DAVE Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Dave Inc

Technology โ€ข Software - Application

DVR Score

6.3

out of 10

Solid Pick

The Bottom Line on DAVE

We analyzed Dave Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran DAVE through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 16, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

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DAVE Quality Rating

6.3
7.0
Growth
8.0
Profitability
7.0
Health
6.0
Capital allocation
6.0
Momentum

DAVE Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Low

Market Risk

Medium

About Dave Inc (DAVE)

Sector

Technology

Industry

Software - Application

Market Cap Category

mid

Market Cap

$3.12B

DAVE Deep Value Analysis

Dave Inc. (DAVE) presents a compelling risk/reward profile driven by its robust profitability (EBITDA margins >30%) and strong growth in ARPU (up 36% YoY in 2025). The company operates in the underserved banking sector, offering a significant Total Addressable Market. A healthy balance sheet (current ratio ~3.8) and positive free cash flow provide a solid financial foundation. The recent authorization of a $300M share buyback indicates management's confidence and commitment to shareholder value, while the current valuation multiples (Forward P/E 11x) appear attractive relative to its growth and profitability. However, the core cash advance business faces increasing competitive pressures, evidenced by the recent Branch-Stripe partnership. The pricing of $150M in convertible notes introduces potential future dilution, which partially offsets the buyback. While Q1 2026 earnings are pending and were previously cited as a strong beat, the current real-time data indicates they are merely 'imminent,' introducing some uncertainty. Analyst sentiment remains positive, suggesting further upside potential once results are confirmed and competitive concerns are addressed.

DAVE Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

DAVE Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Q1 2026 earnings miss or weak guidance

  • โš 

    Increased competitive pressure leading to market share erosion or higher CAC

  • โš 

    Further dilution from convertible notes not fully offset by share buybacks

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DAVE Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$3.12B

P/E Ratio

15.92

Profit Margin

35.34%

Debt-to-Equity

0.21

Beta (Volatility)

3.88

Earnings Per Share

$13.49

DAVE Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable but facing erosion risk

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Switching CostsBrand PowerCost Advantages

Dave's moat is built on strong user relationships through its integrated financial tools and an efficient operational model that delivers superior margins. However, the core offering's commoditization risk, exacerbated by new competitive entrants, means its durability is highly dependent on continuous innovation and service differentiation.

DAVE Competitive Moat Analysis

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DAVE Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings Release (imminent, expected late April/early May)
  • โ€ขExecution of $300M share repurchase program

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขContinued growth and diversification of product offerings (e.g., expansion of pay-in-4 plans)
  • โ€ขPotential new strategic partnerships or market expansions to solidify competitive position

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขAchievement of significant market leadership in the underserved banking segment through superior user experience and expanded services
  • โ€ขDisruption of traditional banking models for lower-income demographics

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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DAVE Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Acceleration in ARPU growth coupled with stable or declining CAC.

  • โœ“

    Successful rollout and adoption of new revenue-generating features beyond core cash advances.

  • โœ“

    Any signs of market share defense or expansion against new competitive threats.

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Dave Inc (DAVE)?

As of April 16, 2026, Dave Inc has a DVR Score of 6.3 out of 10, placing it in the "Solid Pick" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Dave Inc?

Dave Inc's market capitalization is approximately $3.1B. The company operates in the Technology sector within the Software - Application industry.

What ticker symbol does Dave Inc use?

DAVE is the ticker symbol for Dave Inc. The company trades on the NGM.

What is the risk level for DAVE stock?

Our analysis rates Dave Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of DAVE?

Dave Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.9. This is in line with broader market averages.

Is Dave Inc's revenue growing?

Dave Inc has reported revenue growth of 59.7%. The company is showing strong top-line momentum.

Is DAVE stock profitable?

Dave Inc has a profit margin of 35.3%. This indicates strong profitability.

How often is the DAVE DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Dave Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 16, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.