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DCO Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Ducommun Inc

Industrials โ€ข Aerospace & Defense

DVR Score

1.1

out of 10

Distressed

The Bottom Line on DCO

We analyzed Ducommun Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran DCO through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Feb 18, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

DCO Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About Ducommun Inc (DCO)

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Market Cap Category

small

Market Cap

$1.44B

DCO Deep Value Analysis

Ducommun Inc. (DCO) remains a stable, profitable aerospace and defense manufacturer, offering specialized products and a strong operational track record. Its entrenched position, long-term customer relationships, and critical certifications provide a defensive moat, contributing to consistent, albeit incremental, growth. However, the company's business model is inherently mature, capital-intensive, and oriented towards established markets. There is no evidence of disruptive innovation, a significant pivot into rapidly expanding new segments, or the scalable business model required for exponential 10x growth within the next 3-5 years. The lack of these high-growth drivers, consistent with previous assessments, limits its potential for an outsized return for this high-risk, high-reward investment thesis. No material changes have occurred since the last analysis to alter this fundamental outlook, warranting a score largely consistent with the prior assessment.

Compare DCO to Similar Stocks

See how Ducommun Inc stacks up against related companies in our head-to-head analysis.

DCO Red Flags & Warning Signs

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    Unexpected slowdown in commercial aerospace build rates

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    Major government contract loss or program cancellation

  • โš 

    Supply chain disruptions impacting production or costs

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DCO Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$1.44B

DCO Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsEfficient Scale

Ducommun's moat is built on specialized manufacturing expertise, critical certifications, and deep integration into long supply chains of major aerospace and defense primes. These factors create high switching costs and a reputation that is difficult for new entrants to replicate quickly. The moat is likely to persist due to the high barrier to entry in regulated aerospace manufacturing.

DCO Competitive Moat Analysis

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DCO Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ4 2025 Earnings Report (Expected early March 2026)
  • โ€ขPotential new long-term contract awards in H1 2026

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขIncreased defense spending budget allocations for 2027
  • โ€ขExpansion of aerospace OEM production rates
  • โ€ขStrategic acquisition of complementary niche capabilities

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขSustained growth in global defense and commercial aerospace sectors
  • โ€ขDeepening relationships with key prime contractors

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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DCO Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Significant changes in commercial aircraft production forecasts

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    Shifts in U.S. defense spending priorities

  • โœ“

    Success in integrating any new strategic acquisitions

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Ducommun Inc (DCO)?

As of February 18, 2026, Ducommun Inc has a DVR Score of 1.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Ducommun Inc?

Ducommun Inc's market capitalization is approximately $1.4B. The company operates in the Industrials sector within the Aerospace & Defense industry.

What ticker symbol does Ducommun Inc use?

DCO is the ticker symbol for Ducommun Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.

What is the risk level for DCO stock?

Our analysis rates Ducommun Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

How often is the DCO DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Ducommun Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on February 18, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.