Compare VLY to Similar Stocks

See how Valley National Bancorp stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

VLY Red Flags & Warning Signs

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  • โš 

    Unexpected deterioration in credit quality or increase in loan loss provisions

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    Increased competition from larger banks or fintech entrants

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    Significant shifts in regulatory policies impacting regional banks

  • โš 

    Prolonged economic downturn or recession in key operating states

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VLY Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$5.84B

P/E Ratio

11.85

VLY Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable to Eroding

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Switching CostsBrand Power (localized)Efficient Scale (regional)

VLY's moat is largely based on customer inertia, long-standing relationships, and a recognizable local brand. Its durability is challenged by increasing digital alternatives, aggressive pricing from larger institutions, and the ease of switching banks in the digital age.

VLY Competitive Moat Analysis

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VLY Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated Early May 2026)
  • โ€ขFederal Reserve interest rate decisions and forward guidance
  • โ€ขRegional economic growth reports for key operating areas (NY, NJ, FL, AL)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขSuccessful integration of any potential small-scale M&A activities
  • โ€ขProgress on digital transformation initiatives to improve operational efficiency
  • โ€ขStable to improving Net Interest Margin (NIM) trends

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขSustained economic stability and growth across its operating footprint
  • โ€ขLong-term demographic shifts favoring its chosen markets
  • โ€ขEnhanced market position through strategic, accretive acquisitions

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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VLY Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Consistent improvement in Net Interest Margin (NIM) through effective asset-liability management

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    Evidence of disciplined loan growth coupled with stable credit quality

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    Successful integration and synergy realization from any future M&A activities

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Valley National Bancorp (VLY)?

As of February 24, 2026, Valley National Bancorp has a DVR Score of 0.5 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Valley National Bancorp?

Valley National Bancorp's market capitalization is approximately $5.8B. The company operates in the Financial Services sector within the Banks - Regional industry.

What ticker symbol does Valley National Bancorp use?

VLY is the ticker symbol for Valley National Bancorp. The company trades on the NMS.

What is the risk level for VLY stock?

Our analysis rates Valley National Bancorp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of VLY?

Valley National Bancorp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.9. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Does Valley National Bancorp pay a dividend?

Yes, Valley National Bancorp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 407.00%.

How often is the VLY DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Valley National Bancorp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 24, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.