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Should You Buy $MARA Stock going into 2025? High-Risk, High-Reward Play or Overhyped?

Thu, Nov 28, 2024

#Bitcoin mining#MARA stock#Marathon Digital Holdings#cryptocurrency investing#Bitcoin stocks#high-risk investments#Bitcoin price impact#crypto mining stocks

If you’re into Bitcoin mining stocks, you’ve probably heard of Marathon Digital Holdings ($MARA). They’re one of the biggest Bitcoin miners in North America, and while their growth numbers are wild, it’s definitely not a risk-free bet. Let me break it down for you.

What Does Marathon Digital Holdings Do?

Marathon is all about Bitcoin mining. Imagine huge warehouses filled with computers working non-stop to process Bitcoin transactions. They earn Bitcoin as a reward for this, which sounds straightforward, but it’s an expensive game. Between hardware, electricity, and keeping the lights on, it takes serious cash to stay in the business.

Here’s where $MARA shines: they’ve got 26,700 Bitcoin on their books right now, more than any other public mining company. That’s a huge asset, but it’s also a double-edged sword. If Bitcoin prices go up, great. If not? It’s a problem.

Want to explore another Bitcoin play? Check out Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Playbook: The Secret Behind MicroStrategy’s Rise to see how $MSTR is leveraging its Bitcoin holdings.

Why Is Everyone Talking About $MARA?

Honestly, the growth numbers are hard to ignore. Check this out:

  • 2021: Revenue grew by over 3,300%.
  • 2022: Another 229% jump.
  • 2023: A massive 451% increase.

That’s not normal. It’s far ahead of most competitors in the space. They’re scaling their operations like crazy, which is why they’re grabbing so much attention.

For another fast-growing crypto miner, take a look at Hut 8 Corp. (HUT): Is This the Most Undervalued Bitcoin + AI Stock?.

What’s the Catch? Is $MARA Profitable?

Here’s the thing. While revenue is skyrocketing, profits are another story. Their earnings per share (EPS) has been all over the place. Just last quarter, they reported a loss of $0.42 per share when analysts were expecting a $0.38 loss. Not great.

The reason? They’re spending big to grow. Buying new equipment, setting up more facilities—it’s all part of their plan to dominate the market. But it means they’re burning cash for now.

Is Marathon Digital Overvalued?

This one’s tricky. Looking at their valuation, $MARA is definitely on the pricier side:

  • P/E Ratio: 41.95 (industry avg ~19).
  • P/S Ratio: 11.53 (industry avg ~2.5).
  • P/B Ratio: 2.78 (industry avg ~1.5).

These high ratios show that investors are paying a premium because they’re betting on future growth. It’s a high bar to clear, and if the company slips up, that premium could vanish quickly.

For context on high valuations, check out Is NVIDIA ($NVDA) Stock Worth the Hype? Here’s What the Data Shows.

What Are They Doing Right?

To be fair, Marathon isn’t just sitting back. They’re making smart moves to set themselves up for the future:

  • Expanded their capacity by 372 megawatts in Ohio.
  • Bought two data centers at a bargain price of $270,000 per megawatt.
  • Partnered to use natural gas for energy, which is both cheaper and greener.

They’re thinking long-term, which makes me feel better about their strategy.

For a look at another company using AI and crypto for growth, check out Why TeraWulf’s AI and Crypto Expansion Could Make It the Next Big Stock.

What Are the Risks?

This is where it gets dicey. Here’s what could go wrong:

  1. Bitcoin Prices: Everything hinges on BTC. If Bitcoin’s price drops, their revenue takes a hit.
  2. Regulation: Governments are eyeing crypto mining for taxes and energy restrictions, which could drive up costs.
  3. Competition: Other miners like Riot Platforms ($RIOT) are scaling fast, so $MARA has to keep innovating to stay ahead.

What Do Analysts Think?

The pros are pretty divided on this one. Around 44% of analysts say Buy, another 44% say Hold, and 12% say Sell. The average price target is $23.33, which is below the current price of around $26. Not exactly screaming “undervalued.”

Should You Buy $MARA?

Here’s my take: $MARA is a high-risk, high-reward stock. If you believe in Bitcoin and think its price is going up, this could be a solid play. They’ve shown they can grow fast, and they’re making some smart moves to expand. But it’s not for everyone. If you’re looking for stability or safer investments, this might not be your thing.

Final Thoughts

Marathon Digital Holdings is a leader in Bitcoin mining with incredible growth numbers and bold expansion strategies. But the risks are real—high valuation, reliance on Bitcoin, and regulatory challenges.

If you’re considering $MARA, keep an eye on:

  1. Bitcoin prices—everything depends on it.
  2. Regulatory updates, especially around energy use or taxes.
  3. Their next earnings report—can they start turning those revenue gains into profits?

It’s not an easy call, but if you’re okay with the risk, $MARA could be worth the gamble. Want to dive deeper into similar stocks? Check out Hut 8 Mining ($HUT) or Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Strategy with $MSTR for more insights.

Original Tweet 👉

Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts!

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