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IPAR Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Interparfums Inc

Consumer Defensive β€’ Household & Personal Products

DVR Score

1.4

out of 10

Distressed

What You Need to Know About IPAR Stock

We analyzed Interparfums Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran IPAR through our deep value framework β€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.

Updated Mar 25, 2026β€’Run Fresh Analysis β†’

IPAR Risk Analysis & Red Flags

What Could Go Wrong

Luxury sector headwinds could intensify further, leading to decreased discretionary consumer spending on fragrances. Combined with the company's conservative FY2026 sales guidance, this could result in a significant slowdown in revenue growth and potential earnings misses, causing the stock to underperform.

Risk Matrix

Overall

Moderate

Financial

Low

Market

Medium

Competitive

Medium

Execution

Medium

Regulatory

Low

Red Flags

  • ⚠

    Conservative FY2026 sales guidance suggesting flat to slightly declining revenue YoY (vs. TTM 2025)

  • ⚠

    No insider buys reported in the last 90 days, with prior director sales in 2025

  • ⚠

    The provided research lacks specific current ratio, quick ratio, debt-to-equity, and free cash flow data, limiting full balance sheet and liquidity assessment.

Upcoming Risk Events

  • πŸ“…

    Potential intensification of luxury sector headwinds

  • πŸ“…

    Disappointing FY2026 guidance updates

  • πŸ“…

    Negative outcome of capital raising votes impacting shareholder value

When to Reconsider

  • πŸšͺ

    Exit if quarterly revenue growth turns negative or gross margin falls below 60% for two consecutive quarters.

  • πŸšͺ

    Sell if the luxury fragrance market contracts by more than 5% YoY for two consecutive quarters.

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What Does Interparfums Inc (IPAR) Do?

Market Cap

$2.89B

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Household & Personal Products

Employees

647

Interparfums, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of fragrances and fragrance related products in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, European Based Operations and United States Based Operations. The company offers its fragrance and cosmetic products under the Boucheron, Coach, Jimmy Choo, Karl Lagerfeld, Kate Spade, Lanvin, Moncler, Montblanc, Rochas, Van Cleef & Arpels, Abercrombie & Fitch, Anna Sui, Donna Karan, DKNY, Emanual Ungaro, Ferragamo, Graff, GUESS, Hollister, MCM, Oscar de la Renta, Ungaro, and Roberto Cavalli brands, as well as French Connection, Intimate, SolfΓ©rino, Tristar, and Lacoste trademarks. It sells its products to department stores, perfumeries, specialty stores, duty free shops, and domestic and international wholesalers and distributors, as well as through e-commerce sites. The company was formerly known as Jean Philippe Fragrances, Inc. and changed its name to Inter Parfums, Inc. in July 1999. Interparfums, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Visit Interparfums Inc Website

Investment Thesis

Interparfums is a resilient and well-managed leader in luxury fragrance licensing, offering consistent profitability, a diversified brand portfolio, and global distribution. It serves as a defensive investment within the discretionary sector, providing steady returns and moderate growth potential, rather than extreme 10x appreciation.

Is IPAR Stock Undervalued?

Interparfums (IPAR) remains a fundamentally sound company operating in the luxury fragrance licensing sector. Its Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates, showing continued financial health with 6.8% YoY revenue growth and solid margins. However, its core business model, while efficient and profitable, is characterized by incremental expansion within a mature market. The company lacks the disruptive innovation, exponential scalability, or transformative market shifts essential for achieving 10x growth within a 3-5 year timeframe. The conservative FY2026 sales guidance, potentially flat to slightly down from TTM 2025, further reinforces this outlook. While it offers steady returns and strong brand partnerships, it does not present the high-risk, high-reward profile of a 10x growth opportunity.

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IPAR Price Targets & Strategy

12-Month Target

$119.14

Bull Case

$135.80

Bear Case

$72.75

Valuation Basis

Based on 24.5x forward P/E applied to estimated FY2026 EPS of $4.85.

Entry Strategy

Consider dollar-cost averaging on dips towards the low-$80s, which could represent a technical support zone based on recent trading ranges.

Exit Strategy

Take profit on 25-50% of position between $115-$125, with a stop loss if the stock closes below $80 for two consecutive days.

Portfolio Allocation

2-4% for moderate risk tolerance, 1-2% for conservative.

Price Targets & Strategy

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Is IPAR Financially Healthy?

Valuation

P/E Ratio

17.90

Forward P/E

19.14

Price/Book

3.42

Price/Sales

1.94

Profitability

Gross Margin

59.13%

Operating Margin

18.20%

Net Margin

11.31%

Revenue Growth

2.00%

EPS

$5.25

Balance Sheet

Current Ratio

2.99

Debt/Equity

0.17

Total Debt

$121.30M

Cash & Equivalents

$295.00M

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow

$215.00M

Other

Dividend Yield

3.56%

Does IPAR Have a Competitive Moat?

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Moat Rating

πŸ›‘οΈ Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Brand Power (through licensed luxury brands)Intangible Assets/IP (licensing agreements and proprietary expertise)Efficient Scale (global reach and distribution)

The moat is durable due to long-term licensing agreements with established luxury brands, the company's specialized expertise in fragrance development, and its intricate global distribution network. These factors create high barriers to entry for new competitors.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • β€’Dependence on the renewal of key brand licenses
  • β€’Potential for brand owners to internalize fragrance production and distribution
  • β€’Shifts in consumer preferences or luxury market trends away from existing licensed brands

IPAR Competitive Moat Analysis

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IPAR Market Intelligence

Sentiment & Insider Activity

Social Sentiment

Neutral (no specific data provided for social media; inferred from general market behavior for stable companies)

Institutional Sentiment

Positive (Moderate Buy consensus, recent upgrade from Wall Street Zen, median target $119.14).

Insider Activity (Form 4)

No Form 4 filings reported for buys/sells in the last 90 days. Prior activity includes proposed sales by Director Harrison Gilbert (Jun 23, 2025, 400 shares at $133.57) and Director Gabai-Pinsky Veronique (no date specified, 1,500 shares, $93,270).

Options Flow

Normal options activity (no specific data provided for unusual options activity).

Earnings Intelligence

Next Earnings

Estimated early-May 2026 (for Q1 2026)

Surprise Probability

Medium (Q4 2025 beat estimates, but Zacks recently cut Q1 2026 EPS estimate).

Historical Earnings Pattern

Mixed reactions based on guidance and beat/miss, with a tendency to perform well on strong beats, but sell-offs if guidance is disappointing.

Key Metrics to Watch

YoY revenue growth rate for Q1 2026Net margin stability and expansionUpdates or reaffirmation of FY2026 sales and EPS guidance

Competitive Position

Top Competitor

COTY

Market Share Trend

Gaining (demonstrated by market share gains in Europe and Montblanc brand growth in the US).

Valuation vs Peers

Trading at a reasonable P/E multiple (17.46-19.11 TTM) for a stable, profitable company in the consumer discretionary sector, likely comparable to or at a slight premium to peers with similar growth profiles.

Competitive Advantages

  • β€’Extensive portfolio of well-regarded luxury brand licenses
  • β€’Strong global distribution network and established retail relationships
  • β€’Proven expertise in fragrance development, marketing, and supply chain management

Market Intelligence

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What Could Drive IPAR Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • β€’Shareholder meeting on 2026-04-24 (approving share issuance flexibility)
  • β€’Q1 2026 Earnings Report (expected early-May 2026)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • β€’New brand licensing agreements and portfolio diversification
  • β€’Continued market share gains in Europe and key U.S. brands like Montblanc

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • β€’Strategic acquisitions within the luxury fragrance sector
  • β€’Expansion into new geographic markets

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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What's the Bull Case for IPAR?

  • βœ“

    Significant new high-profile licensing agreements

  • βœ“

    Consistent positive organic revenue growth rates above industry averages

  • βœ“

    Expansion of gross and net margins

Bull Case Analysis

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Competing with IPAR

See how Interparfums Inc compares to related companies

CompanyMarket CapDVR ScoreP/ERevenueProfit MarginRev Growth

Interparfums Inc

IPAR

$2.9B1.417.9$1.5B11.3%2.0%

Coty Inc

COTY

β€”1.5β€”β€”β€”β€”Compare β†’

Coca-Cola Co

KO

$301.7B0.423.2β€”β€”β€”Compare β†’

PepsiCo Inc

PEP

β€”0.1β€”β€”β€”β€”Compare β†’

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

β€”0.2β€”β€”β€”β€”Compare β†’

Walmart Inc

WMT

β€”0.7β€”β€”β€”β€”Compare β†’

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Interparfums Inc (IPAR)?

As of March 25, 2026, Interparfums Inc has a DVR Score of 1.4 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Interparfums Inc?

Interparfums Inc's market capitalization is approximately $2.9B. The company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector within the Household & Personal Products industry.

What ticker symbol does Interparfums Inc use?

IPAR is the ticker symbol for Interparfums Inc. The company trades on the NMS.

What is the risk level for IPAR stock?

Our analysis rates Interparfums Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of IPAR?

Interparfums Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.9. This is in line with broader market averages.

Does Interparfums Inc pay a dividend?

Yes, Interparfums Inc pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 3.56%.

Is Interparfums Inc's revenue growing?

Interparfums Inc has reported revenue growth of 2.0%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is IPAR stock profitable?

Interparfums Inc has a profit margin of 11.3%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the IPAR DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Interparfums Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 25, 2026.

Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for IPAR (Interparfums Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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