Stock Comparison

AMT vs OPEN

American Tower Corp vs Opendoor Technologies Inc

Who's the better investment? Let's break it down.

The Verdict

OPEN takes this one.

It's not even close. OPEN outscores AMT by 4.5 points. That's a significant gap in our deep value framework.

AMT

American Tower Corp

1.4

out of 10

Distressed
Winner
OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc

5.9

out of 10

Proceed with Caution

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Valuation

AMT

Metric

OPEN

$82.5B

Market Cap

$4.2B
32.6

P/E Ratio

Lower may indicate better value

N/A
29.3

Forward P/E

N/A
22.5

Price/Book

N/A

Profitability & Growth

AMT

Metric

OPEN

23.8%

Profit Margin

-35.3%
74.2%

Gross Margin

8.2%
45.5%

Operating Margin

-33.4%
68.1%

Return on Equity

-163.3%
4.0%

Return on Assets

-53.6%
5.1%

Revenue Growth

-23.2%
$5.40

EPS

$-1.60

Financial Health

AMT

Metric

OPEN

10.2

Debt-to-Equity

Lower = less leverage

1.3
0.4

Current Ratio

Above 1.0 is healthy

7.0
0.9

Beta

Lower = less volatile

3.7
3.9%

Dividend Yield

None

Risk Comparison

AMT

Overall
Moderate
Financial
Medium
Market
Low
Competitive
Low
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Low

What Could Go Wrong

Further deterioration of relationships with major wireless carriers beyond the DISH default, leading to additional revenue losses, or an inability to manage its high debt load effectively if interest ...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Current ratio of 0.60 indicates potential short-term liquidity challenges.
  • 🚩Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.27, while typical for a REIT, represents significant leverage.
  • 🚩FY 2026 AFFO per share guidance projects a -1.5% decline, indicating negative growth trajectory.

OPEN

Overall
Aggressive
Financial
High
Market
High
Competitive
Medium
Execution
High
Regulatory
Low

What Could Go Wrong

Opendoor's accelerated pivot to a capital-light model may not generate sufficient transaction volume or gross margins to offset its significant fixed costs and ongoing operational expenses, leading to...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Persistent negative GAAP Net Income: Q1 2026 net loss of -$173 million, demonstrating continued inab...
  • 🚩Significant Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Equity is likely low/negative due to accumulated losses, making de...
  • 🚩CFO Selling Shares: While stated as tax-related on May 7, 2026, the $322,000 sale reduces insider ow...

Competitive Moat

AMT

Rating

🛡️ Wide

Trend

➡️ Stable

Efficient ScaleSwitching CostsIntangible Assets/IP (licenses, permits, prime locations)

OPEN

Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Trend

📈 Expanding

Data Network Effects (Proprietary data on home transactions and pricing, improving algorithmic accuracy and efficiency over time).Efficient Scale (Ability to operate at scale, spreading fixed technology and operational costs over a larger transaction volume, potentially leading to cost advantages).

Investment Thesis

AMT1.4/10

American Tower offers a stable, dividend-growing investment exposed to the indispensable long-term trends of global mobile data consumption and 5G deployment. Its robust infrastructure moat, global diversification, and strategic expansion into data centers (CoreSite) provide a defensive yet consistent growth profile, making it a reliable income play rather than a multi-bagger growth opportunity.

Full AMT Analysis
OPEN5.9/10

If Opendoor successfully executes its capital-light, hybrid iBuying model, achieves consistent adjusted EBITDA breakeven in H2 2026, and significantly improves unit economics to drive positive net income by FY2028, then its current depressed forward P/S multiple of 0.92 could re-rate to 1.5x-2.0x on projected FY2028 revenue of $6B-$8B, justifying a market capitalization of $9B-$16B (2x-4x current ...

Full OPEN Analysis

Price Targets & Strategy

Price Targets & Entry/Exit Strategy

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Growth Catalysts

Growth Catalysts Comparison

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Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment Analysis

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The Deep Dive

AMT1.4/10

American Tower (AMT) remains a global leader in telecommunications infrastructure and data centers, boasting an enviable economic moat and competent management. Its CoreSite data center segment is a positive growth driver, guiding 13% revenue growth for 2026. However, as an $82.49B market cap REIT in mature industries, achieving 10x growth in 3-5 years is fundamentally unrealistic. The material headwind from the DISH Wireless default ($200M revenue loss) significantly suppresses FY26 AFFO per sh...

Full AMT Analysis
OPEN5.9/10

Opendoor's strategic pivot to a capital-light, hybrid iBuying model holds strong long-term potential in a massive real estate TAM, contributing to a decent growth score. However, Q1 2026 revenue declined YoY and EPS of ($0.18) indicates continued significant losses, reflected in a low profitability score. While Q2 guidance for adjusted EBITDA breakeven is positive, the implied revenue guidance appears lower than previously communicated, suggesting a slower path to consistent profitability. The b...

Full OPEN Analysis

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Not Financial Advice

This comparison is for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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