GLD Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

GLD

DVR Score

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on GLD

We analyzed GLD using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran GLD through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 8, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

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GLD Quality Rating

0.1
0.0
Growth
0.0
Profitability
0.0
Health
0.0
Capital allocation
1.0
Momentum

GLD Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

High

GLD Deep Value Analysis

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that tracks the price of physical gold, as explicitly confirmed by real-time market intelligence. It does not operate as a company with a 'strategic vision,' 'competitive advantages,' 'leadership,' 'earnings,' or a 'scalable business model' in the context required for identifying 10x growth potential of an operating entity. Its value is solely dependent on gold prices and the expense ratio. While gold prices have seen a record high of US$5,589.38/oz in January 2026 and physical gold ETFs experienced inflows, this reflects asset performance, not company growth. A 10x increase (from $431.81 to over $4,300) within 3-5 years for gold itself is exceptionally improbable under normal economic conditions, and no company-specific catalysts exist. No material changes have occurred since the last analysis that would alter GLD's fundamental nature or its misalignment with the criteria for identifying a growth company. Therefore, it maintains an extremely low score regarding 10x growth potential as an operating entity. GLD is an asset vehicle, not a growth stock.

GLD Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

GLD Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Stronger-than-expected economic growth dampening safe-haven demand

  • โš 

    Persistent high interest rates reducing gold's attractiveness compared to yielding assets

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GLD Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$4.20B

P/E Ratio

11.25

Profit Margin

8.63%

Debt-to-Equity

0.45

Dividend Yield

3.20%

Beta (Volatility)

1.15

Earnings Per Share

$1.06

GLD Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

2 Identified

Efficient ScaleBrand Power

GLD benefits from being an early mover and the largest, most liquid gold ETF, creating a network effect for institutional investors who value its fungibility. This provides a durable moat in the ETF structure for gaining exposure to gold.

GLD Competitive Moat Analysis

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GLD Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขFurther macroeconomic uncertainty boosting safe-haven demand for gold
  • โ€ขContinued physically backed gold ETF inflows (February 2026 saw US$5.3 billion inflows)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขSustained inflation trends globally
  • โ€ขGeopolitical instability escalating

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขPotential for de-dollarization trends impacting global reserves
  • โ€ขLong-term store of value appeal amid fiat currency concerns

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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GLD Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Real interest rates (gold typically performs well when real rates are low or negative)

  • โœ“

    U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strength/weakness (gold tends to have an inverse relationship)

  • โœ“

    Geopolitical flashpoints and market volatility (VIX index)

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for GLD (GLD)?

As of April 8, 2026, GLD has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of GLD?

GLD's market capitalization is approximately $4.2B..

What ticker symbol does GLD use?

GLD is the ticker symbol for GLD. The company trades on the PCX.

What is the risk level for GLD stock?

Our analysis rates GLD's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of GLD?

GLD currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.3. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Does GLD pay a dividend?

Yes, GLD pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 3.20%.

Is GLD's revenue growing?

GLD has reported revenue growth of 5.0%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is GLD stock profitable?

GLD has a profit margin of 8.6%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the GLD DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of GLD is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 8, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.