KINS Stock Risk & Deep Value Analysis
Kingstone Companies Inc
Financial Services • Insurance - Property & Casualty
DVR Score
out of 10
What You Need to Know About KINS Stock
We analyzed Kingstone Companies Inc using our deep value framework. Sign in to see our full verdict and DVR Score.
We ran KINS through our deep value framework — analyzing financial health, distress signals, competitive moat, and risk factors. Our risk assessment: Moderate. Here's what we found.
KINS Risk Analysis & Red Flags
What Could Go Wrong
The biggest risk is the failure of the California E&S market expansion to generate sufficient profitable premiums. If Kingstone cannot effectively underwrite and scale this new segment, it could lead to increased operational costs without proportional revenue, eroding the hard-won profitability from its turnaround and potentially reversing recent gains.
Risk Matrix
Overall
Moderate
Financial
Medium
Market
Medium
Competitive
High
Execution
Medium
Regulatory
Medium
Red Flags
- ⚠
Lack of granular data on cash flow, current/quick ratios, and detailed debt structure (unavailable in provided real-time data), which limits comprehensive balance sheet assessment.
- ⚠
Revenue miss in Q4 2025 despite an EPS beat, suggesting potential top-line challenges or volatility.
- ⚠
Highly commoditized industry with intense competition makes sustained exponential growth challenging.
Upcoming Risk Events
- 📅
Adverse reserve development or significant catastrophic events affecting underwriting results
- 📅
Failure to achieve profitability or scale in the new California market
When to Reconsider
- 🚪
Exit if the combined ratio deteriorates consistently above 85% for two consecutive quarters, indicating a reversal of underwriting profitability.
- 🚪
Sell if premium growth from the California E&S segment falls significantly short of projections or shows early signs of adverse selection.
- 🚪
Exit if diluted EPS guidance for FY2026 is materially lowered without a clear, explainable, and temporary reason.
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What Does Kingstone Companies Inc (KINS) Do?
Market Cap
$210.54M
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Employees
99
Kingstone Companies, Inc., through its subsidiary, Kingstone Insurance Company ("KICO"), provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It offers personal line of insurance products, such as homeowners, dwelling fire, cooperative/condominiums, renters, and personal umbrella policies; and commercial auto insurance products. It also provides for-hire vehicle physical damage only policies for livery and car service vehicles and taxicabs; and canine legal liability policies. In addition, the company offers reinsurance products. It underwrites its products through retail and wholesale agents and brokers. The company was formerly known as DCAP Group, Inc. and changed its name to Kingstone Companies, Inc. in July 2009. Kingstone Companies, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Kingston, New York.
Visit Kingstone Companies Inc WebsiteInvestment Thesis
Kingstone Companies represents a compelling turnaround story in the P&C insurance sector, having successfully de-risked its operations and achieved record profitability and robust book value growth. Its strategic expansion into the California E&S market provides a clear, albeit measured, growth runway, while its attractive valuation offers a margin of safety for investors willing to ride the continued operational improvements and disciplined growth strategy.
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KINS Price Targets & Strategy
12-Month Target
$20.40
Bull Case
$25.50
Bear Case
$12.00
Valuation Basis
8x forward P/E applied to midpoint FY26 EPS guidance of $2.55
Entry Strategy
Consider dollar-cost averaging in the $14.50-$16.00 range, leveraging any dips for a favorable entry.
Exit Strategy
Take 50% profit at $20.00-$22.00; reassess at $25.00 for further upside. Stop-loss at $12.50 to protect capital if turnaround falters.
Portfolio Allocation
3-5% for moderate risk tolerance, reflecting its turnaround status and industry characteristics.
Price Targets & Strategy
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Is KINS Financially Healthy?
Valuation
P/E Ratio
5.16
Forward P/E
7.86
EV/EBITDA
2.55
PEG Ratio
2.01
Price/Book
1.71
Price/Sales
1.17
Profitability
Gross Margin
25.00%
Operating Margin
22.00%
Net Margin
18.97%
Return on Equity
43.00%
Revenue Growth
-32.00%
EPS
$2.88
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio
0.37
Quick Ratio
0.37
Debt/Equity
0.04
Total Debt
$8.42M
Cash & Equivalents
$6.30M
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
$45.00M
Free Cash Flow
$38.00M
EBITDA
$79.90M
Other
Beta (Volatility)
0.44
Dividend Yield
1.40%
Does KINS Have a Competitive Moat?
Sign in to unlockMoat Rating
⚪ None
Moat Trend
Stable (operational improvements enhance competitiveness, but no fundamental shift in industry structure)
Moat Sources
2 Identified
Low; the P&C insurance industry is highly competitive, with products that are often commoditized. While Kingstone shows operational prowess, its competitive advantages are not sufficiently entrenched to prevent replication or overcome scale advantages of larger players.
Moat Erosion Risks
- •Intense price competition from larger, more diversified insurers with greater scale and capital.
- •Introduction of new technologies by competitors that enhance efficiency or customer experience.
- •Regulatory changes or catastrophic weather events that disproportionately impact specialized regional players.
KINS Competitive Moat Analysis
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KINS Market Intelligence
Sentiment & Insider Activity
Social Sentiment
Neutral (no specific data provided, likely low retail attention for regional insurer)
Institutional Sentiment
Neutral/Slightly Positive (no current analyst ratings, but prior 'Buy' initiation and strong financial performance may attract future interest)
Insider Activity (Form 4)
SVP/Chief Claims Officer David Craven Fernandez disclosed ownership of 22,142 shares (including RSUs) and options for 10,000 shares on March 16, 2026. No Form 4 buy/sell activity reported by any insiders in the last 90 days.
Options Flow
Normal options activity (no specific data indicating unusual put/call ratios or significant institutional positioning)
Earnings Intelligence
Next Earnings
Estimated early-May 2026 (for Q1 2026 results)
Surprise Probability
Medium (Q4 2025 showed an EPS beat but revenue miss, suggesting mixed results could continue)
Historical Earnings Pattern
Based on Q4 2025, the stock may react positively to EPS beats, but revenue misses could temper enthusiasm. The market has been rewarding strong operational improvements.
Key Metrics to Watch
Competitive Position
Top Competitor
Not specified in research; generally, smaller regional P&C insurers (e.g., within the Northeast or specialized E&S market)
Market Share Trend
Stable in its core Northeast markets, potentially gaining through strategic expansion into the California E&S market.
Valuation vs Peers
Trading at a significant discount based on its low P/E multiples (5-6x forward/trailing) compared to many P&C insurers that typically trade in the 10-15x range, reflecting either market skepticism or the company's turnaround phase.
Competitive Advantages
- •Strong operational turnaround and cost efficiency (evidenced by improved combined ratio)
- •Niche market focus (Northeast P&C for small/mid-sized, emerging California E&S for low-moderate wildfire risk)
- •Experienced management team in navigating challenging P&C cycles
Market Intelligence
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What Could Drive KINS Stock Higher?
Near-Term (0-6 months)
- •Q1 2026 Earnings Report (estimated early-May 2026)
- •Official Q2 2026 California E&S Market Entry and initial premium generation
Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- •Continued combined ratio improvement and sustained profitability
- •Successful and scalable growth from the California E&S segment
Long-Term (18+ months)
- •Further geographic expansion into niche E&S markets
- •Achieving scale advantages in specialized underwriting segments
Catalysts & Growth Drivers
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What's the Bull Case for KINS?
- ✓
Consistent reduction in the expense ratio and sustained low combined ratio.
- ✓
Above-guidance growth in gross written premiums, particularly from the new California segment.
- ✓
Positive commentary from management regarding market conditions and competitive positioning during earnings calls.
Bull Case Analysis
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Competing with KINS
See how Kingstone Companies Inc compares to related companies
| Company | Market Cap | DVR Score | P/E | Revenue | Profit Margin | Rev Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kingstone Companies Inc KINS | $210.5M | 3.5 | 5.2 | $225.7M | 19.0% | -32.0% | |
Bank of America Corp BAC | $352.6B | 0.1 | 12.9 | $113.1B | 16.2% | 12.3% | Compare → |
JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM | — | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | Compare → |
Mastercard Inc MA | — | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | Compare → |
Visa Inc V | $585.4B | 1.4 | 28.8 | $10.9B | 50.2% | 14.6% | Compare → |
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How Kingstone Companies Inc Makes Money
Kingstone Companies is a regional property and casualty (P&C) insurer primarily focused on providing personal and commercial lines of insurance to individuals and small-to-mid-sized businesses. It generates revenue by collecting insurance premiums from policyholders in exchange for assuming their risk against specified perils (like property damage or liability). The company also earns investment income on its premium float. Following a strategic turnaround, it aims to expand its profitable underwriting model into niche markets, such as the excess and surplus (E&S) market in California, focusing on segments with manageable risk.
Read Full Business Model BreakdownFAQ
What is the DVR Score for Kingstone Companies Inc (KINS)?
As of April 10, 2026, Kingstone Companies Inc has a DVR Score of 3.5 out of 10, placing it in the "Risk Trap" category. This score is generated by our AI-powered deep value analysis framework that evaluates growth potential, financial health, competitive moat, and risk factors.
What is the market capitalization of Kingstone Companies Inc?
Kingstone Companies Inc's market capitalization is approximately $210.5M. The company operates in the Financial Services sector within the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry.
What ticker symbol does Kingstone Companies Inc use?
KINS is the ticker symbol for Kingstone Companies Inc. The company trades on the NCM.
What is the risk level for KINS stock?
Our analysis rates Kingstone Companies Inc's overall risk as Moderate. This assessment considers execution risk, market risk, financial risk, competitive risk, and regulatory risk. For a full breakdown, see the risk analysis section above.
What is the P/E ratio of KINS?
Kingstone Companies Inc currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.2. This is below the market average, which could indicate the stock is undervalued or facing headwinds.
Does Kingstone Companies Inc pay a dividend?
Yes, Kingstone Companies Inc pays a dividend with a current yield of approximately 1.40%.
Is Kingstone Companies Inc's revenue growing?
Kingstone Companies Inc has reported revenue growth of -32.0%. Revenue has been declining, which warrants closer examination.
Is KINS stock profitable?
Kingstone Companies Inc has a profit margin of 19.0%. The company is profitable but margins are modest.
How often is the KINS DVR analysis updated?
Our AI-powered analysis of Kingstone Companies Inc is refreshed regularly to incorporate the latest financial data, market conditions, and news. The most recent update was on April 10, 2026.
Important Disclaimer – Not Financial Advice
Deep Value Reports is an independent research platform for educational and informational purposes only. We are not financial advisors, investment advisors, or licensed professionals. The analysis, scores, and information provided on this page for KINS (Kingstone Companies Inc) should not be construed as personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer to provide investment advisory services.
All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.