HUBC Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Hub Cyber Security Ltd
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About HUBC Stock
We analyzed Hub Cyber Security Ltd using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran HUBC through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Aggressive. Here's what we found.
HUBC Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
The company's most significant risk is its failure to timely file its Form 20-F for FY2025, which led to a Nasdaq deficiency notice on May 18, 2026. Failure to submit a compliance plan by July 17, 2026, or failure to regain compliance by November 11, 2026, will lead to delisting from Nasdaq, effectively destroying any public market liquidity for its shares, which currently trade at a negligible $0.191 with a a market cap listed as $0.00B.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Aggressive
Financial
High
Market
High
Competitive
High
Execution
High
Regulatory
High
Red Flags
- ⚠
Nasdaq deficiency notice on May 18, 2026, for failing to timely file its FY2025 Form 20-F, posing an imminent delisting threat.
- ⚠
Market Cap reported as $0.00B despite shares trading, indicating a near-worthless valuation for a company with 3.33 million post-split shares.
- ⚠
1-for-20 reverse stock split effective June 5, 2026, typically a measure of last resort to maintain minimum bid price compliance, highlighting severe financial distress.
- ⚠
Insider Tyler White, a significant holder, sold all remaining shares on June 3, 2026, demonstrating a lack of confidence in the company's future.
- ⚠
Absence of current publicly filed financial statements (Form 20-F/10-Q) prevents any fundamental analysis and indicates severe transparency and governance issues.
Upcoming Risk Events
- 📅
Failure to Submit Nasdaq Compliance Plan (by July 17, 2026): Nasdaq will immediately move to delist the company's securities.
- 📅
Rejection of Compliance Plan or Failure to File 20-F (by November 11, 2026): Nasdaq will proceed with formal delisting, resulting in the stock moving to an illiquid OTC market or becoming worthless.
- 📅
Further Insider Selling or Executive Departures (ongoing): Continued selling by beneficial owners or critical management departures would signal further loss of confidence and hasten decline.
- 📅
Liquidity Exhaustion / Bankruptcy Filing (imminent without funding): Without current financials, cash burn is unknown, but a $0.00B market cap and unfiled 20-F imply severe liquidity issues that could lead to bankruptcy.
When to Reconsider
- 🚪
Official announcement by Nasdaq of delisting proceedings or the company's failure to meet the July 17, 2026, compliance plan deadline.
- 🚪
Failure to file the FY2025 Form 20-F by the extended Nasdaq deadline (if granted) of November 11, 2026.
- 🚪
Any further significant insider selling reported by beneficial owners (e.g., Holwell, Strauss, Porcello) indicating a continued loss of confidence.
- 🚪
Announcement of bankruptcy proceedings or inability to continue operations.
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Investment Thesis
If Hub Cyber Security manages to successfully submit and execute a Nasdaq compliance plan by November 11, 2026, and simultaneously files its overdue FY2025 Form 20-F, then it might regain minimal investor confidence to sustain its listing and allow for a re-evaluation of its underlying cybersecurity technology and operations. This is bullish only for extreme speculators betting on a miraculous turnaround from a near-zero market value of $0.00B.
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HUBC Price Targets & Strategy
Bull Case
$0.50
Valuation Basis
Company faces imminent delisting from Nasdaq and has failed to file its FY2025 Form 20-F; current valuation of $0.00B market cap implies no verifiable assets or future cash flows to support any positive target. Upside scenario is purely speculative on survival.
Entry Strategy
Avoid investment due to imminent delisting risk and severe financial distress. Only for extreme risk speculators who accept 100% loss potential.
Exit Strategy
Exit immediately upon any official announcement of Nasdaq delisting or rejection of compliance plan. For speculative positions, take any profit above $0.25 (a marginal recovery) if a reprieve is granted.
Portfolio Allocation
0% for conservative to moderate risk tolerance; <0.1% for aggressive risk tolerance as a highly speculative, lottery-ticket type bet.
Price Targets & Strategy
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Is HUBC Financially Healthy?
Profitability
Gross Margin
17.74%
Operating Margin
-101.33%
Net Margin
-182.52%
Revenue Growth
-23.46%
EPS
$-14303.36
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
0.17
Quick Ratio
0.16
Debt/Equity
5.05
Other
Beta (Volatility)
-1.07
Does HUBC Have a Competitive Moat?
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⚪ None
Moat Trend
Eroding
Any historical competitive advantages such as proprietary technology or customer relationships are being severely eroded or lost due to the company's ongoing financial distress and regulatory non-compliance, making any moat unsustainable.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •Inability to invest in R&D and maintain technological relevance due to financial constraints.
- •Loss of key talent, customers, and industry partnerships due to uncertainty and reputational damage.
- •Competitors capitalizing on HUBC's operational paralysis and delisting risk.
HUBC Competitive Moat Analysis
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HUBC Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Bearish, with likely only highly speculative retail interest due to the low nominal share price and high risk.
Institutional Sentiment
Negative, with no positive analyst coverage or institutional buying activity evident. Insider selling confirms negative sentiment.
Insider Activity (Form 4)
Tyler White reported a complete exit, selling remaining shares on June 3, 2026, at prices between $0.3172 and $0.3599. Other beneficial owners (Holwell, Strauss, Porcello) have reported stakes but no recent buying activity is evident.
Options Flow
Normal options activity; unlikely to have significant institutional options flow for such a distressed micro-cap, indicating a lack of sophisticated investor interest.
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
N/A (FY2025 Form 20-F is overdue; no Q1/Q2 2026 filings expected before the annual report is addressed).
Surprise Probability
N/A, as no expectations or verifiable financials are available.
Historical Earnings Pattern
N/A, as current financial reporting is severely compromised and historical patterns are irrelevant to the present existential crisis.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) - A leader in cybersecurity with robust financials and innovative solutions, representing a functioning, successful peer in the industry.
Market Share Trend
Losing market share and operational viability; the company is focused on survival rather than growth or competitive positioning.
Valuation vs Peers
Not comparable; HUBC is effectively worthless with a $0.00B market cap and faces delisting, while peers trade at substantial enterprise valuations.
Competitive Advantages
- •Undeterminable due to lack of financial transparency and severe distress.
Market Intelligence
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What Could Drive HUBC Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Nasdaq Compliance Plan Submission (by July 17, 2026): If a comprehensive plan to regain compliance for the unfiled FY2025 Form 20-F is submitted and accepted, it could provide a temporary extension for continued listing, preventing immediate delisting action.
- •SEC Form 20-F Filing (target by November 11, 2026, if compliance plan accepted): The successful filing of the delayed FY2025 Form 20-F would restore financial transparency and allow for a fundamental re-evaluation of the company's operations and financial health.
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Major Strategic Restructuring or New Financing (6-18 months, if regulatory issues resolved): If the company can secure significant new equity or debt financing and announce a credible restructuring plan post-filing, it could attract renewed interest in its cybersecurity assets, potentially leading to a market cap above its current negligible value.
- •Acquisition of Core Technology (6-18 months, highly speculative): In an extremely optimistic scenario, if HUBC's underlying cybersecurity technology is deemed valuable by a larger player, an acquisition could provide an exit at a premium to its distressed valuation for current shareholders.
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Re-establishment of Market Presence (18+ months, contingent on survival): If the company manages to survive delisting, secure funding, and re-establish a stable operational base, it could attempt to rebuild its market presence in cybersecurity, aiming for a small but viable niche.
- •Turnaround to Positive Free Cash Flow (18+ months, extremely unlikely): Assuming a miraculous recovery, achieving sustained positive free cash flow (e.g., $5M+ annually) could validate its business model post-restructuring, leading to a modest valuation multiple.
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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What's the Bull Case for HUBC?
- ✓
Watch for any official announcement regarding the submission and acceptance of the Nasdaq compliance plan by July 17, 2026.
- ✓
Monitor for the actual filing of the FY2025 Form 20-F, ideally before the extended Nasdaq deadline of November 11, 2026, which would provide the first real financial data in over a year.
Bull Case Analysis
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How Hub Cyber Security Ltd Makes Money
Hub Cyber Security Ltd. historically operates in the cybersecurity sector, aiming to provide advanced data protection, threat intelligence, and secure computing solutions to enterprise and potentially government clients. Its business model would typically involve selling software licenses, hardware appliances, and professional services, often through subscription-based security platforms. However, due to its severe financial distress and failure to file its annual report, the current operational viability and revenue generation of its business model are highly questionable and unverified.
Read Full Business Model BreakdownFAQ
What is the DVR Score for Hub Cyber Security Ltd (HUBC)?
As of June 6, 2026, Hub Cyber Security Ltd has a DVR Score of 0.8 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Hub Cyber Security Ltd?
Hub Cyber Security Ltd's market capitalization is approximately $244,872.4..
What is the risk level for HUBC stock?
Our analysis rates Hub Cyber Security Ltd's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
Is Hub Cyber Security Ltd's revenue growing?
Hub Cyber Security Ltd has reported revenue growth of -23.5%. Revenue has been declining, which warrants closer examination.
Is HUBC stock profitable?
Hub Cyber Security Ltd has a profit margin of -182.5%. The company is currently unprofitable.
How often is the HUBC DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Hub Cyber Security Ltd is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on June 6, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for HUBC (Hub Cyber Security Ltd) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.