AMTM Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Amentum Holdings Inc
Industrials • Specialty Business Services
DVR Score
out of 10
The Bottom Line on AMTM
We analyzed Amentum Holdings Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran AMTM through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Here's what we found.
AMTM Stock Risk Analysis
Overall Risk
Moderate
Financial Risk
Medium
Market Risk
Medium
About Amentum Holdings Inc (AMTM)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Specialty Business Services
Market Cap Category
mid
Market Cap
$7.07B
AMTM Deep Value Analysis
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AMTM Red Flags & Warning Signs
- âš
Government budget cuts or sequestration impacting contract renewals
- âš
Loss of key multi-billion dollar contracts to competitors
- âš
Unsuccessful integration of acquired businesses leading to margin erosion
- âš
Adverse changes in government procurement regulations
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AMTM Financial Health Metrics
Market Cap
$7.07B
P/E Ratio
107.41
AMTM Competitive Moat Analysis
Sign in to unlockMoat Rating
Narrow
Moat Trend
Stable
Moat Sources
3 Identified
The moat is durable due to the high barriers to entry in government contracting, the specialized nature of services, the high cost and complexity for agencies to switch providers, and the long sales cycles that favor incumbents with established trust and clearances.
AMTM Competitive Moat Analysis
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AMTM Catalysts & Growth Drivers
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 Earnings Report (estimated late April/early May 2026)
- •Major government contract awards announcements
- •Successful integration updates for recent acquisitions
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Expansion into new government agencies or specialized service areas (e.g., cyber, digital modernization)
- •Further strategic acquisitions consolidating market share
- •Increased U.S. defense or national security budget allocations
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Sustained government demand for outsourced critical services and technology integration
- •Leadership in specific niche government tech modernization initiatives
- •Potential for significant deleveraging and improved cash flow from operations
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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AMTM Bull Case: What Could Go Right
- ✓
Consistent growth in contract backlog and new contract wins
- ✓
Improvement in operating margins and free cash flow conversion
- ✓
Progress in debt reduction and successful integration of future acquisitions
Bull Case Analysis
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