PRGS Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Progress Software Corp
Technology • Software - Infrastructure
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on PRGS
We analyzed Progress Software Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran PRGS through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
PRGS Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
Medium
About Progress Software Corp (PRGS)
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
Market Cap Category
small
Market Cap
$1.88B
PRGS Deep Value Analysis
PRGS Red Flags & Warning Signs
- âš
Global economic downturn impacting enterprise IT spending
- âš
Increased competitive pressure from cloud-native solutions or open-source alternatives
- âš
Failure to successfully integrate acquired companies or achieve expected synergies
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PRGS Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$1.88B
P/E Ratio
39.65
PRGS Competitive Moat Analysis
Sign in to unlockMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
2 Identified
The moat will persist due to the mission-critical nature of its software within existing customer infrastructure, leading to high migration costs and vendor lock-in. This ensures stable, recurring revenue.
PRGS Competitive Moat Analysis
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PRGS Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 Earnings (Estimated early April 2026)
- •Integration success of recent tuck-in acquisitions
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Consistent execution on cross-selling initiatives within existing customer base
- •Announcement of additional modest, accretive acquisitions to expand product lines
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Sustained strong free cash flow generation for shareholder returns
- •Continued stability and relevance of core enterprise software offerings
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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PRGS Bull Case: What Could Go Right
- ✓
Sustained acceleration in organic revenue growth above management's guidance
- ✓
Significant margin compression or unexpected decline in free cash flow
- ✓
Strategic shift towards high-growth, disruptive market segments (unlikely but notable if it occurs)
Bull Case Analysis
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