BLD Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
TopBuild Corp
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on BLD
We analyzed TopBuild Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran BLD through our deep value framework โ analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
๐BLD Performance Overview3yr weekly
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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history
BLD Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Low
Market Risk
Medium
BLD Deep Value Analysis
BLD Red Flags & Warning Signs
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Significant downturn in the residential construction market due to economic recession or high interest rates
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Unexpected surge in raw material costs (e.g., fiberglass, spray foam chemicals) that cannot be passed through
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Increased competitive pressure or pricing wars in a fragmented market
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BLD Competitive Moat Analysis
PremiumMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
TopBuild's moat is durable due to its vast scale, efficient logistics, and entrenched customer relationships in a fragmented but essential industry. The cost advantages derived from volume purchasing and optimized operational footprint are difficult for smaller competitors to replicate.
BLD Competitive Moat Analysis
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BLD Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- โขQ1 2026 Earnings Report (Estimated early-May 2026)
- โขUpcoming US housing starts and existing home sales data (Monthly)
- โขInflation and interest rate policy updates impacting construction costs and demand
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- โขIntegration success of recent acquisitions driving synergy and market share
- โขContinued growth in repair & remodel segment offsetting potential new construction slowdowns
- โขStrategic capital deployment for further bolt-on acquisitions to expand geographic reach or product offerings
Long-Term (18+ months)
- โขDemographic-driven housing demand over the next decade
- โขIncreasing energy efficiency regulations driving insulation upgrades
- โขSustainable building trends promoting higher-value insulation products
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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BLD Bull Case: What Could Go Right
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Acceleration in housing starts and residential construction spending
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Expansion of gross and EBITDA margins through operational improvements and effective pricing
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Successful integration and accretive nature of future acquisitions
Bull Case Analysis
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FAQ
What is the DVR Score for TopBuild Corp (BLD)?
As of March 16, 2026, TopBuild Corp has a DVR Score of 1.8 out of 10, placing it in the "Distressed" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the risk level for BLD stock?
Our analysis rates TopBuild Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
How often is the BLD DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of TopBuild Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on March 16, 2026.
Important Disclaimer โ Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.