Stock Comparison
O vs OPEN
Realty Income Corp vs Opendoor Technologies Inc
Who's the better investment? Let's break it down.
The Verdict
OPEN takes this one.
It's not even close. OPEN outscores O by 5.4 points. That's a significant gap in our deep value framework.
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Valuation
O
Metric
OPEN
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Lower may indicate better value
Forward P/E
Price/Book
EV/EBITDA
Profitability & Growth
O
Metric
OPEN
Profit Margin
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Assets
Revenue Growth
EPS
Financial Health
O
Metric
OPEN
Debt-to-Equity
Lower = less leverage
Current Ratio
Above 1.0 is healthy
Beta
Lower = less volatile
Dividend Yield
Risk Comparison
O
What Could Go Wrong
Realty Income's primary growth driver is accretive acquisitions. If interest rates rise more than anticipated (e.g., another 50bps over the next 12 months), or if competition for high-quality net-leas...
Red Flags
- 🚩Growth is largely dependent on external capital deployment and acquisitions ($2.8B invested in Q1 20...
- 🚩Significant leverage is inherent in the REIT business model (Net Debt to Annualized Pro Forma Adjust...
- 🚩Its mature business model as a net-lease REIT inherently lacks the disruptive innovation or exponent...
OPEN
What Could Go Wrong
Opendoor's accelerated pivot to a capital-light model may not generate sufficient transaction volume or gross margins to offset its significant fixed costs and ongoing operational expenses, leading to...
Red Flags
- 🚩Persistent negative GAAP Net Income: Q1 2026 net loss of -$173 million, demonstrating continued inab...
- 🚩Significant Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Equity is likely low/negative due to accumulated losses, making de...
- 🚩CFO Selling Shares: While stated as tax-related on May 7, 2026, the $322,000 sale reduces insider ow...
Competitive Moat
O
Rating
🛡️ Narrow
Trend
➡️ Stable to Expanding
OPEN
Rating
🛡️ Narrow
Trend
📈 Expanding
Investment Thesis
If Realty Income continues its disciplined and large-scale acquisition strategy, consistently deploying $9.5 billion+ in capital annually at attractive cap rates (e.g., 7.0%+) and maintaining its diversified, high-occupancy portfolio, then its AFFO per share can grow at 5-7% annually through FY2028, solidifying its position as a premium income-generating REIT with potential for modest capital appr...
Full O AnalysisIf Opendoor successfully executes its capital-light, hybrid iBuying model, achieves consistent adjusted EBITDA breakeven in H2 2026, and significantly improves unit economics to drive positive net income by FY2028, then its current depressed forward P/S multiple of 0.92 could re-rate to 1.5x-2.0x on projected FY2028 revenue of $6B-$8B, justifying a market capitalization of $9B-$16B (2x-4x current ...
Full OPEN AnalysisPrice Targets & Strategy
Price Targets & Entry/Exit Strategy
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Growth Catalysts
Growth Catalysts Comparison
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Market Sentiment
Market Sentiment Analysis
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The Deep Dive
Realty Income (O) remains a well-managed, premier large-cap net-lease REIT, evidenced by its Q1 2026 revenue and EPS beats, 6.6% YoY AFFO per share growth, and increased 2026 guidance. Its business model, focused on stable, long-term real estate leases and incremental acquisitions, consistently delivers predictable income and modest growth. However, this model is fundamentally misaligned with the criteria for 10x growth potential within 3-5 years. The company lacks the disruptive technology, exp...
Full O AnalysisOpendoor's strategic pivot to a capital-light, hybrid iBuying model holds strong long-term potential in a massive real estate TAM, contributing to a decent growth score. However, Q1 2026 revenue declined YoY and EPS of ($0.18) indicates continued significant losses, reflected in a low profitability score. While Q2 guidance for adjusted EBITDA breakeven is positive, the implied revenue guidance appears lower than previously communicated, suggesting a slower path to consistent profitability. The b...
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Not Financial Advice
This comparison is for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.