Stock Comparison

ERIC vs NOK

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson vs Nokia Oyj

Who's the better investment? Let's break it down.

The Verdict

ERIC takes this one.

ERIC edges out the competition with a 2.5-point advantage. Not a blowout, but the numbers favor ERIC.

Winner
ERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson

5.5

out of 10

Proceed with Caution
NOK

Nokia Oyj

3.0

out of 10

Risk Trap

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Valuation

ERIC

Metric

NOK

$419.7B

Market Cap

$67.0B
16.7

P/E Ratio

Lower may indicate better value

85.8
7.6

Forward P/E

35.1
1.5

Price/Book

4.8
5.8

EV/EBITDA

31.8

Profitability & Growth

ERIC

Metric

NOK

10.9%

Profit Margin

3.9%
48.0%

Gross Margin

44.1%
14.8%

Operating Margin

4.5%
25.1%

Return on Equity

3.8%
9.0%

Return on Assets

2.1%
-7.4%

Revenue Growth

4.3%
$7.53

EPS

$0.14

Financial Health

ERIC

Metric

NOK

0.4

Debt-to-Equity

Lower = less leverage

0.2
1.3

Current Ratio

Above 1.0 is healthy

1.6
0.3

Beta

Lower = less volatile

1.9
2.4%

Dividend Yield

1.1%

Risk Comparison

ERIC

Overall
Moderate
Financial
Low
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Medium

What Could Go Wrong

The biggest risk for Ericsson is a sustained global slowdown in telecommunications capital expenditure by its primary mobile network operator customers. If global carrier spending contracts by more th...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Reliance on cyclical carrier capital expenditure, making revenue growth highly susceptible to extern...
  • 🚩Intense pricing pressure in the highly competitive telecom equipment market, continuously challengin...
  • 🚩Lingering regulatory and compliance risks stemming from past legal issues (though currently absent f...

NOK

Overall
Moderate
Financial
Low
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Low

What Could Go Wrong

The biggest risk for Nokia right now is its significantly stretched valuation (P/E ~77.6) relative to its moderate revenue growth (+4.6% YoY) and the median analyst price target ($6.00). If Q2 2026 ea...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Significant Valuation Disconnect: Current price $13.81 is ~2.3x the median analyst target of $6.00, ...
  • 🚩Moderate Overall Revenue Growth: +4.6% YoY revenue growth in Q1 2026 for a company with a $66.98B ma...
  • 🚩Layoffs in China: Nearly 2,000 employees laid off in Greater China, indicating challenges in a criti...

Competitive Moat

ERIC

Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Trend

➡️ Stable

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsEfficient Scale

NOK

Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Trend

➡️ Stable

Intangible Assets/IPSwitching CostsEfficient Scale

Investment Thesis

ERIC5.5/10

If Ericsson, now with a realistic $46B market cap, successfully expands its enterprise 5G and private network revenue stream to represent >15% of total sales by FY2028 (up from ~7-8% today), alongside sustained 5G core network modernization contracts, then its valuation multiple could expand to reflect a more diversified and higher-growth profile, potentially reaching 2-2.5x EV/Sales, representing...

Full ERIC Analysis
NOK3.0/10

If Nokia effectively leverages its strategic investments in advanced optical networking and AI-driven network services (e.g., Allentown expansion and Infinera synergies) to accelerate segment-specific revenue growth to double-digits (15-20% YoY) over the next 18-24 months while maintaining stringent cost control (evidenced by recent layoffs), then the company could sustain its profitability improv...

Full NOK Analysis

Price Targets & Strategy

Price Targets & Entry/Exit Strategy

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Growth Catalysts

Growth Catalysts Comparison

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Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment Analysis

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The Deep Dive

ERIC5.5/10

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson, previously assessed with a colossal market cap, is now realistically valued at approximately $46.26B (based on current price $13.72 and 3.37B shares outstanding). This significantly alters its 10x growth potential within 3-5 years, making it more plausible, though still challenging for a large-cap. The company maintains a strong competitive position in the essential telecom infrastructure sector, bolstered by ongoing strategic share buybacks (SEK 15B program) and...

Full ERIC Analysis
NOK3.0/10

Nokia continues its operational turnaround, evidenced by robust Q1 2026 results including +25.2% YoY net income growth and +23.7% YoY EPS growth. Strategic investments, such as the $30M Pennsylvania expansion, signal a focus on high-growth areas like optical networking and advanced packaging. However, Nokia operates as a large-cap company in a mature telecom infrastructure market, with overall Q1 revenue growth at a modest +4.6% YoY. While improving profitability is positive, the company's signi...

Full NOK Analysis

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Not Financial Advice

This comparison is for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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