ON Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

ON Semiconductor Corp

Technology • Semiconductors

DVR Score

8.7

out of 10

Hidden Gem

What You Need to Know About ON Stock

We analyzed ON Semiconductor Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran ON through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 19, 2026Run Fresh Analysis →

How Risky Is ON Stock?

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

Competitive Risk

Medium

Execution Risk

Medium

Regulatory Risk

Low

What Are the Red Flags for ON?

  • Slower-than-expected EV adoption rates globally

  • Intensified competition leading to price erosion in SiC market

  • Macroeconomic downturn impacting industrial CapEx spending

  • Supply chain disruptions or production issues impacting SiC fab utilization

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What Does ON Semiconductor Corp (ON) Do?

Market Cap

$21.35B

Sector

Technology

Industry

Semiconductors

Employees

26,400

ON Semiconductor Corporation provides intelligent sensing and power solutions in Hong Kong, Singapore, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments Power Solutions Group, Analog and Mixed-Signal Group, and Intelligent Sensing Group. The Power Solutions Group segment offers discrete, module and integrated semiconductor products that perform multiple application functions, including power switching, signal conditioning, and circuit protection. The Analog and Mixed-Signal Group segment designs and develops analogues, mixed-signal, power management ICs, sensor interface devices, power conversion, signal chain, and voltage regulation devices for end-users in the automotive, industrial, computing and mobile end-markets. The Intelligent Sensing Group segment designs and develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor image sensors, image signal processors, single photon detectors, including silicon photomultipliers, single photon avalanche diode arrays, and short-wavelength infrared products, as well as actuator drivers for autofocus and image stabilization for a broad base of end-users in the different end-markets. ON Semiconductor Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

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Is ON Stock Undervalued?

ON Semiconductor continues to execute its strategic pivot exceptionally well, focusing on high-growth intelligent power and sensing solutions for EV and industrial applications. Its vertically integrated Silicon Carbide (SiC) technology is a significant, expanding competitive moat, solidified by strategic OEM partnerships. Management's consistent delivery on financial targets and vision fosters confidence. While semiconductor cyclicality is a backdrop, ON's targeted leadership in critical, secular growth trends positions it for substantial re-rating. The 10x potential hinges on sustained SiC market dominance, effective scaling, and continued design win momentum, aligning with previous assessments.

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Is ON Financially Healthy?

P/E Ratio

49.71

Does ON Have a Competitive Moat?

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Moat Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Moat Trend

Expanding

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsCost AdvantagesEfficient Scale

ON's moat is durable due to the high capital expenditure, complex R&D, and specialized expertise required for SiC manufacturing. Long design-in cycles for automotive applications create sticky customer relationships and significant switching costs. Vertical integration provides cost control and supply security, further strengthening its competitive position.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • Faster-than-expected commoditization of SiC technology
  • Aggressive capacity expansions by competitors leading to oversupply
  • Breakthrough alternative technologies emerging for power semiconductors

ON Competitive Moat Analysis

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What Could Drive ON Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • Q1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated early May 2026)
  • Announcement of new SiC design wins in automotive or industrial sectors
  • Key product introductions or technology demonstrations at industry events

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • Full ramp-up of new SiC manufacturing capacity (e.g., GlobalFoundries, Czech facility)
  • Expansion of long-term supply agreements with major EV OEMs
  • Geographic expansion into emerging EV markets (e.g., Southeast Asia)

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • Achievement of dominant market share in the EV power semiconductor space
  • Broad adoption of SiC across all high-power industrial applications
  • Establishment as a leading intelligent power and sensing platform provider for next-gen IoT and AI edge devices

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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What's the Bull Case for ON?

  • Acceleration in SiC revenue growth and backlog

  • Sustained gross margin expansion

  • Announcement of new, major long-term supply agreements or design wins

  • Progress on new manufacturing capacity ramp-ups

Bull Case Analysis

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Compare ON to Similar Stocks

See how ON Semiconductor Corp stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

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Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for ON (ON Semiconductor Corp) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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