Stock Comparison

SIDU vs UPS

Sidus Space Inc vs United Parcel Service Inc

Who's the better investment? Let's break it down.

The Verdict

SIDU takes this one.

It's not even close. SIDU outscores UPS by 3.7 points. That's a significant gap in our deep value framework.

Winner

SIDU

Sidus Space Inc

3.8

out of 10

Risk Trap

UPS

United Parcel Service Inc

0.1

out of 10

Distressed

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Valuation

SIDU

Metric

UPS

$501M

Market Cap

$91.9B

N/A

P/E Ratio

Lower may indicate better value

17.5

N/A

Forward P/E

14.6

8.7

Price/Book

5.1

N/A

EV/EBITDA

9.3

Profitability & Growth

SIDU

Metric

UPS

-806.7%

Profit Margin

5.9%

-145.9%

Gross Margin

83.1%

-781.9%

Operating Margin

8.5%

-83.0%

Return on Equity

33.0%

-60.4%

Return on Assets

7.3%

-9.2%

Revenue Growth

-2.9%

$-0.93

EPS

$6.18

Financial Health

SIDU

Metric

UPS

0.2

Debt-to-Equity

Lower = less leverage

1.5

3.4

Current Ratio

Above 1.0 is healthy

1.2

-1.0

Beta

Lower = less volatile

1.0

None

Dividend Yield

6.6%

Risk Comparison

SIDU

Overall

Aggressive

Financial

High

Market

Medium

Competitive

Medium

Execution

High

Regulatory

Low

What Could Go Wrong

With Q1 2026 net cash used in operating activities at $5.65M and cash of $27.35M, Sidus Space has approximately 4-5 quarters of cash runway at current burn rates. A failure to secure substantial, high...

Red Flags

🚩Deeply negative gross margin for Q1 2026 (cost of revenue ~$1.41M on $0.359M revenue, implying appro...
🚩Substantial share dilution with 13.45M shares recently issued in April 2026, leading to 80.75M share...
🚩Sustained negative operating cash flow ($5.65M in Q1 2026) significantly exceeds current revenue.

UPS

Overall

Moderate

Financial

Low

Market

Medium

Competitive

Medium

Execution

Medium

Regulatory

Medium

What Could Go Wrong

The biggest risk for UPS is a prolonged global economic downturn, which would directly reduce package volumes across its key segments. Given its Q1 2026 revenue already declined 1.4% YoY, a deeper rec...

Red Flags

🚩Sustained YoY revenue decline: Q1 2026 revenue declined 1.4% YoY, indicating a challenging top-line ...
🚩Capital intensity: Requires significant ongoing investment ($50M in air freight is just one example)...
🚩Limited high-growth segment contribution: Despite healthcare logistics focus, these segments are not...

Competitive Moat

SIDU

Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Trend

📈 Expanding

Intangible Assets/IP (proprietary LizzieSat design and AI algorithms)Switching Costs (if customers deeply integrate with their satellite and data services)Cost Advantages (potential for efficient scale through vertical integration once LizzieSat is fully deployed)

UPS

Rating

🛡️ Wide

Trend

➡️ Stable

Network EffectsEfficient ScaleBrand PowerIntangible Assets/IP (logistics technology)

Investment Thesis

SIDU3.8/10

If Sidus Space can successfully scale its LizzieSat constellation, securing multiple high-value government and commercial contracts for its Space-as-a-Service and AI-enabled data products, and achieve positive gross margins (e.g., 20%+) on a quarterly revenue run-rate exceeding $10M by Q4 2027, then the company could re-rate from its current pre-scale valuation to a significantly higher multiple (...

Full SIDU Analysis

UPS0.1/10

If UPS can maintain its market leadership in core parcel delivery while incrementally expanding high-margin segments like healthcare logistics (e.g., ~5% annual growth in this segment for the next 3 years), and simultaneously achieving further cost efficiencies through automation to stabilize operating margins, then it represents a stable dividend income play with modest capital appreciation, rath...

Full UPS Analysis

Price Targets & Strategy

Price Targets & Entry/Exit Strategy

Growth Catalysts

Growth Catalysts Comparison

Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment Analysis

The Deep Dive

SIDU3.8/10

Sidus Space continues to pursue a high-potential vision in the Space-as-a-Service sector with LizzieSat. The Q1 2026 results showed a significant positive shift in trajectory, with 51% YoY revenue growth and a 19% improvement in net loss, moving away from the revenue decline and widening losses seen in FY2025. The recent $58.5M equity offering also provided crucial cash runway, strengthening the balance sheet. However, the company remains deeply unprofitable with negative gross margins, and the ...

Full SIDU Analysis

UPS0.1/10

UPS remains a mature, capital-intensive global logistics leader with a formidable network primarily designed to defend existing market share and provide consistent shareholder returns (e.g., dividends), not generate 10x growth. While Q1 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS beat estimates, revenue still declined 1.4% YoY, indicating persistent top-line challenges. The recently announced $50 million investment in North American air freight is an incremental operational adjustment, not a disruptive cataly...

Full UPS Analysis

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Not Financial Advice

This comparison is for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.