IPAR Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Interparfums Inc
Consumer Defensive β’ Household & Personal Products
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About IPAR Stock
We analyzed Interparfums Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran IPAR through our deep value framework β analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.
IPAR Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
Luxury sector headwinds could intensify further, leading to decreased discretionary consumer spending on fragrances. Combined with the company's conservative FY2026 sales guidance, this could result in a significant slowdown in revenue growth and potential earnings misses, causing the stock to underperform.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Moderate
Financial
Low
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Low
Red Flags
- β
Conservative FY2026 sales guidance suggesting flat to slightly declining revenue YoY (vs. TTM 2025)
- β
No insider buys reported in the last 90 days, with prior director sales in 2025
- β
The provided research lacks specific current ratio, quick ratio, debt-to-equity, and free cash flow data, limiting full balance sheet and liquidity assessment.
Upcoming Risk Events
- π
Potential intensification of luxury sector headwinds
- π
Disappointing FY2026 guidance updates
- π
Negative outcome of capital raising votes impacting shareholder value
When to Reconsider
- πͺ
Exit if quarterly revenue growth turns negative or gross margin falls below 60% for two consecutive quarters.
- πͺ
Sell if the luxury fragrance market contracts by more than 5% YoY for two consecutive quarters.
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What Does Interparfums Inc (IPAR) Do?
Market Cap
$2.89B
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Household & Personal Products
Employees
647
Interparfums, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of fragrances and fragrance related products in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, European Based Operations and United States Based Operations. The company offers its fragrance and cosmetic products under the Boucheron, Coach, Jimmy Choo, Karl Lagerfeld, Kate Spade, Lanvin, Moncler, Montblanc, Rochas, Van Cleef & Arpels, Abercrombie & Fitch, Anna Sui, Donna Karan, DKNY, Emanual Ungaro, Ferragamo, Graff, GUESS, Hollister, MCM, Oscar de la Renta, Ungaro, and Roberto Cavalli brands, as well as French Connection, Intimate, SolfΓ©rino, Tristar, and Lacoste trademarks. It sells its products to department stores, perfumeries, specialty stores, duty free shops, and domestic and international wholesalers and distributors, as well as through e-commerce sites. The company was formerly known as Jean Philippe Fragrances, Inc. and changed its name to Inter Parfums, Inc. in July 1999. Interparfums, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Visit Interparfums Inc WebsiteInvestment Thesis
Interparfums is a resilient and well-managed leader in luxury fragrance licensing, offering consistent profitability, a diversified brand portfolio, and global distribution. It serves as a defensive investment within the discretionary sector, providing steady returns and moderate growth potential, rather than extreme 10x appreciation.
Is IPAR Stock Undervalued?
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IPAR Price Targets & Strategy
12-Month Target
$119.14
Bull Case
$135.80
Bear Case
$72.75
Valuation Basis
Based on 24.5x forward P/E applied to estimated FY2026 EPS of $4.85.
Entry Strategy
Consider dollar-cost averaging on dips towards the low-$80s, which could represent a technical support zone based on recent trading ranges.
Exit Strategy
Take profit on 25-50% of position between $115-$125, with a stop loss if the stock closes below $80 for two consecutive days.
Portfolio Allocation
2-4% for moderate risk tolerance, 1-2% for conservative.
Price Targets & Strategy
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Is IPAR Financially Healthy?
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.90
Forward P/E
19.14
Price/Book
3.42
Price/Sales
1.94
Profitability
Gross Margin
59.13%
Operating Margin
18.20%
Net Margin
11.31%
Revenue Growth
2.00%
EPS
$5.25
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
2.99
Debt/Equity
0.17
Total Debt
$121.30M
Cash & Equivalents
$295.00M
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
$215.00M
Other
Dividend Yield
3.56%
Does IPAR Have a Competitive Moat?
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π‘οΈ Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
The moat is durable due to long-term licensing agreements with established luxury brands, the company's specialized expertise in fragrance development, and its intricate global distribution network. These factors create high barriers to entry for new competitors.
Moat Erosion Risks
- β’Dependence on the renewal of key brand licenses
- β’Potential for brand owners to internalize fragrance production and distribution
- β’Shifts in consumer preferences or luxury market trends away from existing licensed brands
IPAR Competitive Moat Analysis
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IPAR Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Neutral (no specific data provided for social media; inferred from general market behavior for stable companies)
Institutional Sentiment
Positive (Moderate Buy consensus, recent upgrade from Wall Street Zen, median target $119.14).
Insider Activity (Form 4)
No Form 4 filings reported for buys/sells in the last 90 days. Prior activity includes proposed sales by Director Harrison Gilbert (Jun 23, 2025, 400 shares at $133.57) and Director Gabai-Pinsky Veronique (no date specified, 1,500 shares, $93,270).
Options Flow
Normal options activity (no specific data provided for unusual options activity).
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
Estimated early-May 2026 (for Q1 2026)
Surprise Probability
Medium (Q4 2025 beat estimates, but Zacks recently cut Q1 2026 EPS estimate).
Historical Earnings Pattern
Mixed reactions based on guidance and beat/miss, with a tendency to perform well on strong beats, but sell-offs if guidance is disappointing.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
COTY
Market Share Trend
Gaining (demonstrated by market share gains in Europe and Montblanc brand growth in the US).
Valuation vs Peers
Trading at a reasonable P/E multiple (17.46-19.11 TTM) for a stable, profitable company in the consumer discretionary sector, likely comparable to or at a slight premium to peers with similar growth profiles.
Competitive Advantages
- β’Extensive portfolio of well-regarded luxury brand licenses
- β’Strong global distribution network and established retail relationships
- β’Proven expertise in fragrance development, marketing, and supply chain management
Market Intelligence
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What Could Drive IPAR Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- β’Shareholder meeting on 2026-04-24 (approving share issuance flexibility)
- β’Q1 2026 Earnings Report (expected early-May 2026)
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- β’New brand licensing agreements and portfolio diversification
- β’Continued market share gains in Europe and key U.S. brands like Montblanc
Long-Term (18+ months)
- β’Strategic acquisitions within the luxury fragrance sector
- β’Expansion into new geographic markets
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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What's the Bull Case for IPAR?
- β
Significant new high-profile licensing agreements
- β
Consistent positive organic revenue growth rates above industry averages
- β
Expansion of gross and net margins
Bull Case Analysis
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Competing with IPAR
See how Interparfums Inc compares to related companies
| Company | Market Cap | DVR Score | P/E | Revenue | Profit Margin | Rev Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Interparfums Inc IPAR | $2.9B | 1.4 | 17.9 | $1.5B | 11.3% | 2.0% | |
Coty Inc COTY | β | 1.5 | β | β | β | β | Compare β |
Coca-Cola Co KO | $301.7B | 0.4 | 23.2 | β | β | β | Compare β |
PepsiCo Inc PEP | β | 0.1 | β | β | β | β | Compare β |
Procter & Gamble Co PG | β | 0.2 | β | β | β | β | Compare β |
Walmart Inc WMT | β | 0.7 | β | β | β | β | Compare β |
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for Interparfums Inc (IPAR)?
As of March 25, 2026, Interparfums Inc has a DVR Score of 1.4 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Interparfums Inc?
Interparfums Inc's market capitalization is approximately $2.9B. The company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector within the Household & Personal Products industry.
What ticker symbol does Interparfums Inc use?
IPAR is the ticker symbol for Interparfums Inc. The company trades on the NMS.
What is the risk level for IPAR stock?
Our analysis rates Interparfums Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of IPAR?
Interparfums Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.9. This is in line with broader market averages.
Does Interparfums Inc pay a dividend?
Yes, Interparfums Inc pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 3.56%.
Is Interparfums Inc's revenue growing?
Interparfums Inc has reported revenue growth of 2.0%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.
Is IPAR stock profitable?
Interparfums Inc has a profit margin of 11.3%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.
How often is the IPAR DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Interparfums Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 25, 2026.
Important Disclaimer β Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for IPAR (Interparfums Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.