Stock Comparison

AAPL vs PAGS

Apple Inc vs PagSeguro Digital Ltd

Who's the better investment? Let's break it down.

The Verdict

PAGS takes this one.

It's not even close. PAGS outscores AAPL by 7.0 points. That's a significant gap in our deep value framework.

AAPL

Apple Inc

1.6

out of 10

Distressed
Winner
PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd

8.6

out of 10

Hidden Gem

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Valuation

AAPL

Metric

PAGS

$4.4T

Market Cap

$2.5B
36.0

P/E Ratio

Lower may indicate better value

6.0
30.0

Forward P/E

6.7
39.8

Price/Book

1.0
23.5

EV/EBITDA

1.8

Profitability & Growth

AAPL

Metric

PAGS

27.1%

Profit Margin

10.4%
47.9%

Gross Margin

53.0%
32.6%

Operating Margin

40.2%
146.7%

Return on Equity

14.6%
34.0%

Return on Assets

2.9%
12.8%

Revenue Growth

6.3%
$8.27

EPS

$7.35

Financial Health

AAPL

Metric

PAGS

1.4

Debt-to-Equity

Lower = less leverage

0.2
0.9

Current Ratio

Above 1.0 is healthy

1.4
1.1

Beta

Lower = less volatile

1.3
0.4%

Dividend Yield

4.4%

Risk Comparison

AAPL

Overall
Moderate
Financial
Low
Market
Medium
Competitive
Medium
Execution
Low
Regulatory
Medium

What Could Go Wrong

A significant global economic recession could heavily impact discretionary spending on iPhones and other premium devices, leading to revenue deceleration and potential margin compression, particularly...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Continued deceleration in iPhone sales growth over multiple quarters without a compelling new growth...
  • 🚩Significant erosion of Services segment gross margin without clear explanation.
  • 🚩Major legal or regulatory setback (e.g., forced ecosystem changes, substantial fines).

PAGS

Overall
Aggressive
Financial
Medium
Market
High
Competitive
High
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Medium

What Could Go Wrong

The rapid expansion of PagSeguro's credit portfolio, particularly the 190.6% YoY growth in working capital loans, poses a significant financial risk. If economic conditions in Brazil worsen or credit ...

Red Flags

  • 🚩Overall total revenue ex-ITC growth of 6.4% YoY in Q1 2026 is modest for a company with '10x potenti...
  • 🚩Analyst consensus rating of 'Hold' with only 31.4% implied upside indicates market skepticism regard...
  • 🚩Significant exposure to Brazilian macroeconomic volatility, which can impact both payment volumes an...

Competitive Moat

AAPL

Rating

🛡️ Wide

Trend

➡️ Stable to Expanding

Brand PowerSwitching CostsNetwork EffectsIntangible Assets/IP

PAGS

Rating

🛡️ Narrow

Trend

📈 Expanding

Network EffectsSwitching CostsCost AdvantagesBrand Power

Investment Thesis

AAPL1.6/10

Apple is a dominant, financially robust mega-cap offering consistent earnings growth, significant capital returns via buybacks and dividends, and an expanding high-margin Services segment. While it lacks 10x growth potential due to its immense scale, it serves as a high-quality, stable core portfolio holding with defensive characteristics and steady long-term appreciation potential, driven by its ...

Full AAPL Analysis
PAGS8.6/10

If PagSeguro continues to grow its higher-margin banking and credit services at >30% YoY for the next 2-3 years, successfully expanding these segments to represent over 40% of total revenue while maintaining NPLs below 3.5%, then its TTM P/E multiple (currently 6.72x) could expand to 20-25x (typical for profitable fintechs) on an accelerating EPS, driving a 3-5 year valuation re-rating of 5x-10x. ...

Full PAGS Analysis

Price Targets & Strategy

Price Targets & Entry/Exit Strategy

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Growth Catalysts

Growth Catalysts Comparison

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Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment Analysis

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The Deep Dive

AAPL1.6/10

Apple continues to demonstrate exceptional operational and financial performance, highlighted by its Fiscal Q2 2026 results with revenue up 17% YoY and EPS up 22% YoY, both beating estimates. The company reported record March quarter revenue for the total company and iPhone, strong Services growth, and authorized a new $100 billion share repurchase program, alongside a 4% dividend increase. Its unparalleled ecosystem, brand loyalty, and robust financial health are undeniable. However, the core d...

Full AAPL Analysis
PAGS8.6/10

PagSeguro maintains its strong positioning in the vast Brazilian digital payments and banking market for MSMEs and consumers. Q1 2026 results confirm successful execution on its strategic pivot into higher-margin banking (+40.6% YoY revenue growth) and credit services (+35.9% YoY portfolio growth), enhancing long-term profitability and competitive moat. The company exhibits improved ROAE (15.8%), controlled NPLs (3.05%), and significant capital returns via buybacks and dividends. While overall r...

Full PAGS Analysis

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Not Financial Advice

This comparison is for educational purposes only. We are not financial advisors. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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