BUR Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Burford Capital Ltd

DVR Score

7.1

out of 10

Solid Pick

The Bottom Line on BUR

We analyzed Burford Capital Ltd using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran BUR through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated Apr 7, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’โ€ข

Get notified when BUR moves

Same alert types as Telegram โ€” presets or custom thresholds in your ๐Ÿ”” feed.

๐Ÿ“ˆBUR Performance Overview3yr weekly

๐Ÿ“Š

Unlock BUR Performance Chart

See 3 years of price history, quarterly revenue trends, and DVR score changes

Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

BUR Quality Rating

7.1
8.0
Growth
4.0
Profitability
5.0
Health
7.0
Capital allocation
6.0
Momentum

BUR Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Aggressive

Financial Risk

High

Market Risk

Medium

BUR Deep Value Analysis

Burford Capital remains a leader in the high-growth litigation finance sector with a vast TAM, supported by a strong moat of proprietary data and expertise. Leadership shows confidence through significant insider buying. However, the recent reversal of the $16B YPF judgment, while a non-cash write-down, introduces material financial risk by potentially limiting debt flexibility and removing a major near-term catalyst. This significantly impacts the immediate reward potential and increases uncertainty. The company faces challenges with negative TTM FCF and inconsistent profitability, necessitating a more cautious outlook despite its long-term strategic positioning and improved cash reserves. The score reflects this heightened risk and reduced immediate upside.

BUR Research Sources

Research sources

No external source links for this analysis yet. Run a fresh analysis to capture SEC filings and financial news articles we used.

For educational context only. Not financial advice.

BUR Red Flags & Warning Signs

  • โš 

    Q1 2026 earnings report (clarity on YPF write-down and debt implications)

  • โš 

    Further adverse rulings in other significant portfolio cases

  • โš 

    Potential for additional analyst downgrades or price target reductions

Unlock BUR Red Flags & Risk Warnings

Premium members see every risk event we found.

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Unlock the full report

Create a free account to see the DVR score, risk flags, and AI analysis.

๐Ÿ”ฅ New Member Exclusive

Unlock everything for $47/yr

$79/yrSave 41%

  • โœ“ Catalysts, bull case, moat & red flags
  • โœ“ Unlimited stock analyses + alerts
  • โœ“ Full database, search & portfolio (50 stocks)
Get Premium โ€” $47/yr

7-day money back ยท Cancel anytime

BUR Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$2.34B

P/E Ratio

9.88

Profit Margin

37.08%

Debt-to-Equity

0.55

Dividend Yield

1.12%

Beta (Volatility)

0.58

Earnings Per Share

$1.08

BUR Competitive Moat Analysis

Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

3 Identified

Intangible Assets/IP (proprietary data, expertise, track record)Efficient Scale (large capital base enables larger deals, attracting higher quality cases)Switching Costs (long-term nature of litigation finance relationships)

Burford's moat is durable due to the high capital requirements, specialized expertise, and proprietary data needed to succeed at scale in litigation finance. New entrants face significant barriers to building a comparable portfolio and risk management capability.

BUR Competitive Moat Analysis

Premium unlocks moat rating, sources & durability.

BUR Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings report (expected May 2026, details on YPF write-down)
  • โ€ขProgress on share repurchase program ($5M authorized)
  • โ€ขPotential resolution of other medium-to-large portfolio cases

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขIncreased institutional adoption of litigation finance as an asset class
  • โ€ขSuccessful navigation of debt covenants and management of debt profile post-YPF
  • โ€ขExpansion into new geographies or litigation types

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขMaturation of the litigation finance industry and Burford's continued market leadership
  • โ€ขConsistent positive free cash flow generation from portfolio realizations
  • โ€ขPotential for significant market re-rating as transparency and predictability improve

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Sign up free to see growth catalysts

BUR Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Clear progress on resolving other large portfolio cases with favorable outcomes.

  • โœ“

    Consistently positive operating cash flow generation and improved profitability metrics.

  • โœ“

    Further institutional adoption and broader acceptance of litigation finance as a legitimate asset class.

  • โœ“

    Evidence of effective management of debt covenants and a strengthening balance sheet.

Bull Case Analysis

Sign up free to see the bull case

๐Ÿ“Š Explore More Stock Analysis

Get comprehensive Deep Value Reports for thousands of stocks. Research risk, financial health, and investment potential.

FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Burford Capital Ltd (BUR)?

As of April 7, 2026, Burford Capital Ltd has a DVR Score of 7.1 out of 10, placing it in the "Solid Pick" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Burford Capital Ltd?

Burford Capital Ltd's market capitalization is approximately $2.3B..

What is the risk level for BUR stock?

Our analysis rates Burford Capital Ltd's overall risk as Aggressive. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of BUR?

Burford Capital Ltd currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.9. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.

Does Burford Capital Ltd pay a dividend?

Yes, Burford Capital Ltd pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 1.12%.

Is Burford Capital Ltd's revenue growing?

Burford Capital Ltd has reported revenue growth of 0.0%. Revenue has been declining, which warrants closer examination.

Is BUR stock profitable?

Burford Capital Ltd has a profit margin of 37.1%. This indicates strong profitability.

How often is the BUR DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Burford Capital Ltd is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 7, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.