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KEY Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

KeyCorp

Financial Services โ€ข Banks - Regional

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on KEY

We analyzed KeyCorp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran KEY through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Mar 14, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆKEY Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

KEY Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About KeyCorp (KEY)

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Banks - Regional

Market Cap Category

large

Market Cap

$22.92B

KEY Deep Value Analysis

KeyCorp, a large-cap regional bank, operates within a mature and highly regulated industry. Its fundamental business model relies on traditional lending, deposit-taking, and wealth management, which is inherently geared towards stable, incremental growth and dividend distribution, not the exponential 10x growth sought within 3-5 years. The company shows no evidence of disruptive technology, a nascent or rapidly expanding Total Addressable Market (TAM) that it can dominate, or any announced strategic pivot capable of generating such high-risk, high-reward returns. Competitive advantages are standard for an established bank, focusing on regional presence and customer relationships, but lack the potential for significant market share disruption needed for outsized growth. Given no material changes since the previous analysis (2026-02-28) that would alter its fundamental growth trajectory or introduce 10x potential, its suitability for this investment criteria remains extremely low. The current score reflects its profile as a stable dividend payer, not a high-growth disruptor.

KEY Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Q1 earnings miss or negative guidance outlook

  • โš 

    Deterioration of credit quality leading to increased loan loss provisions

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    Heightened competition from larger national banks or fintechs

  • โš 

    Unexpected adverse regulatory changes impacting capital requirements or compliance costs

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KEY Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$22.92B

P/E Ratio

25.89

KEY Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Switching CostsEfficient ScaleBrand PowerIntangible Assets (banking licenses, customer data)

KeyCorp's moat is primarily driven by the high switching costs associated with changing banking relationships for both retail and commercial clients, its established branch network creating efficient scale in its regions, and the regulatory barriers to entry in banking. These factors provide a durable, albeit not expanding, competitive advantage.

KEY Competitive Moat Analysis

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KEY Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated Late April 2026)
  • โ€ขFederal Reserve interest rate decisions (Potential for Net Interest Margin improvement)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขSustained economic growth driving loan demand (Commercial & Industrial, Real Estate)
  • โ€ขPotential for bolt-on acquisitions in fragmented regional banking market
  • โ€ขSuccessful integration of digital banking initiatives to enhance efficiency

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขContinued market share gains in core regions through disciplined lending and service
  • โ€ขStabilization of deposit costs and sustained growth in non-interest income
  • โ€ขEvolution of regulatory landscape leading to more favorable operating conditions

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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KEY Bull Case: What Could Go Right

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    Consistent positive growth in Net Interest Income and Net Interest Margin

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    Stable to improving credit quality metrics (e.g., declining non-performing loans)

  • โœ“

    Effective expense management and efficiency ratio improvements

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    Any unexpected significant capital return policy changes (e.g., dividend cuts or special dividends)

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for KeyCorp (KEY)?

As of March 14, 2026, KeyCorp has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of KeyCorp?

KeyCorp's market capitalization is approximately $22.9B. The company operates in the Financial Services sector within the Banks - Regional industry.

What ticker symbol does KeyCorp use?

KEY is the ticker symbol for KeyCorp. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for KEY stock?

Our analysis rates KeyCorp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of KEY?

KeyCorp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.9. This is in line with broader market averages.

Does KeyCorp pay a dividend?

Yes, KeyCorp pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 391.00%.

How often is the KEY DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of KeyCorp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 14, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.