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MCD Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

McDonald's Corp

Consumer Cyclical โ€ข Restaurants

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on MCD

We analyzed McDonald's Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran MCD through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Mar 13, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆMCD Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

MCD Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Conservative

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Low

About McDonald's Corp (MCD)

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Restaurants

Market Cap Category

mega

Market Cap

$221.07B

MCD Deep Value Analysis

McDonald's remains a global mega-cap leader with an undisputed brand, vast operational scale, and a well-defined strategy centered on digital, delivery, and loyalty to drive consistent, stable growth. Its competitive advantages are robust and durable, ensuring strong financial health and stable returns. However, this analysis specifically targets companies with a realistic 10x growth potential within 3-5 years. For a company with a current market capitalization exceeding $230 billion, achieving a $2.3 trillion valuation in such a short timeframe, especially within the mature quick-service restaurant industry, is not feasible. The company's growth trajectory supports income and capital preservation rather than exponential returns. No material changes have occurred since the last analysis (2026-02-21) to alter this fundamental assessment of its 10x growth prospects.

Compare MCD to Similar Stocks

See how McDonald's Corp stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

MCD Red Flags & Warning Signs

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    Significant slowdown in consumer spending due to economic downturn

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    Increased commodity prices impacting margins

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    Intensified competition from fast-casual or rival QSR chains

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MCD Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$221.07B

P/E Ratio

26.41

MCD Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Brand PowerCost AdvantagesEfficient ScaleIntangible Assets/IP

McDonald's moat is highly durable due to its globally recognized brand, massive scale providing cost efficiencies in sourcing and advertising, and a well-established franchise system that creates efficient market penetration. These factors are extremely difficult for competitors to replicate.

MCD Competitive Moat Analysis

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MCD Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated late April 2026)
  • โ€ขNew limited-time menu item launches (ongoing)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขExpansion of digital ordering and loyalty programs to new markets
  • โ€ขStrategic partnerships for supply chain optimization or delivery services

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขContinued global market penetration in emerging economies
  • โ€ขInnovation in automation and kitchen technology for efficiency

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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MCD Bull Case: What Could Go Right

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    Sustained acceleration in global comparable sales growth (above 5% consistently)

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    Significant expansion of operating margins through efficiency gains

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    Any substantial decline in dividend growth rates or market share

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for McDonald's Corp (MCD)?

As of March 13, 2026, McDonald's Corp has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of McDonald's Corp?

McDonald's Corp's market capitalization is approximately $221.1B. The company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector within the Restaurants industry.

What ticker symbol does McDonald's Corp use?

MCD is the ticker symbol for McDonald's Corp. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for MCD stock?

Our analysis rates McDonald's Corp's overall risk as Conservative. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of MCD?

McDonald's Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.4. This is in line with broader market averages.

Does McDonald's Corp pay a dividend?

Yes, McDonald's Corp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 239.00%.

How often is the MCD DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of McDonald's Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 13, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.