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ORLA Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Orla Mining Ltd

Basic Materials โ€ข Gold

DVR Score

3.8

out of 10

Risk Trap

The Bottom Line on ORLA

We analyzed Orla Mining Ltd using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran ORLA through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 14, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆORLA Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

ORLA Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA)

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Gold

Market Cap Category

mid

Market Cap

$4.69B

ORLA Deep Value Analysis

Orla Mining, a proficient gold producer, continues to demonstrate strong operational execution at its Camino Rojo asset and maintains a healthy financial position. However, its core business model within the capital-intensive and linearly scalable mining industry inherently limits its potential for 10x growth within a 3-5 year timeframe. While it offers leverage to gold prices and organic expansion, it lacks the disruptive market opportunity, exponential scalability, or rapidly expanding competitive moats characteristic of extreme growth candidates. Significant jurisdictional risks, particularly concerning the Cerro Quema project in Panama, remain a material overhang. No significant material changes have occurred since the last analysis to fundamentally alter its 10x growth trajectory, thus the score remains consistent with previous assessments.

Compare ORLA to Similar Stocks

See how Orla Mining Ltd stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

ORLA Red Flags & Warning Signs

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  • โš 

    Significant decline in gold prices

  • โš 

    Operational issues or cost overruns at Camino Rojo

  • โš 

    Negative developments or definitive rejection for Cerro Quema permits

  • โš 

    Increased political or social instability in Mexico or Panama

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ORLA Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$4.69B

P/E Ratio

86.19

ORLA Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

2 Identified

Cost AdvantagesIntangible Assets/IP

The moat is primarily derived from owning and efficiently operating high-grade, low-cost gold deposits and the geological expertise to discover and develop them. This is durable as long as reserve replacement and cost control are maintained.

ORLA Competitive Moat Analysis

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ORLA Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ4 2025 Earnings Release (Estimated early March 2026)
  • โ€ขUpdated exploration results from Camino Rojo and South Crofty
  • โ€ขGold price appreciation driven by macroeconomic factors

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขFeasibility Study results for Camino Rojo Sulphide project
  • โ€ขProgress on Cerro Quema permitting and community engagement
  • โ€ขPotential M&A activity within the mid-tier gold sector

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขSuccessful development and production from new significant projects (e.g., Camino Rojo Sulphide)
  • โ€ขConsolidation in the gold mining industry creating larger, more efficient entities
  • โ€ขSustained elevated gold prices leading to re-rating of gold equities

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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ORLA Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Sustained increase in gold prices (above $2,100/oz)

  • โœ“

    Consistent delivery on production and cost guidance

  • โœ“

    Positive progress or resolution on Cerro Quema permitting

  • โœ“

    Expansion of high-grade reserves at existing and new projects

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA)?

As of February 14, 2026, Orla Mining Ltd has a DVR Score of 3.8 out of 10, placing it in the "Risk Trap" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Orla Mining Ltd?

Orla Mining Ltd's market capitalization is approximately $4.7B. The company operates in the Basic Materials sector within the Gold industry.

What ticker symbol does Orla Mining Ltd use?

ORLA is the ticker symbol for Orla Mining Ltd. The company trades on the ASE.

What is the risk level for ORLA stock?

Our analysis rates Orla Mining Ltd's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of ORLA?

Orla Mining Ltd currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 86.2. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Does Orla Mining Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes, Orla Mining Ltd pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 41.00%.

How often is the ORLA DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Orla Mining Ltd is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 14, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.