LMT Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Lockheed Martin Corp

DVR Score

0.4

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on LMT

We analyzed Lockheed Martin Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran LMT through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 14, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

LMT Quality Rating

0.4
0.5
Growth
8.0
Profitability
9.0
Health
7.0
Capital allocation
1.0
Momentum

LMT Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Conservative

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Low

LMT Deep Value Analysis

Lockheed Martin (LMT) is the undisputed leader in the global defense industry, boasting an exceptional $194 billion record backlog and consistent financial performance with 6% YoY revenue growth in FY2025. Its robust balance sheet, strong free cash flow, and reliable dividend make it a prime choice for stability and income-oriented investors. However, LMT's growth is inherently incremental, tied to government budgetary cycles and geopolitical dynamics. While recent news, including a significant boost to its venture capital fund, new missile production contracts, and space mission successes, are positive for operational efficiency and segment growth, they do not introduce the disruptive technologies or market expansions capable of generating 10x growth from its current massive $147 billion market capitalization within 3-5 years. The consensus 'Hold' rating and modest analyst price targets further underscore the limited upside for aggressive growth investors seeking exponential returns. LMT is a high-quality income and stability play, but a 'dud' for 10x growth potential.

LMT Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

Compare LMT to Similar Stocks

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LMT Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Potential delays or cost overruns on major government contracts

  • โš 

    Significant cuts to U.S. or international defense budgets

  • โš 

    Unexpected shifts in global geopolitical landscape leading to de-escalation

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LMT Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$142.21B

P/E Ratio

28.35

Profit Margin

6.69%

Debt-to-Equity

3.23

Dividend Yield

2.23%

Beta (Volatility)

0.24

Earnings Per Share

$21.49

LMT Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Wide

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsEfficient ScaleBrand Power

Lockheed Martin's moat is highly durable, rooted in its critical role in national security, the extremely high barriers to entry in defense manufacturing, long-term government contracts, and continuous investment in advanced, proprietary technology.

LMT Competitive Moat Analysis

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LMT Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Release (April 23, 2026)
  • โ€ขContinued progress on PAC-3 MSE production ramp-up
  • โ€ขUpdates on government defense budget allocations

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขSuccessful integration of Lockheed Martin Ventures portfolio companies into core operations
  • โ€ขKey program milestones for F-35 deliveries and international sales
  • โ€ขAdvancements in space exploration programs (e.g., Artemis II crewed flight)

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขDevelopment and adoption of next-generation defense technologies (e.g., hypersonics, AI-driven systems)
  • โ€ขExpansion into new global defense markets with strategic allies
  • โ€ขContinued tailwinds from rising global geopolitical tensions and increased defense spending

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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LMT Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Consistency in dividend growth and share buyback programs.

  • โœ“

    Success in integrating technologies from Lockheed Martin Ventures.

  • โœ“

    Any signs of accelerating organic revenue growth beyond historical rates.

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)?

As of April 14, 2026, Lockheed Martin Corp has a DVR Score of 0.4 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Lockheed Martin Corp?

Lockheed Martin Corp's market capitalization is approximately $142.2B..

What is the risk level for LMT stock?

Our analysis rates Lockheed Martin Corp's overall risk as Conservative. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of LMT?

Lockheed Martin Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.3. This is in line with broader market averages.

Does Lockheed Martin Corp pay a dividend?

Yes, Lockheed Martin Corp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 2.23%.

Is Lockheed Martin Corp's revenue growing?

Lockheed Martin Corp has reported revenue growth of 5.6%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is LMT stock profitable?

Lockheed Martin Corp has a profit margin of 6.7%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the LMT DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Lockheed Martin Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 14, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.