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NOTE Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

FiscalNote Holdings Inc

Technology โ€ข Information Technology Services

DVR Score

5.5

out of 10

Proceed with Caution

The Bottom Line on NOTE

We analyzed FiscalNote Holdings Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran NOTE through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 10, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

NOTE Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Aggressive

Financial Risk

High

Market Risk

Medium

About FiscalNote Holdings Inc (NOTE)

Sector

Technology

Industry

Information Technology Services

Market Cap Category

small

Market Cap

$45.88M

NOTE Deep Value Analysis

FiscalNote remains a highly speculative, high-risk, high-reward opportunity for 10x growth, though recent developments have increased the risk profile. The company operates in a growing market for policy intelligence, with a clear strategic vision centered on AI/ML integration, which continues to hold potential. However, the notable decrease in market capitalization from $0.03B to $0.02B in a short period suggests heightened investor concern and persistent financial pressures. While management is targeting Adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q2 2026 and revenue acceleration has been reported, the substantial debt, tight cash runway, and market cap erosion underscore the fragility. The path to 10x is now even more contingent on flawless operational execution, successful debt management, and urgently unlocking significant new capital, making it a higher-risk play than previously assessed.

NOTE Red Flags & Warning Signs

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  • โš 

    Failure to achieve Q2 2026 profitability target

  • โš 

    Inability to secure additional financing or restructure debt

  • โš 

    Significant customer churn or deceleration in revenue growth

  • โš 

    Increased competition from larger players entering the AI policy space

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NOTE Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$45.88M

NOTE Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Expanding

Moat Sources

2 Identified

Intangible Assets/IP (proprietary data, AI models)Switching Costs (integrated workflows for clients)

The moat is strengthening as FiscalNote integrates more AI/ML into its vast datasets, creating increasingly valuable and sticky tools for policy professionals. However, its durability is highly contingent on the company achieving financial stability and continuing to innovate faster than competitors.

NOTE Competitive Moat Analysis

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NOTE Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ4 2025 Earnings Report (Estimated late Q1 / early Q2 2026)
  • โ€ขAchievement of Adjusted EBITDA profitability (Target Q2 2026)
  • โ€ขAnnouncement of new strategic partnerships or significant client wins

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขSuccessful refinancing or significant reduction of existing debt burden
  • โ€ขDemonstrated acceleration in recurring revenue growth (ARR)
  • โ€ขExpansion of AI-powered product offerings and adoption

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขEstablishing market leadership in AI-driven policy intelligence
  • โ€ขSuccessful integration of acquisitions driving synergy and growth
  • โ€ขAchieving sustainable free cash flow generation and profitability

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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NOTE Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Achievement and sustainability of Adjusted EBITDA profitability

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    Successful debt restructuring or significant reduction in debt levels

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    Demonstrated acceleration in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and net retention rates

  • โœ“

    Securing major new government contracts or enterprise partnerships

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for FiscalNote Holdings Inc (NOTE)?

As of February 10, 2026, FiscalNote Holdings Inc has a DVR Score of 5.5 out of 10, placing it in the "Proceed with Caution" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of FiscalNote Holdings Inc?

FiscalNote Holdings Inc's market capitalization is approximately $45.9M. The company operates in the Technology sector within the Information Technology Services industry.

What ticker symbol does FiscalNote Holdings Inc use?

NOTE is the ticker symbol for FiscalNote Holdings Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for NOTE stock?

Our analysis rates FiscalNote Holdings Inc's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

How often is the NOTE DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of FiscalNote Holdings Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 10, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.