NEM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Newmont Corporation

Basic Materials • Gold

DVR Score

1.0

out of 10

Distressed

What You Need to Know About NEM Stock

We analyzed Newmont Corporation using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran NEM through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 22, 2026Run Fresh Analysis →

How Risky Is NEM Stock?

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

High

Competitive Risk

Low

Execution Risk

Medium

Regulatory Risk

Medium

What Are the Red Flags for NEM?

  • Significant downturn in gold or copper prices

  • Unexpected operational disruptions or cost overruns at key mines

  • Adverse regulatory changes in key operating jurisdictions

  • Failure to achieve expected synergies from Newcrest integration

Unlock NEM Red Flags & Risk Warnings

Create a free account to see the full analysis

What Does Newmont Corporation (NEM) Do?

Market Cap

$109.64B

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Gold

Employees

22,200

Newmont Corporation engages in the production and exploration of gold properties. It also explores for copper, silver, zinc, lead, and other metals. The company has operations and/or assets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, Papua New Guinea, Ecuador, Fiji, and Ghana, and internationally. Newmont Corporation was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Visit Newmont Corporation Website

Is NEM Stock Undervalued?

Newmont Corporation (NEM) remains the undisputed global leader in gold production, augmented by its significant copper portfolio and recent strategic acquisitions like Newcrest, which further solidifies its position. It boasts a world-class asset base of long-life, low-cost mines and a strong balance sheet. While these attributes make it a stable, dividend-paying investment offering commodity price exposure and potential for moderate capital appreciation, they fundamentally do not align with a 10x growth trajectory within 3-5 years. Its business model as a mature, capital-intensive miner in an industry with finite resources inherently limits exponential scalability. The company is built for stability and returns in line with its sector, not disruptive, hyper-growth potential.

Unlock the full AI analysis for NEM

Get the complete DVR score, risk analysis, and more

Is NEM Financially Healthy?

P/E Ratio

16.44

Does NEM Have a Competitive Moat?

Sign in to unlock

Moat Rating

🏰 Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Cost AdvantagesEfficient ScaleIntangible Assets/IP

Newmont's moat is durable due to its vast, globally diversified portfolio of Tier 1 assets, which offer significant operational scale and cost efficiencies that are difficult for smaller competitors to replicate. Its extensive reserve base ensures long-term production, while its deep geological and operational expertise contributes to sustained low-cost production.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • Depletion of high-grade reserves over the very long term without sufficient replacement
  • Sudden and sustained collapse in commodity prices that undermines profitability despite cost advantages
  • Increasing regulatory hurdles and permitting complexity in new project developments

NEM Competitive Moat Analysis

Sign up to see competitive advantages

What Could Drive NEM Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • Q4 2025 Earnings Report (Estimated late February 2026 - Q1 2026 Earnings will be late April/early May 2026)
  • Updates on Newcrest integration synergy realization
  • Fluctuations in global gold and copper prices

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • Major operational efficiency improvements across key assets
  • Further strategic asset optimization or divestitures
  • Potential new significant discoveries or reserve upgrades

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • Sustained high gold price environment driven by inflation or geopolitical instability
  • Increased demand for copper from electrification and renewable energy trends
  • Successful development of next-generation mining technologies

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Upgrade to Premium to see catalysts

What's the Bull Case for NEM?

  • Sustained upward trend in gold and copper prices

  • Consistent achievement of production targets and AISC guidance

  • Successful integration and synergy realization from recent acquisitions

Bull Case Analysis

See what could go right with Premium

Compare NEM to Similar Stocks

See how Newmont Corporation stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

📊 Explore More Stock Analysis

Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential with our AI-powered analysis.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for NEM (Newmont Corporation) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

More Resources to Boost Your Portfolio

Explore our other guides and tools to maximize your investment returns

5-Minute Guide Thumbnail

6 Simple Steps Spotting Undervalued Stocks

Learn More
Dividend Stocks Thumbnail

Earn $500/Month with Dividend Stocks

Learn More
Swing Trading Guide Thumbnail

3 Swing Trading Strategies for Predictable Gains

Learn More
Navigated to NEM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis