GHM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Graham Corp

Industrials • Specialty Industrial Machinery

DVR Score

4.2

out of 10

Proceed with Caution

What You Need to Know About GHM Stock

We analyzed Graham Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran GHM through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.

Updated Mar 13, 2026•Run Fresh Analysis →

How Risky Is GHM Stock?

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

Competitive Risk

Medium

Execution Risk

Medium

Regulatory Risk

High

What Are the Red Flags for GHM?

  • âš 

    Delays or cancellations of significant defense or nuclear projects

  • âš 

    Cost overruns on fixed-price contracts impacting margins

  • âš 

    Supply chain disruptions for critical components

  • âš 

    Government budget cuts or policy changes affecting key markets

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What Does Graham Corp (GHM) Do?

Market Cap

$682.70M

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Specialty Industrial Machinery

Employees

636

Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, such as ejectors and surface condensers; torpedo ejection, propulsion, and power systems, including turbines, alternators, regulators, pumps, and blowers; and thermal management systems comprising pumps, blowers, and drive electronics for the defense sector. It also provides heat transfer and vacuum systems, including ejectors, process and surface condensers, liquid ring pumps, heat exchangers, and nozzles; power generation systems, such as turbines, generators, compressors, and pumps; and thermal management systems comprising pumps, blowers, and electronics for the energy sector. In addition, the company offers rocket propulsion systems consisting of turbopumps, fuel, cryogenic, and nuclear propellant pumps; cooling systems, which include pumps, compressors, fans, and blowers; and life support systems that comprise fans, pumps, and blowers for the space industry. Further, Graham Corporation sells and services spare parts for its equipment. It operates in the United States, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, South America, and internationally. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York.

Visit Graham Corp Website

Is GHM Stock Undervalued?

Graham Corp. continues its effective strategic pivot into the defense and nuclear sectors, capitalizing on its robust engineering expertise and established partnerships. This repositioning is sound, enhancing its long-term stability and growth prospects in high-barrier-to-entry markets. However, the inherent characteristics of these industries—namely, long project cycles, capital intensity, and a project-based revenue model—fundamentally limit the company's ability to achieve the exponential, 10x growth within a 3-5 year timeframe. While a well-managed entity with clear competitive advantages, its business model prioritizes steady, predictable growth over the rapid scalability required for a multi-bagger investment on this aggressive timeline. No material changes observed since the last analysis warrant a significant score adjustment, maintaining consistency with previous assessment.

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Is GHM Financially Healthy?

P/E Ratio

49.37

Does GHM Have a Competitive Moat?

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Moat Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsEfficient Scale

The moat is durable due to the mission-critical nature of its products in highly regulated industries, the significant capital investment required for product development and certification, and the long sales cycles that foster deep customer relationships. These factors create high barriers to entry and strong customer stickiness.

Moat Erosion Risks

  • •Dependence on government budgets and policy for defense and nuclear spending
  • •Loss of key engineering talent or intellectual property
  • •Slow adoption of new technologies in core markets

GHM Competitive Moat Analysis

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What Could Drive GHM Stock Higher?

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • •Q4 FY2026 Earnings Report (estimated early-May 2026)
  • •Announcement of new defense or nuclear contract awards (ongoing potential)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • •Major project milestone achievements and associated revenue recognition
  • •Strategic partnerships to expand specialized capabilities
  • •Increased government funding for naval or energy infrastructure programs

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • •Expansion into next-generation nuclear power technologies (e.g., Small Modular Reactors - SMRs)
  • •Sustained growth in global defense spending tied to geopolitical dynamics

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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What's the Bull Case for GHM?

  • âś“

    Consistent growth in order backlog and new significant contract wins

  • âś“

    Improvement or stability in gross and operating margins

  • âś“

    Favorable shifts in government spending policies for naval and nuclear programs

  • âś“

    Successful integration of any strategic acquisitions to expand niche capabilities

Bull Case Analysis

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Compare GHM to Similar Stocks

See how Graham Corp stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

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Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for GHM (Graham Corp) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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