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ATRO Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis

Astronics Corp

DVR Score

8.0

out of 10

Hidden Gem

The Bottom Line on ATRO

We analyzed Astronics Corp using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.

We ran ATRO through our deep value framework โ€” analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.

Updated May 3, 2026โ€ขRun Fresh Analysis โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆATRO Performance Overview3yr weekly

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Weekly adjusted close ยท Quarterly revenue & EPS ยท DVR score history

ATRO Stock Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

Moderate

Financial Risk

Medium

Market Risk

Medium

ATRO Deep Value Analysis

Astronics Corp continues to solidify its turnaround, evidenced by a strong Q4 2025 beat on revenue and EPS, coupled with significant operating margin expansion and a record backlog providing strong visibility into 2026. Its leadership in specialized aerospace and defense niches, backed by regulatory moats and an recovering commercial aviation sector, provides a credible path to growth. While the high debt-to-equity ratio and a recent decline in FCF margin warrant monitoring, robust profitability and liquidity position the company for sustained improvement. Achieving 10x growth requires flawless execution, substantial market share gains in its evolving segments, and a significant market re-rating beyond current analyst targets, accepting the inherent cyclicality and capital intensity of the industry.

ATRO Red Flags & Warning Signs

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    Q1 2026 earnings miss or downward revision of FY26 guidance

  • โš 

    Protracted supply chain disruptions impacting production and margins

  • โš 

    Further deterioration of Free Cash Flow margin

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ATRO Financial Health Metrics

Market Cap

$2.53B

P/E Ratio

86.13

Profit Margin

3.41%

Debt-to-Equity

2.39

Beta (Volatility)

1.11

Earnings Per Share

$0.69

ATRO Competitive Moat Analysis

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Moat Rating

Narrow

Moat Trend

Stable

Moat Sources

4 Identified

Switching CostsIntangible Assets/IPEfficient ScaleRegulatory Moats

The high barriers to entry in the aerospace and defense sector, including stringent certifications, long product development cycles, and deep customer integration, contribute to a durable competitive advantage for established players like Astronics.

ATRO Competitive Moat Analysis

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ATRO Catalysts & Growth Drivers

Near-Term (0-6 months)

  • โ€ขQ1 2026 Earnings on May 12, 2026
  • โ€ขAnnual Shareholder Meeting on May 28, 2026 (approval of incentive plans)

Medium-Term (6-18 months)

  • โ€ขContinued recovery and growth in commercial aerospace traffic and new aircraft deliveries
  • โ€ขExpansion of next-gen cabin technology adoption and defense contract wins
  • โ€ขFurther debt reduction and balance sheet optimization efforts

Long-Term (18+ months)

  • โ€ขSustained market share gains in specialized A&D segments (e.g., electrification in aviation)
  • โ€ขStrategic acquisitions consolidating niche market leadership
  • โ€ขSignificant multiple expansion driven by consistent cash flow generation and growth

Catalysts & Growth Drivers

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ATRO Bull Case: What Could Go Right

  • โœ“

    Continued growth in operating margin and return on equity (ROE)

  • โœ“

    Improvement in Free Cash Flow margin and reduction in Debt-to-Equity ratio

  • โœ“

    Securing new, large-scale contracts for advanced aerospace systems

Bull Case Analysis

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FAQ

What is the DVR Score for Astronics Corp (ATRO)?

As of May 3, 2026, Astronics Corp has a DVR Score of 8.0 out of 10, placing it in the "Hidden Gem" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.

What is the market capitalization of Astronics Corp?

Astronics Corp's market capitalization is approximately $2.5B..

What is the risk level for ATRO stock?

Our analysis rates Astronics Corp's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.

What is the P/E ratio of ATRO?

Astronics Corp currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 86.1. This is above the market average, suggesting the stock may be priced for high growth expectations.

Is Astronics Corp's revenue growing?

Astronics Corp has reported revenue growth of 8.4%. The company is growing at a moderate pace.

Is ATRO stock profitable?

Astronics Corp has a profit margin of 3.4%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.

How often is the ATRO DVR analysis updated?

Our AI-powered analysis of Astronics Corp is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on May 3, 2026.

Important Disclaimer โ€“ Not Financial Advice

Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.

All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor.