BURL Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Burlington Stores Inc
Consumer Cyclical โข Apparel Retail
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on BURL
We analyzed Burlington Stores Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran BURL through our deep value framework โ analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
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BURL Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
Medium
About Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel Retail
Market Cap Category
large
Market Cap
$18.69B
BURL Deep Value Analysis
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BURL Red Flags & Warning Signs
Premium- โ
Broader economic slowdown impacting consumer discretionary spending
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Increased competitive pressure from other off-price retailers and online discounters
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Supply chain disruptions leading to inventory issues or increased costs
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Failure to meet new store opening targets or achieve target profitability on new stores
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BURL Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$18.69B
P/E Ratio
34.97
BURL Competitive Moat Analysis
PremiumMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
Burlington's moat is durable due to its established expertise in opportunistic buying, efficient logistics for rapid inventory turns, and a proven track record in the off-price segment. Its strong vendor relationships provide access to desirable merchandise at advantageous prices, which is difficult for new entrants to replicate quickly. The scale of its operations also contributes to cost efficiencies.
BURL Competitive Moat Analysis
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BURL Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- โขQ1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated early-May 2026)
- โขSpring/Summer inventory and sales trends update
- โขUpdates on supply chain efficiencies and cost management initiatives
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- โขProgress on new store expansion targets and real estate strategy
- โขImpact of any new inventory sourcing partnerships
- โขOverall consumer spending trends in the discount retail segment
Long-Term (18+ months)
- โขSustained market share gains through competitive pricing and store footprint expansion
- โขAdaptation to evolving omni-channel retail landscape (minimal e-commerce focus)
- โขResilience during potential economic downturns due to off-price model attractiveness
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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BURL Bull Case: What Could Go Right
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Consistent positive comparable store sales growth exceeding analyst expectations
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Maintenance or expansion of gross and operating margins
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Successful execution of new store expansion targets and profitability ramp-up
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Any signs of significant deterioration in consumer spending trends affecting the off-price sector
Bull Case Analysis
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)?
As of March 21, 2026, Burlington Stores Inc has a DVR Score of 0.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Burlington Stores Inc?
Burlington Stores Inc's market capitalization is approximately $18.7B. The company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector within the Apparel Retail industry.
What ticker symbol does Burlington Stores Inc use?
BURL is the ticker symbol for Burlington Stores Inc. The company trades on the NYQ.
What is the risk level for BURL stock?
Our analysis rates Burlington Stores Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of BURL?
Burlington Stores Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 35.0. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.
How often is the BURL DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Burlington Stores Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 21, 2026.
Important Disclaimer โ Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.